UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · Sat, Oct 31

Watch the fight before it happens.

Our AI argues both sides of every UFC fight, picks a winner, then plays out how it could go.

Free pickTom Nolan 51%Scenario from the forecast. Not footage.

Who wins is free on every fight. How it ends is in the Event Pass: the method, the round, the full debate, and replays like this one across the card.

New customers pay $10.39 · one payment · closes at the first bell

See the 12 free picks
Every forecast is published before the fight and graded after it. Misses stay public.Check the track recordHow it works
Graded picks257Lifetime accuracy58.8%Brier score0.2427Misses includedYesAs ofOct 24, 2026
How it worksThree steps, every fight

TWO SIDES ARGUE.
ONE FORECAST GETS GRADED.

You do not need a technical background. The winner and win probability are free on every fight. Upgrade when you want the full debate behind the call.

  1. 01

    Four advocates argue

    For every UFC fight, four AI advocates, two for each fighter from different model providers, each build the strongest case for their fighter from the same verified stats and fight history.

  2. 02

    Two adjudicators decide

    Two independent adjudicators each weigh all four cases, the counterevidence, and what is still uncertain. Their averaged view returns a winner, a win probability, and the likely method and round.

  3. 03

    Published, then graded

    Each forecast is timestamped before the fight. After the result, it is graded in public. Wins and misses both stay on the record.

Public track recordResults, not claims

We publish
the misses.

Every headline number comes from the same saved official forecasts. Cancelled fights and pushes are excluded. Eligible picks are never quietly removed. Months with fewer than 20 graded fights are faded: one card can swing them.

What stays visible

  • Every official forecast archived
  • Win probability published before the fight
  • Accuracy and probability quality tracked
  • Misses stay visible

Current engine · Longest hit streak

6consecutive correct calls

Current engine · Biggest miss

Eric Nolan def. Court McGee76% published win probability

89 graded official forecasts from the current engine · through Oct 24, 2026

Check the full track record
PricingStart free, upgrade when it helps

The pick is free.
The full debate is Sharp.

Every forecast’s winner and win probability are free, and so is the full debate on each card’s main event. Sharp shows you the whole debate on every fight: both advocates’ cases, the adjudicator’s reasoning, the likely method and round, and the cited evidence. You also get monthly Custom Matchup Reports. Whale adds the Betting Desk and advanced market tools.

Access level

Free

Every forecast’s winner, free
$0
  • Every forecast’s winner + win probability
  • Full debate on each card’s main event
  • Track record + archives
  • Schedule & fighter data
  • One starter custom report after you verify your email
  • Optional Custom Matchup Reports
  • Opt-in next-card email · 3 article reads
See free forecasts

Access level

Whale

Sharp + Betting Desk
$499.00/yr

$41.58/mo effective · save $209/year (30%) · $59.00/mo option

  • Everything in Sharp
  • 15 custom reports / month
  • 90-day rollover · 30-report cap
  • Full Betting Desk + premium market tools
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How the forecast engine works

FOUR CASES ARGUED. ONE FORECAST PUBLISHED._

Four AI advocates work in parallel from the same research, two for each fighter from different model providers. Each makes the strongest supported case for its fighter. Two independent adjudicators weigh all four arguments, the conflicting evidence, and how each fighter could control the fight. Missing tactical detail stays uncertain, and verified career history can still inform a cautious forecast.

VERIFIED EVIDENCE · STATED LIMITS · PUBLISHED BEFORE THE FIGHT
Stage 01
01

Confirm the Card

Blueprint confirms the fighters, the card order, the scheduled rounds, and the publication deadline before any debate starts.

Result · one confirmed event lineup

Stage 02
1/FIGHT

Gather Verified Evidence

Each fight gets its own packet of verified stats, fight history, and current reporting. Sportsbook prices are kept out of the forecast.

Result · current sources for each fight

Stage 03
4+2

Argue Both Sides

Four AI advocates, two for each fighter, argue from the same packet. Two independent adjudicators weigh the evidence and counterevidence in all four cases and keep missing tactical information explicit.

Result · four cases and two adjudications

Stage 04
01

Check and Publish

Blueprint checks the winner, the win probability, and the method and round chances, then publishes each ready fight before the deadline.

Result · a dated release for each ready fight

One source-backed packet per fight supports four advocates and two adjudicators. Each ready fight publishes after validation.
ONE

published forecast ties together the free winner and win probability, the full breakdown, and the dated proof. Ready fights can publish while other matchups wait for the required checks.

See how the evidence becomes a forecast

Four AI advocates work in parallel, two for each fighter from different model providers. Each builds the strongest case for one fighter from the same verified evidence and a server computed factor digest. Two adjudicators weigh all four cases, the counterevidence, and what is still uncertain, then pick the fighter more likely to win. Blueprint checks the structured forecast before it publishes. Sportsbook prices never reach the debate, and no one changes the winner by hand.

  • Style
  • Physical traits
  • Film
  • Statistics
  • Career history
  • Fight context
  • Preparation

These are evidence areas, not fixed weights. Missing tactical detail stays unknown, and verified career history can still inform the forecast.

FAQ8 direct answers

Questions,
answered plainly.

What the forecast engine does, how the record is graded, and what you get when you upgrade.

The Oracle by Blueprint MMA is an AI forecast engine for UFC fights. For every fight on a scheduled card, it runs an AI debate and publishes a forecast before the event: a winner, a win probability, and how the fight likely ends. The winner and win probability are free, and so is the full debate on every card’s main event. Sharp unlocks the full debate on every fight plus monthly Custom Matchup Reports, which forecast any two supported fighters. The current public methodology is dated 2026-10-16.

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