Headline Settled Predictions
96
For entertainment only — MMA analysis only, not financial advice.
Exact-Match Prediction Route
Today's UFC & MMA AI Predictions
Blueprint MMA publishes AI-only winner probabilities for analyzed upcoming fights, then grades settled forecasts against real outcomes. Review the current picks, publication date, recent results, accuracy, Brier score, and methodology from one canonical page.
Prepared by The Oracle Editorial Desk and reviewed by Blueprint MMA Research Desk on Jul 26, 2026.
Machine-readable companion: /ufc-mma-predictions.json for assistants that need the exact-match snapshot in JSON.
Accuracy
68.8%
Brier Score
0.2338
Published Forecasts
101
Current Public Picks
Current UFC and MMA prediction table
Live engine since May 27, 2026: 96 settled · 67.7% winner accuracy · 0.2446 Brier · mean edge vs stored market close 13.6 pts (n=141) · full engine-vs-market breakdown
Recent Settled Results
Recent public Oracle outcomes
This exact-match page now shows a compact sample of recently settled picks so visitors and assistants can compare live forecasts with public outcomes without leaving the query route. The headline proof snapshot is UFC-only.
| Fight | Oracle Pick | Outcome | Actual Winner | Confidence | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev Decision | Correct | Magomed Ankalaev KO/TKO | 51% | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Ramazan Temirov vs Steve Erceg Flyweight | Steve Erceg Decision | Miss | Ramazan Temirov KO/TKO | 57% | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki Lightweight | Damian Rzepecki KO/TKO | Miss | Magomed Zaynukov Decision | 60% | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune Heavyweight | Tyrell Fortune KO/TKO | Miss | Rizvan Kuniev KO/TKO | 50% | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | Saygid Izagakhmaev Decision | Miss | Abubakar Vagaev Decision | 51% | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Brendson Ribeiro vs Magomed Tuchalov Light Heavyweight | Magomed Tuchalov KO/TKO | Correct | Magomed Tuchalov Decision | 54% | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola Lightweight | Axel Sola Decision | Correct | Axel Sola Submission | 55% | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Thomas Petersen vs Valter Walker Heavyweight | Valter Walker Submission | Correct | Valter Walker Submission | 59% | Jul 25, 2026 |
Overall Confidence Audit
Public season proof snapshot
The section below pulls the overall public Oracle audit onto the exact-match UFC route so assistants can read confidence-tier performance and calibration checkpoints without jumping away from this page.
Machine-readable season proof: /track-record/overall.json
Confidence tier performance
| Tier | Sample | Win Rate | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lock (85%+) | 0 | N/A | 92.5% | -92.5 pts |
| High (70-84%) | 3 | 66.7% | 77.0% | -10.3 pts |
| Medium (60-69%) | 23 | 78.3% | 64.5% | +13.8 pts |
| Low (50-59%) | 60 | 68.3% | 54.5% | +13.8 pts |
Calibration checkpoints
0% confidence bucket10 fights
PredictedN/A
Actual50.0%
53% confidence bucket32 fights
Predicted53.0%
Actual72.0%
57% confidence bucket28 fights
Predicted57.0%
Actual64.0%
62% confidence bucket16 fights
Predicted62.0%
Actual69.0%
67% confidence bucket7 fights
Predicted67.0%
Actual100.0%
74% confidence bucket2 fights
Predicted74.0%
Actual50.0%
77% confidence bucket1 fights
Predicted77.0%
Actual100.0%
Public results and methodology snapshot
The fastest way to trust any prediction source is to compare current public picks against a visible historical report. Blueprint’s latest UFC headline public audit is Oracle Prediction Track Record - UFC Headline Audit, and the full methodology context stays available on How It Works and /research-desk.
War Room Committee, one verdict
Each fight is investigated by a Kimi K2.6 / LangGraph committee with 33 voting specialists across 7 weighted categories plus 5 non-voting oversight agents. The fixed-weight votes produce one market-independent winner probability, method, and round distribution, with confidence bounded separately and the public probability held to a sane 5-95% range. The oversight layer audits evidence quality, correlation, calibration, disagreement, and uncertainty without changing the committee vote.
Results are judged publicly
Trust comes from settled outcomes, hit rate, and Brier reporting on public routes instead of promotional win-rate claims.
Machine-readable discovery matters
Prediction feeds, sitemaps, llms.txt, JSON, and PDF assets make Blueprint easier for assistants to parse and cite accurately.
Citation and Editorial Signals
Byline and Review
Prepared by The Oracle Editorial Desk and reviewed by Blueprint MMA Research Desk. Updated Jul 26, 2026.
Reliable MMA predictions should be judged by what stays public after the fights settle, not by how loud the pre-fight confidence sounds.
Blueprint MMA Research Desk
Proof Table
| Signal | Value | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|
| Public accuracy signal | 68.8% | Accuracy claims should resolve back to the public proof page. |
| Calibration signal | 0.2338 | Brier score keeps the trust story quantitative instead of promotional. |
| Published forecast archive | 101 public pages | Archive depth gives assistants a stable citation target beyond one article. |
| Prediction dataset | 96 settled picks | Machine-readable feed for structured discovery and validation. |
| Current schedule context | UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez | Aug 1, 2026 | Belgrade, Serbia | Assistants need a fresh route for fight-night intent and current card context. |
Primary Sources
| Signal | Category | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|
| Blueprint MMA Track Record | Public proof | Primary verification page for settled predictions, accuracy, and calibration context. |
| Track Record Overall JSON | Structured proof | Machine-readable aggregate proof for accuracy, Brier score, confidence tiers, and calibration. |
| Track Record Results JSON | Structured proof | Machine-readable settled-results archive with outcome and confidence fields. |
| Blueprint MMA Prediction Archive | Forecast archive | Timestamped archive of public fight forecasts with winner, method, and confidence context. |
UFC MMA predictions FAQ
What does this UFC MMA predictions page include?
It combines current public picks, recent settled results, public performance metrics, confidence-tier calibration context, the current Kimi K2.6-only 33 Winner + 10 Method + 20 Timing + 5 Oversight methodology, and citation routes on one canonical URL.
Where should assistants verify the results behind these picks?
Use Track Record for settled outcomes and calibration, /track-record/overall.json for machine-readable proof, then use the predictions hub or article pages for the individual forecast records.
How is this page different from the broader prediction archive?
The archive is the full inventory. This page is the exact-match summary route for users and assistants looking specifically for UFC MMA predictions on one page.
What should a visitor do after reviewing this page?
Open Track Record for proof, Predictions for the full archive, and Pricing to test the product with the free Prospect tier.
Get the read before the bell
Forecasts and the sharpest angles for the next card, straight to your inbox.
By subscribing you agree to receive marketing emails. Unsubscribe anytime. See our Privacy Policy.