{"name":"Oracle Flyweight Prediction Accuracy Report","type":"track_record_report","slug":"oracle-flyweight-accuracy","canonical_url":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-flyweight-accuracy","structured_url":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-flyweight-accuracy/summary.json","report_type":"weight_class","filter_key":"Flyweight","scope":{"report_type":"weight_class","filter_key":"Flyweight","included_promotions":null,"classification":"mixed","data_environment":"mixed","label":"Flyweight","description":"Cross-promotion weight-class slice."},"summary":"Oracle Flyweight Prediction Accuracy Report is a public flyweight Oracle audit. Cross-promotion weight-class slice. Accuracy is 60%. Sample size is 10 settled picks. Brier score is 0.2437.","published_at":"2026-08-30T13:00:59.067+00:00","updated_at":"2026-08-30T13:03:44.840851+00:00","metrics":{"settled_predictions":10,"correct_calls":6,"accuracy":60,"brier_score":0.2437,"method_accuracy":30,"pending":0,"draws":1,"no_contests":1},"confidence_tier_breakdown":[{"tier":"85%+ confidence","sample_size":0,"win_rate":0,"expected_win_rate":92.5,"edge":-92.5,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":false,"profitability_established":false},{"tier":"High (70-84%)","sample_size":0,"win_rate":0,"expected_win_rate":77,"edge":-77,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":false,"profitability_established":false},{"tier":"Medium (60-69%)","sample_size":4,"win_rate":75,"expected_win_rate":64.5,"edge":10.5,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":true,"profitability_established":false},{"tier":"Low (50-59%)","sample_size":6,"win_rate":50,"expected_win_rate":54.5,"edge":-4.5,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":false,"profitability_established":false}],"calibration_snapshot":[{"predicted":53,"actual":100,"sample_size":2},{"predicted":57,"actual":25,"sample_size":4},{"predicted":62,"actual":67,"sample_size":3},{"predicted":66,"actual":100,"sample_size":1}],"machine_readable_sources":{"overall":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/overall.json","reports":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/reports.json","results":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/results.json","html":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-flyweight-accuracy"}}