{"name":"Oracle Featherweight Prediction Accuracy Report","type":"track_record_report","slug":"oracle-featherweight-accuracy","canonical_url":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-featherweight-accuracy","structured_url":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-featherweight-accuracy/summary.json","report_type":"weight_class","filter_key":"Featherweight","scope":{"report_type":"weight_class","filter_key":"Featherweight","included_promotions":null,"classification":"mixed","data_environment":"mixed","label":"Featherweight","description":"Cross-promotion weight-class slice."},"summary":"Oracle Featherweight Prediction Accuracy Report is a public featherweight Oracle audit. Cross-promotion weight-class slice. Accuracy is 60%. Sample size is 15 settled picks. Brier score is 0.2568.","published_at":"2026-08-30T13:00:59.067+00:00","updated_at":"2026-08-30T13:01:56.441769+00:00","metrics":{"settled_predictions":15,"correct_calls":9,"accuracy":60,"brier_score":0.2568,"method_accuracy":20,"pending":0,"draws":0,"no_contests":2},"confidence_tier_breakdown":[{"tier":"85%+ confidence","sample_size":0,"win_rate":0,"expected_win_rate":92.5,"edge":-92.5,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":false,"profitability_established":false},{"tier":"High (70-84%)","sample_size":2,"win_rate":50,"expected_win_rate":77,"edge":-27,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":false,"profitability_established":false},{"tier":"Medium (60-69%)","sample_size":3,"win_rate":66.7,"expected_win_rate":64.5,"edge":2.2,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":true,"profitability_established":false},{"tier":"Low (50-59%)","sample_size":9,"win_rate":66.7,"expected_win_rate":54.5,"edge":12.2,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":true,"profitability_established":false}],"calibration_snapshot":[{"predicted":0,"actual":0,"sample_size":1},{"predicted":52,"actual":50,"sample_size":4},{"predicted":58,"actual":80,"sample_size":5},{"predicted":61,"actual":50,"sample_size":2},{"predicted":66,"actual":100,"sample_size":1},{"predicted":72,"actual":50,"sample_size":2}],"machine_readable_sources":{"overall":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/overall.json","reports":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/reports.json","results":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/results.json","html":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-featherweight-accuracy"}}