{"name":"The Oracle AI UFC Accuracy Report: 63.8% (207 Fights)","type":"track_record_report","slug":"oracle-ai-ufc-accuracy-report-207-fights","canonical_url":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-ai-ufc-accuracy-report-207-fights","structured_url":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-ai-ufc-accuracy-report-207-fights/summary.json","report_type":"overall","filter_key":null,"scope":{"report_type":"overall","filter_key":null,"included_promotions":["UFC"],"classification":"headline","data_environment":"mature","label":"Headline Track Record","description":"Current headline proof set (UFC only)."},"summary":"The Oracle AI UFC Accuracy Report: 63.8% (207 Fights) is a public headline track record Oracle audit. Current headline proof set (UFC only). Accuracy is 67.6%. Sample size is 71 settled picks. Brier score is 0.2349.","published_at":"2026-07-05T13:00:47.428+00:00","updated_at":"2026-07-05T13:01:04.583593+00:00","metrics":{"settled_predictions":71,"correct_calls":48,"accuracy":67.6,"brier_score":0.2349,"method_accuracy":49.3,"pending":0,"draws":1,"no_contests":2},"confidence_tier_breakdown":[{"tier":"Lock (85%+)","sample_size":0,"win_rate":0,"expected_win_rate":92.5,"edge":-92.5,"is_profitable":false},{"tier":"High (70-84%)","sample_size":7,"win_rate":42.9,"expected_win_rate":77,"edge":-34.1,"is_profitable":false},{"tier":"Medium (60-69%)","sample_size":24,"win_rate":70.8,"expected_win_rate":64.5,"edge":6.3,"is_profitable":true},{"tier":"Low (50-59%)","sample_size":36,"win_rate":69.4,"expected_win_rate":54.5,"edge":14.9,"is_profitable":true}],"calibration_snapshot":[{"predicted":53,"actual":71,"sample_size":17},{"predicted":57,"actual":68,"sample_size":22},{"predicted":62,"actual":62,"sample_size":13},{"predicted":67,"actual":83,"sample_size":12},{"predicted":74,"actual":33,"sample_size":3},{"predicted":76,"actual":67,"sample_size":3},{"predicted":80,"actual":0,"sample_size":1}],"machine_readable_sources":{"overall":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/overall.json","reports":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/reports.json","results":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/results.json","html":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-ai-ufc-accuracy-report-207-fights"}}