Winner Agents
Thirty-three independent Kimi K2.6 specialists investigate seven evidence lanes. Their fixed weights total 100%; missing evidence abstains instead of becoming a hidden coin-flip vote.
Output · one locked winner probability
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BUILD THE MATCHUP. LET THE WAR ROOM DECIDE.
Search any two fighters. The War Room deploys 33 voting specialists plus 5 non-voting oversight agents, then aggregates the fixed-weight votes into one winner, method, and win probability.
Lock both corners to arm the Oracle
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Simulate current, prime-era, cross-weight, and custom-rule matchups without changing Blueprint’s audited official record.
Kimi K2.6 is the only inference model in the prediction room. LangGraph orchestrates the workflow; it is not a second forecasting model. The engine runs 33 Winner agents, then 10 Method agents, 20 Timing agents, and 5 non-voting Oversight agents. The stages are conditional and ordered: downstream agents cannot reopen the winner probability. Every released forecast is logged before the bell and graded in public.
Thirty-three independent Kimi K2.6 specialists investigate seven evidence lanes. Their fixed weights total 100%; missing evidence abstains instead of becoming a hidden coin-flip vote.
Output · one locked winner probability
Five Kimi K2.6 method roles run once for each possible winner. Those ten conditional reads distribute a win across KO/TKO, submission, and decision without reopening the winner vote.
Output · P(method | winner)
Five Kimi K2.6 timing roles fan out across fighter and finishing-method branches. Twenty survival-conditioned reads estimate how finish hazard changes round by round.
Output · P(round | winner, finish method)
Five non-voting Kimi K2.6 auditors test evidence quality, correlation, calibration, disagreement, and uncertainty. They can lower confidence, widen the interval, or hold release—never rewrite the probabilities.
Output · confidence, interval, or hold
Kimi K2.6 agent executions per complete forecast topology. The final joint distribution preserves the locked winner marginal while reconciling finish method and round timing into exact outcome cells that sum to 100%.
Each bar is the weight one agent carries into the consensus: the parameters that govern how much that agent moves the final number.
Published percentages are baseline importance shares. Evidence-grounding and validated worker-quality checks can reduce a weak lane's effective contribution before the complete committee is renormalized.
Too unreliable, too situational, or too low-yield to move a serious forecast. No staredown ever changed who has the better chin.
Each cyan point is one calendar month of settled predictions: correct over total. The dashed line is the cumulative average across every settled call. Every published forecast counts; pushes and cancelled fights are excluded.
| Feature | Blueprint | Everyone Else |
|---|---|---|
| Public prediction archive | ✓ | × |
| Brier score calibration | ✓ | × |
| Method-level predictions | ✓ | × |
| Pre-fight confidence published | ✓ | × |
| Settled hit-rate tracking | ✓ | × |
| Methodology transparency | ✓ | × |
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