Original Research · Updated Sep 11, 2026
Blueprint MMA vs the Market
Across 107 settled official picks, Blueprint selected 65.4% of winners. Its win-chance score is 0.2473, where lower means the percentages were closer to the results. Blueprint's published percentages differed from the saved closing market by an average of 13.6 pts across 141 fights with available closing data. A gap is a comparison, not proof of an advantage or profit. Every included pick was published before the fight and graded afterward.
Data download: Blueprint vs Market JSON
Results by published win-chance range
| Tier | Sample | Winner accuracy |
|---|---|---|
| 85%+ confidence | 0 | 0% |
| High (70-84%) | 12 | 58.3% |
| Medium (60-69%) | 39 | 66.7% |
| Low (50-59%) | 121 | 60.3% |
See every settled pick and the deeper percentage-quality details on Track Record.
Citation-ready summary
Blueprint MMA's official picks have selected 65.4% of winners with a 0.2473 win-chance score across 107 settled fights. On fights with saved closing-market data, Blueprint's percentages differed from the close by an average of 13.6 points (Blueprint MMA, blueprintmma.com/blueprint-vs-market).
FAQ
How accurate is Blueprint MMA versus the betting market?
Across 107 settled fights, Blueprint picked 65.4% of winners. Its win-chance score was 0.2473; lower means the percentages were closer to the results. On the 141 fights with a saved closing line, Blueprint's percentages differed from the market by an average of 13.6 points.
Why benchmark against the closing line?
The closing line is the final market estimate available before a fight. Comparing Blueprint with that same point in time gives visitors a consistent reference. A difference does not prove that either side is correct or profitable.
Is this number cherry-picked?
No. Every eligible official pick is published before the fight and graded on the public Track Record after it settles. This comparison uses that same settled record rather than selecting only winning cards.