{"name":"Oracle Welterweight Prediction Accuracy Report","type":"track_record_report","slug":"oracle-welterweight-accuracy","canonical_url":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-welterweight-accuracy","structured_url":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-welterweight-accuracy/summary.json","report_type":"weight_class","filter_key":"Welterweight","scope":{"report_type":"weight_class","filter_key":"Welterweight","included_promotions":null,"classification":"mixed","data_environment":"mixed","label":"Welterweight","description":"Cross-promotion weight-class slice."},"summary":"Oracle Welterweight Prediction Accuracy Report is a public welterweight Oracle audit. Cross-promotion weight-class slice. Accuracy is 90%. Sample size is 10 settled picks. Brier score is 0.1869.","published_at":"2026-08-30T13:00:59.067+00:00","updated_at":"2026-08-30T13:03:25.253578+00:00","metrics":{"settled_predictions":10,"correct_calls":9,"accuracy":90,"brier_score":0.1869,"method_accuracy":80,"pending":0,"draws":0,"no_contests":5},"confidence_tier_breakdown":[{"tier":"85%+ confidence","sample_size":0,"win_rate":0,"expected_win_rate":92.5,"edge":-92.5,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":false,"profitability_established":false},{"tier":"High (70-84%)","sample_size":1,"win_rate":100,"expected_win_rate":77,"edge":23,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":true,"profitability_established":false},{"tier":"Medium (60-69%)","sample_size":4,"win_rate":75,"expected_win_rate":64.5,"edge":10.5,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":true,"profitability_established":false},{"tier":"Low (50-59%)","sample_size":4,"win_rate":100,"expected_win_rate":54.5,"edge":45.5,"is_profitable":null,"hit_rate_above_expected":true,"profitability_established":false}],"calibration_snapshot":[{"predicted":0,"actual":100,"sample_size":1},{"predicted":54,"actual":100,"sample_size":3},{"predicted":59,"actual":100,"sample_size":1},{"predicted":62,"actual":67,"sample_size":3},{"predicted":68,"actual":100,"sample_size":1},{"predicted":74,"actual":100,"sample_size":1}],"machine_readable_sources":{"overall":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/overall.json","reports":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/reports.json","results":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/results.json","html":"https://blueprintmma.com/track-record/oracle-welterweight-accuracy"}}