You do not need a technical background. The winner and win probability are free on every fight. Upgrade when you want the full debate behind the call.
01
Four advocates argue
For every UFC fight, four AI advocates, two for each fighter from different model providers, each build the strongest case for their fighter from the same verified stats and fight history.
02
Two adjudicators decide
Two independent adjudicators each weigh all four cases, the counterevidence, and what is still uncertain. Their averaged view returns a winner, a win probability, and the likely method and round.
03
Published, then graded
Each forecast is timestamped before the fight. After the result, it is graded in public. Wins and misses both stay on the record.
Every headline number comes from the same saved official forecasts. Cancelled fights and pushes are excluded. Eligible picks are never quietly removed. Months with fewer than 20 graded fights are faded: one card can swing them.
Monthly accuracy6 reported months
33%May · n=12
73%Jun · n=44
70%Jul · n=37
53%Aug · n=59
57%Sep · n=53
54%Oct · n=52
What stays visible
Every official forecast archived
Win probability published before the fight
Accuracy and probability quality tracked
Misses stay visible
Current engine · Longest hit streak
6consecutive correct calls
Current engine · Biggest miss
Eric Nolan def. Court McGee76% published win probability
89 graded official forecasts from the current engine · through Oct 24, 2026
Every forecast’s winner and win probability are free, and so is the full debate on each card’s main event. Sharp shows you the whole debate on every fight: both advocates’ cases, the adjudicator’s reasoning, the likely method and round, and the cited evidence. You also get monthly Custom Matchup Reports. Whale adds the Betting Desk and advanced market tools.
Access level
Free
Every forecast’s winner, free
$0
Every forecast’s winner + win probability
Full debate on each card’s main event
Track record + archives
Schedule & fighter data
One starter custom report after you verify your email
Four AI advocates work in parallel from the same research, two for each fighter from different model providers. Each makes the strongest supported case for its fighter. Two independent adjudicators weigh all four arguments, the conflicting evidence, and how each fighter could control the fight. Missing tactical detail stays uncertain, and verified career history can still inform a cautious forecast.
VERIFIED EVIDENCE · STATED LIMITS · PUBLISHED BEFORE THE FIGHT
Stage 01
01
Confirm the Card
Blueprint confirms the fighters, the card order, the scheduled rounds, and the publication deadline before any debate starts.
Result · one confirmed event lineup
Stage 02
1/FIGHT
Gather Verified Evidence
Each fight gets its own packet of verified stats, fight history, and current reporting. Sportsbook prices are kept out of the forecast.
Result · current sources for each fight
Stage 03
4+2
Argue Both Sides
Four AI advocates, two for each fighter, argue from the same packet. Two independent adjudicators weigh the evidence and counterevidence in all four cases and keep missing tactical information explicit.
Result · four cases and two adjudications
Stage 04
01
Check and Publish
Blueprint checks the winner, the win probability, and the method and round chances, then publishes each ready fight before the deadline.
Result · a dated release for each ready fight
One source-backed packet per fight supports four advocates and two adjudicators. Each ready fight publishes after validation.
ONE
published forecast ties together the free winner and win probability, the full breakdown, and the dated proof. Ready fights can publish while other matchups wait for the required checks.
See how the evidence becomes a forecast
Four AI advocates work in parallel, two for each fighter from different model providers. Each builds the strongest case for one fighter from the same verified evidence and a server computed factor digest. Two adjudicators weigh all four cases, the counterevidence, and what is still uncertain, then pick the fighter more likely to win. Blueprint checks the structured forecast before it publishes. Sportsbook prices never reach the debate, and no one changes the winner by hand.
Style
Physical traits
Film
Statistics
Career history
Fight context
Preparation
These are evidence areas, not fixed weights. Missing tactical detail stays unknown, and verified career history can still inform the forecast.
FAQ8 direct answers
Questions, answered plainly.
What the forecast engine does, how the record is graded, and what you get when you upgrade.
The Oracle by Blueprint MMA is an AI forecast engine for UFC fights. For every fight on a scheduled card, it runs an AI debate and publishes a forecast before the event: a winner, a win probability, and how the fight likely ends. The winner and win probability are free, and so is the full debate on every card’s main event. Sharp unlocks the full debate on every fight plus monthly Custom Matchup Reports, which forecast any two supported fighters. The current public methodology is dated 2026-10-16.
Blueprint confirms the fighters and the event, then builds one verified evidence packet for the fight. Four AI advocates, two for each fighter from different model providers, argue from that packet and a server-computed factor digest. Two independent adjudicators read all four cases and return the winner probability and the likely method. Missing or conflicting evidence stays explicit. Each ready fight publishes its forecast and article together, timestamped so the pick cannot be quietly rewritten after the result. The debate is market blind: no advocate or adjudicator sees sportsbook prices. The published pick and confidence blend the debate with a statistical baseline and the market, and the debate’s own lean is shown whenever it differs.
Every official forecast is graded in public after the fight, wins and misses alike. The track record shows accuracy and a Brier score, which checks whether the win probabilities were as confident as they should have been. Lower is better. Custom Matchup Reports stay separate from the official record.
Yes. The official winner, win probability, publication time, and public track record are free, and so is the full debate on every card’s main event. A free account with a verified email includes one starter Custom Matchup Report when reports are available. Sharp is $29.00/month or $249.00/year and unlocks the full debate on every official forecast plus 5 fresh custom reports each month. Whale adds 15 monthly custom reports, the Betting Desk, and advanced market tools.
You can check everything before you pay: the free pick, when it was published, how every graded pick performed, and how the forecast engine works. Blueprint competes on visible proof, not promises of profit or unexplained accuracy.
Blueprint checks multiple sources, including official statistics and results, public records, scorecards, rankings, and current reporting. Sportsbook prices do not change the official pick or win probability. They are used only for later comparison and in the advanced market tools.
Every event starts with a newly confirmed lineup and a clear deadline for current information. A major lineup change before publication can trigger a fresh card review. Odds movement alone never changes an official pick. Once published, the final version stays in the public record.
Choose any two supported fighters: a current matchup, a rumored future fight, or a hypothetical fight that may never be booked. One report credit runs one fresh AI debate using the information available at that time. The report is labeled as custom and does not enter the official weekly record.
Get the next card briefing
New forecasts, major card changes, and graded results. No daily noise.
By subscribing you agree to receive marketing emails. Unsubscribe anytime. See our Privacy Policy.