{"name":"Oracle Heavyweight Prediction Accuracy Report","type":"track_record_report","slug":"oracle-heavyweight-accuracy","canonical_url":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-heavyweight-accuracy","structured_url":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-heavyweight-accuracy/summary.json","report_type":"weight_class","filter_key":"Heavyweight","scope":{"report_type":"weight_class","filter_key":"Heavyweight","included_promotions":null,"classification":"mixed","data_environment":"mixed","label":"Heavyweight","description":"Cross-promotion weight-class slice."},"summary":"Oracle Heavyweight Prediction Accuracy Report is a public heavyweight Oracle audit. Cross-promotion weight-class slice. Accuracy is 55.6%. Sample size is 9 settled picks. Brier score is 0.2728.","published_at":"2026-08-30T13:00:59.067+00:00","updated_at":"2026-08-30T13:03:07.639098+00:00","metrics":{"settled_predictions":9,"correct_calls":5,"accuracy":55.6,"brier_score":0.2728,"method_accuracy":55.6,"pending":0,"draws":0,"no_contests":0},"confidence_tier_breakdown":[{"tier":"85%+ confidence","sample_size":0,"win_rate":0,"expected_win_rate":92.5,"edge":-92.5,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":false,"profitability_established":false},{"tier":"High (70-84%)","sample_size":0,"win_rate":0,"expected_win_rate":77,"edge":-77,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":false,"profitability_established":false},{"tier":"Medium (60-69%)","sample_size":1,"win_rate":100,"expected_win_rate":64.5,"edge":35.5,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":true,"profitability_established":false},{"tier":"Low (50-59%)","sample_size":7,"win_rate":57.1,"expected_win_rate":54.5,"edge":2.6,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":true,"profitability_established":false}],"calibration_snapshot":[{"predicted":0,"actual":0,"sample_size":1},{"predicted":51,"actual":67,"sample_size":3},{"predicted":57,"actual":50,"sample_size":4},{"predicted":63,"actual":100,"sample_size":1}],"machine_readable_sources":{"overall":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/overall.json","reports":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/reports.json","results":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/results.json","html":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-heavyweight-accuracy"}}