Blueprint MMA corrections and accountability log: every correction to a forecast, article, or track record entry, with the original claim, the correction, and the date

Accountability Log

Corrections are public. Nothing is corrected silently.

Once an official pick is published, its winner, win probability, method, and date stay in the Track Record. If a fact or explanation is wrong, this page shows the original, the correction, and the date. Nothing is fixed quietly.

Correction Standards

  • Published picks do not change

    Once an official pick is published, its winner, win probability, method, and date stay in the Track Record. A correction adds context without rewriting the original.

  • Public log

    Every correction is posted here with the original claim, the correction, and the date. Nothing is corrected silently.

  • Facts and analysis are labeled separately

    We distinguish factual errors, such as a fighter record or result, from changes to explanatory writing. Both types are logged and labeled.

  • Explanations can be corrected

    If supporting analysis needs a correction, we update the explanation and record the change here. The original official pick remains visible.

  • Questions are welcome

    The Research Desk explains the policy in more detail, and Support can help with a specific entry.

Correction Log

5 entries
  1. Track Record

    Track Record regrade: picks that were public before the fight

    Original claim: The Track Record graded UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov (July 25, 2026) as 9 correct winner picks, 3 misses, and 1 void. It graded 84 picks from May 30 to July 19, 2026 from internal prediction logs and described every graded pick as published before the fight.

    Correction: That card is now graded from the picks that were public before its scheduled lock: 8 correct, 4 misses, and 1 void. The July 26 correction had graded four forecasts that were not published before the fights, including a main-event pick of Magomed Ankalaev; the public pick was Bogdan Guskov. Those picks are now graded from the forecast or article that was public before each fight: 81 remain (54 correct, 27 misses) and 3 are removed because no pick was public before the fight.

    Note: The older picks have no forecast proof record, and some of those cards had no pick lock. Where an event lock ran, the pick public at the lock is graded, even if it changed later. 5 internal prediction logs for the Ankalaev vs. Guskov main event had been changed to the actual winner after the fight and were restored to the pick recorded before it. Nothing was deleted; every change is recorded in an append-only ledger.

  2. Article

    Deep Analysis: Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards

    Original claim: The analysis described Christian Edwards as having a reach edge over Rodolfo Bellato.

    Correction: The frozen evidence lists Edwards’s reach as 78 inches and Bellato’s as 77.6 inches. The 0.4-inch difference falls within our fact checker’s 0.5-inch tolerance for effectively equal reach; the analysis should not present it as a meaningful reach advantage.

    Note: The original model response and published prediction remain preserved. The saved response does not establish how this comparison affected the probability.

  3. Article

    Deep Analysis: Sean King III vs Jessie Rosas

    Original claim: The analysis described Jessie Rosas as having a longer reach than Sean King III.

    Correction: The frozen evidence lists Jessie Rosas’s reach as 68.1 inches but contains no verified reach measurement for Sean King III. It therefore does not support the article’s claim that Rosas has the longer reach.

    Note: The original model response and published 52% King prediction remain preserved. The saved response does not establish how this unsupported comparison affected the probability.

  4. Article

    Deep Analysis: Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse

    Original claim: The preparation analysis described competing team-affiliation listings as unresolved.

    Correction: Competing Saigon Sports Club and City Kickboxing listings were treated as non-blocking at the source cutoff. The structured conflict ledger did not mark the preparation lens unresolved.

    Note: The stored artifact, official winner, published probability, version, and track-record eligibility are unchanged.

  5. Track Record

    UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov

    Original claim: The public results summary showed 7 correct winner picks and 5 misses across 12 completed bouts.

    Correction: This correction graded the card as 9 correct winner picks, 3 misses, and 1 void. Four of the graded forecasts, including the main-event pick of Magomed Ankalaev, were not published before the fights, and the event lock was created with this correction, after the fights. It has been replaced: the card is now graded 8-4 with 1 void from the picks that were public before the scheduled lock.

    Note: Method calls: 4/12. Exact-round finish calls: 1/8. Technical verification is available in the linked JSON receipt.

