Blueprint MMA corrections and accountability log: every correction to a forecast, article, or track record entry, with the original claim, the correction, and the date
Accountability Log
Corrections are public. Nothing is corrected silently.
Once an official pick is published, its winner, win probability, method, and date stay in the Track Record. If a fact or explanation is wrong, this page shows the original, the correction, and the date. Nothing is fixed quietly.
Correction Standards
Published picks do not change
Once an official pick is published, its winner, win probability, method, and date stay in the Track Record. A correction adds context without rewriting the original.
Public log
Every correction is posted here with the original claim, the correction, and the date. Nothing is corrected silently.
Facts and analysis are labeled separately
We distinguish factual errors, such as a fighter record or result, from changes to explanatory writing. Both types are logged and labeled.
Explanations can be corrected
If supporting analysis needs a correction, we update the explanation and record the change here. The original official pick remains visible.
Questions are welcome
The Research Desk explains the policy in more detail, and Support can help with a specific entry.
Correction Log
5 entries- Track Record
Track Record regrade: picks that were public before the fight
Original claim: The Track Record graded UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov (July 25, 2026) as 9 correct winner picks, 3 misses, and 1 void. It graded 84 picks from May 30 to July 19, 2026 from internal prediction logs and described every graded pick as published before the fight.
Correction: That card is now graded from the picks that were public before its scheduled lock: 8 correct, 4 misses, and 1 void. The July 26 correction had graded four forecasts that were not published before the fights, including a main-event pick of Magomed Ankalaev; the public pick was Bogdan Guskov. Those picks are now graded from the forecast or article that was public before each fight: 81 remain (54 correct, 27 misses) and 3 are removed because no pick was public before the fight.
Note: The older picks have no forecast proof record, and some of those cards had no pick lock. Where an event lock ran, the pick public at the lock is graded, even if it changed later. 5 internal prediction logs for the Ankalaev vs. Guskov main event had been changed to the actual winner after the fight and were restored to the pick recorded before it. Nothing was deleted; every change is recorded in an append-only ledger.
- Article
Deep Analysis: Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards
Original claim: The analysis described Christian Edwards as having a reach edge over Rodolfo Bellato.
Correction: The frozen evidence lists Edwards’s reach as 78 inches and Bellato’s as 77.6 inches. The 0.4-inch difference falls within our fact checker’s 0.5-inch tolerance for effectively equal reach; the analysis should not present it as a meaningful reach advantage.
Note: The original model response and published prediction remain preserved. The saved response does not establish how this comparison affected the probability.
- Article
Deep Analysis: Sean King III vs Jessie Rosas
Original claim: The analysis described Jessie Rosas as having a longer reach than Sean King III.
Correction: The frozen evidence lists Jessie Rosas’s reach as 68.1 inches but contains no verified reach measurement for Sean King III. It therefore does not support the article’s claim that Rosas has the longer reach.
Note: The original model response and published 52% King prediction remain preserved. The saved response does not establish how this unsupported comparison affected the probability.
- Article
Deep Analysis: Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse
Original claim: The preparation analysis described competing team-affiliation listings as unresolved.
Correction: Competing Saigon Sports Club and City Kickboxing listings were treated as non-blocking at the source cutoff. The structured conflict ledger did not mark the preparation lens unresolved.
Note: The stored artifact, official winner, published probability, version, and track-record eligibility are unchanged.
- Track Record
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Original claim: The public results summary showed 7 correct winner picks and 5 misses across 12 completed bouts.
Correction: This correction graded the card as 9 correct winner picks, 3 misses, and 1 void. Four of the graded forecasts, including the main-event pick of Magomed Ankalaev, were not published before the fights, and the event lock was created with this correction, after the fights. It has been replaced: the card is now graded 8-4 with 1 void from the picks that were public before the scheduled lock.
Note: Method calls: 4/12. Exact-round finish calls: 1/8. Technical verification is available in the linked JSON receipt.
Pick Version History
212 logged changesThe proof ledger writes a row automatically every time a published pick is replaced or its result settlement changes, and it rejects edits and deletions. These counts come straight from it.
- Changed after the lock13
- A new version was published after the event lock. Each one is listed below.
