Cody Brundage vs Andre Petroski, UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa prediction and deep analysis
Cody Brundage/Andre Petroski
MiddleweightWinner Committee
Thirty-three specialists answer distinct winner-only questions. Eligible evidence is renormalized only inside its original lane.
Fight-State Projection
These are distributions of eligible committee signal mass—not invented percentages of fight time.
Conditional Method Model
Each row is conditional on that fighter already winning; every fighter row sums to 100%.
Conditional Round Model
Round-event mass is derived from survival-conditioned hazards. The final scheduled round is absorbing.
Probability Reconciliation
The exact-outcome grid preserves both winner marginals and sums to 100%. Decision branches have no round.
Output Selection
The winner and every outcome label come from one immutable reconciled distribution. Oversight may widen uncertainty, never move the point forecast.
Key Takeaways
- The War Room Committee picks Andre Petroski (85% win probability).
- Andre Petroski path. "Control-time decision": Use switch stance to disrupt Brundage's orthodox entries
- Cody Brundage path. "Early KO sequence": Close distance behind feints to hide the right hand
- Risk: Brundage's chin under pressure
- Risk: Petroski's post-KO layoff rust
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Cody Brundage vs Andre Petroski?
Cody Brundage won. Blueprint MMA's pre-fight pick was Andre Petroski.
Who wins Cody Brundage vs Andre Petroski?
Blueprint MMA's War Room Committee picks Andre Petroski with a 85% win probability.
What could change the outcome of Cody Brundage vs Andre Petroski?
Brundage's chin under pressure: Brundage has absorbed more than he lands across his career; if Petroski's control cracks the guard, the finish window widens. Petroski's post-KO layoff rust: Petroski enters off his longest recorded layoff following an R1 KO loss; timing and defensive sharpness are unverified. Judges rewarding aggression over control: If Petroski rides position without damage and Brundage lands sporadic power shots, scoring variance becomes material.
How does Blueprint MMA make this prediction?
Blueprint MMA validates and freezes the fight data, then runs 68 Kimi K2.6 agent executions: 33 Winner, 10 Method, 20 Timing, and 5 non-voting Oversight. Kimi K2.6 is the only inference model; LangGraph only orchestrates stage order and state. Winner agents fix the point probability first, Method and Timing agents fill conditional branches without reopening it, and Oversight audits without voting. The public probability is held to a sane 5-95% range and logged before release. Published winner probabilities are AI-only. Market prices may be shown for benchmarking, CLV, and workflow context, but they do not select, rank, or alter the published forecast. If the direct pipeline cannot return a valid read, the forecast is held. Methodology is documented at https://blueprintmma.com/manifesto and accuracy is tracked publicly at https://blueprintmma.com/track-record.