UFC schedule: UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez
UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez is the next public card, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia. Card status: Scheduled. Blueprint MMA currently has public forecasts for 14/14 listed bouts.
UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez
5 more events on the calendar
How the engine works an event
The schedule follows card readiness and the event's canonical lock—not a universal Friday deadline. The system establishes an early baseline, reacts only to registered material changes, then runs a guarded final-ready pass before publication locks.
- After settlement01
Early baseline
Readiness-gatedAfter the prior card settles—or during the Sunday/Monday window—the system waits for a sufficiently complete, quiet card before freezing evidence and producing the first full read. A Tuesday safety valve prevents a ready card from being stranded.
- After baseline02
Material-change watch
Every 30 minutesThe handoff monitor records roster and evidence changes durably. When a registered change is material, only the affected matchup is staged for a delta run; unchanged fights keep their frozen forecast.
- Final-ready window03
Promotion-aware sensor
Every 15 minutesDuring the configured Friday-to-event window, a promotion-aware sensor checks whether the card is ready for its final evidence pass. It self-deduplicates, detects stalled runs, and never treats current-event scale weight as prediction evidence.
- Event lock04
Lock and preserve
Pre-doors + backstopThe event’s canonical lock time controls publication. A pre-doors scratch sweep catches late removals, while a Saturday/Sunday UTC fallback protects against a missed sensor window. Locked forecasts are preserved for grading.
The baseline monitor runs every 30 minutes; the configured final-ready windows run every 15 minutes. Exact timing follows the promotion, card state, and canonical event lock. After lock, the published forecast is preserved for grading.
Frequently asked
The live Oracle validates each bout, builds a freshness-gated evidence pack, and runs the Kimi K2.6 / LangGraph War Room Committee: 33 voting specialists across 7 weighted categories plus 5 non-voting oversight agents. The fixed-weight voting reads produce one market-independent probability; confidence and uncertainty checks cannot change that point prediction. The forecast is held to a sane 5-95% range and logged before the first bell. The oversight layer audits evidence quality, correlation, calibration, disagreement, and uncertainty without changing the committee vote.
Hit rate is the share of bouts where the Oracle's majority-probability pick won. Brier score is the mean squared error between the Oracle's probability and the binary outcome. Lower is better, with 0.25 being the baseline for a 50/50 coin flip.
Every published forecast since launch lives under Track Record, with per-event Brier scores, calibration plots, and engine metadata for the architecture that produced each prediction.