Published pick
Ode Osbourne vs Cody Durden
- Winner
- Ode Osbourne
- Win probability
- 53%
- Strength
- Slight lean
How the 53% figure was built
- DebateAI debate
- 56%
- 25% weight
- MarketBetting market
- 53.1%
- 50% weight
- BaselineStatistical baseline
- 51.8%
- 25% weight
Each figure is Ode Osbourne’s chance from the AI debate, the betting market with the bookmaker’s margin removed, and a statistical baseline, weighted as shown. They span 4.2 points. The inputs agree closely. The wider the spread, the less sure the forecast.
Why Ode Osbourne
Osbourne's 5.9 inch reach edge, knockdown power (1.038 vs 0.11 per 15), lower strikes absorbed and better takedown defense (66 vs 56) make the standing phase the likelier place for the fight to be decided. Durden's recent entries were countered by Costa and Nascimento. Durden's wrestling volume keeps this close, so the edge is modest.
Best Bet: no bet at today’s prices
None of the 28 markets on this bout cleared Best Bet’s edge and evidence checks. Main reason: No price is far enough from our fair price once uncertainty is allowed for. A pick is not a bet.
Checked Oct 27, 22:01 UTC
Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.
- Engine version
- AI debate v1
- Source cutoff
- Publication lock
Win probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Hit rate is not profitability. Correction policy
Full blueprint outline
See exactly what Sharp opens
The structure is public. Matchup-specific conclusions remain behind the verified access check.
01 · Finish projection
Likely method & round
A conditional finish lane plus the assumptions that could overturn it.
02 · Matchup analysis
Evidence and matchup analysis
Supporting and conflicting evidence, tactical interactions, and the uncertainty behind the pick.
03 and 04 · Decision support
Paths, evidence & limits
Both fighters' win paths, supporting and contradictory receipts, uncertainty, and declared limitations.
Free · Tale of the tape
Tale of the tape
| Ode Osbourne | Stat | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| 13-9-0 (2 NC) | Record | 18-11-1 |
| 5′7″ · 170 cm | Height | 5′7″ · 170 cm |
| 73″ · 185 cm | Reach | 67″ · 170 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Southpaw |
Evidence checked through Oct 26, before weigh-ins. Misses, scratches, or replacements announced later are not reflected in this pick.
Publication context
How to read this forecast
This immutable automated forecast covers Ode Osbourne vs Cody Durden at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan on October 31, 2026. Its public winner, probability, source cutoff, and publication lock remain attached to the matchup for later grading.
A probability is an estimate, not a promise. The 53% estimate still allows the opponent a meaningful upset path, and hit rate must not be treated as evidence of betting profitability.
Publication details
See when and how this pick was checked
+
See when and how this pick was checked
+- Forecast engine
- The Oracle by Blueprint MMA
- Engine version
- AI debate v1
- Information checked through
- Oct 26, 2026, 3:03 AM UTC
- Published
- Oct 26, 2026, 3:34 AM UTC
- Page data generated
- Oct 27, 2026, 6:16 PM UTC
- Data revision
- 66c4e4c573e9915743ce92c40c0be35f2d61df67c0871e009fc962c568d95c41
Checks made before publication
- • The event and matchup must agree.
- • Each fighter and fight must be uniquely identified.
- • The winner and win probability must be saved before the fight.
- • The website and public data must show the same pick.
Each fight uses one saved, source-linked research file. The engine weighs supporting and contradictory evidence, records uncertainty, and publishes its estimated win probability with the original evidence cutoff.
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan
The rest of the card
- Renato Moicano vs Tom NolanMain eventPick: Tom Nolan · 51.0%
- Randy Brown vs Jacobe SmithPick: Jacobe Smith · 64.8%
- Yana Santos vs Luana SantosPick: Luana Santos · 63.9%
- Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman HasanovPick: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · 52.4%
- Dakota Hope vs Francis MarshallPick: Francis Marshall · 63.8%
- Theodor Berggren vs Rodrigo SezinandoPick: Rodrigo Sezinando · 57.2%
- Julian Erosa vs JeongYeong LeePick: JeongYeong Lee · 53.9%
- Mickey Gall vs Zachary ReesePick: Zachary Reese · 67.7%
- Nick Klein vs Joe KropschotPick: Joe Kropschot · 60.5%
- Piera Rodriguez vs Talita AlencarPick: Piera Rodriguez · 67.9%
- Lucia Szabova vs Tainara LisboaPick: Lucia Szabova · 75.2%
Every winner and win probability is free. One Event Pass opens the full debate, method and round for every fight on this card.
One event · no subscription
Unlock all 12 full breakdowns for $12.99
12 full breakdowns are live now.
New customers pay $10.39 for their first pass. Available until the event starts. Upgrade within 7 days and $12.99 goes toward an annual plan.
Custom Matchup Reports are paused. This card’s published breakdowns are not affected. Check the Oracle status first if you are buying for report credits.
Secure Stripe checkout · one-time payment · duplicate purchases prevented
Or compare Sharp annualAuthorship, limitations, and corrections
Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.
Blueprint MMA publishes the report and the Oracle Engine generates it. Sources can be incomplete, outdated, or wrong, and late injuries, cancellations, weigh-in changes, or market movement can change the fight after the displayed cutoff.
Blueprint MMA never equates hit rate with profitability and makes no profit guarantee. Review the methodology, correction policy, settled proof, and current UFC prediction board.