- Republished by an operator13
- An operator republished the pick. Each one is listed below.
- Re-linked by the system1
- The pick was re-linked to its corrected fight record. Each one is listed below.
- Updated before the lock44
- A newer forecast replaced an earlier one before the event lock. The earlier version stays in its proof record.
- Result settlement replaced141
- A newer verified result replaced an earlier settlement of the same pick.
| Date | Fight | Before | After | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Elliott vs Edgar Chairez Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado | Tim Elliott at 53.0% | Tim Elliott at 53.0% | Re-linked by the system | |
| Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | Myktybek Orolbai, no win chance saved | Myktybek Orolbai at 59.3% | Republished by an operator | |
| Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Chapolin UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | Charles Johnson, no win chance saved | Charles Johnson at 55.6% | Republished by an operator | |
| Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Alvarez UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | Joel Alvarez, no win chance saved | Joel Alvarez at 51.0% | Republished by an operator | |
| Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | Islam Makhachev, no win chance saved | Islam Makhachev at 56.3% | Republished by an operator | |
| Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | Gillian Robertson, no win chance saved | Gillian Robertson at 51.0% | Republished by an operator | |
| Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | Esteban Ribovics, no win chance saved | Esteban Ribovics at 58.0% | Republished by an operator | |
| Jalin Turner vs Kaue Fernandes UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | Jalin Turner, no win chance saved | Jalin Turner at 55.4% | Republished by an operator | |
| Dustin Stoltzfus vs Mansur Abdul-Malik UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | Mansur Abdul-Malik, no win chance saved | Mansur Abdul-Malik at 59.1% | Republished by an operator | |
| Eric McConico vs Donte Johnson UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | Donte Johnson, no win chance saved | Donte Johnson at 58.4% | Republished by an operator | |
| Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | Vicente Luque, no win chance saved | Vicente Luque at 53.8% | Republished by an operator | |
| Lucas Fernando vs Rafael Tobias UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | Lucas Fernando, no win chance saved | Lucas Fernando at 52.4% | Republished by an operator | |
| Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | Ramiz Brahimaj, no win chance saved | Ramiz Brahimaj at 50.9% | Republished by an operator | |
| Jan Błachowicz vs Navajo Stirling UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez | Navajo Stirling at 53.3% | Navajo Stirling at 53.3% | Republished by an operator | |
| Abdul Hussein vs Cody Gibson UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | Abdul Hussein, no win chance saved | Abdul Hussein at 54.6% | Changed after the lock | |
| Ramazan Temirov vs Steve Erceg UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | Steve Erceg, no win chance saved | Steve Erceg at 55.3% | Changed after the lock | |
| Wellington Turman vs Islam Dulatov UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | Islam Dulatov, no win chance saved | Islam Dulatov at 63.8% | Changed after the lock | |
| Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | Damian Rzepecki, no win chance saved | Damian Rzepecki at 60.4% | Changed after the lock | |
| Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | Tyrell Fortune, no win chance saved | Rizvan Kuniev at 50.7% Winner changed | Changed after the lock | |
| Thomas Petersen vs Valter Walker UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | Valter Walker, no win chance saved | Valter Walker at 64.5% | Changed after the lock | |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Said UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | Muhammad Said, no win chance saved | Muhammad Said at 56.3% | Changed after the lock | |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sam Patterson UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | Sam Patterson, no win chance saved | Sam Patterson at 54.2% | Changed after the lock | |
| Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | Axel Sola, no win chance saved | Axel Sola at 59.5% | Changed after the lock | |
| Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | Saygid Izagakhmaev, no win chance saved | Saygid Izagakhmaev at 63.0% | Changed after the lock | |
| Brendson Ribeiro vs Magomed Tuchalov UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | Magomed Tuchalov, no win chance saved | Magomed Tuchalov at 70.1% | Changed after the lock | |
| Mike Davis vs Nurullo Aliev UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | Mike Davis, no win chance saved | Nurullo Aliev at 53.6% Winner changed | Changed after the lock | |
| Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov | Bogdan Guskov, no win chance saved | Magomed Ankalaev at 52.7% Winner changed | Changed after the lock |