Pick Version History

212 logged changes

The proof ledger writes a row automatically every time a published pick is replaced or its result settlement changes, and it rejects edits and deletions. These counts come straight from it.

Changed after the lock13
A new version was published after the event lock. Each one is listed below.
Republished by an operator13
An operator republished the pick. Each one is listed below.
Re-linked by the system1
The pick was re-linked to its corrected fight record. Each one is listed below.
Updated before the lock44
A newer forecast replaced an earlier one before the event lock. The earlier version stays in its proof record.
Result settlement replaced141
A newer verified result replaced an earlier settlement of the same pick.
DateFightBeforeAfterChange
Tim Elliott vs Edgar Chairez
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
Tim Elliott at 53.0%Tim Elliott at 53.0%Re-linked by the system
Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Myktybek Orolbai, no win chance savedMyktybek Orolbai at 59.3%Republished by an operator
Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Chapolin
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Charles Johnson, no win chance savedCharles Johnson at 55.6%Republished by an operator
Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Alvarez
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Joel Alvarez, no win chance savedJoel Alvarez at 51.0%Republished by an operator
Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Islam Makhachev, no win chance savedIslam Makhachev at 56.3%Republished by an operator
Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Gillian Robertson, no win chance savedGillian Robertson at 51.0%Republished by an operator
Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Esteban Ribovics, no win chance savedEsteban Ribovics at 58.0%Republished by an operator
Jalin Turner vs Kaue Fernandes
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Jalin Turner, no win chance savedJalin Turner at 55.4%Republished by an operator
Dustin Stoltzfus vs Mansur Abdul-Malik
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Mansur Abdul-Malik, no win chance savedMansur Abdul-Malik at 59.1%Republished by an operator
Eric McConico vs Donte Johnson
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Donte Johnson, no win chance savedDonte Johnson at 58.4%Republished by an operator
Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Vicente Luque, no win chance savedVicente Luque at 53.8%Republished by an operator
Lucas Fernando vs Rafael Tobias
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Lucas Fernando, no win chance savedLucas Fernando at 52.4%Republished by an operator
Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Ramiz Brahimaj, no win chance savedRamiz Brahimaj at 50.9%Republished by an operator
Jan Błachowicz vs Navajo Stirling
UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez
Navajo Stirling at 53.3%Navajo Stirling at 53.3%Republished by an operator
Abdul Hussein vs Cody Gibson
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Abdul Hussein, no win chance savedAbdul Hussein at 54.6%Changed after the lock
Ramazan Temirov vs Steve Erceg
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Steve Erceg, no win chance savedSteve Erceg at 55.3%Changed after the lock
Wellington Turman vs Islam Dulatov
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Islam Dulatov, no win chance savedIslam Dulatov at 63.8%Changed after the lock
Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Damian Rzepecki, no win chance savedDamian Rzepecki at 60.4%Changed after the lock
Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Tyrell Fortune, no win chance savedRizvan Kuniev at 50.7%
Winner changed
Changed after the lock
Thomas Petersen vs Valter Walker
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Valter Walker, no win chance savedValter Walker at 64.5%Changed after the lock
Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Said
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Muhammad Said, no win chance savedMuhammad Said at 56.3%Changed after the lock
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sam Patterson
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Sam Patterson, no win chance savedSam Patterson at 54.2%Changed after the lock
Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Axel Sola, no win chance savedAxel Sola at 59.5%Changed after the lock
Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Saygid Izagakhmaev, no win chance savedSaygid Izagakhmaev at 63.0%Changed after the lock
Brendson Ribeiro vs Magomed Tuchalov
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Magomed Tuchalov, no win chance savedMagomed Tuchalov at 70.1%Changed after the lock
Mike Davis vs Nurullo Aliev
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Mike Davis, no win chance savedNurullo Aliev at 53.6%
Winner changed
Changed after the lock
Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Bogdan Guskov, no win chance savedMagomed Ankalaev at 52.7%
Winner changed
Changed after the lock
Research Desk Track Record How It Works Home