Oracle Prediction Track Record - UFC Headline Audit
Quick Answer
Headline Track Record currently reports 68.8% accuracy across 96 settled predictions with a Brier score of 0.2338 and 46.9% method accuracy. Current headline proof set (UFC only).
Scope: Headline Track Record. Current headline proof set (UFC only).
Machine-readable companion: /track-record/oracle-prediction-track-record/summary.json
Track Record Snapshot
Overall Accuracy
The Oracle AI has made 233 verified predictions with an overall accuracy of 63.9%.
The public headline audit currently covers UFC only.
Brier Score: 0.242 — Grade: C
Confidence Tier Performance
- Lock (85%+): 0/0 (0% win rate)
- High (70-84%): 23/44 (52.3% win rate)
- Medium (60-69%): 52/72 (72.2% win rate)
- Low (50-59%): 69/110 (62.7% win rate)
Methodology
All predictions are recorded before fights occur and verified against official results. Draws and No Contests are excluded from accuracy calculations.
Generated by the Blueprint MMA War Room Committee
Methodology and Attribution
Author: The Oracle Editorial Desk
Reviewer: Blueprint MMA Research Desk