Oracle Prediction Track Record - UFC Headline Audit
Quick Answer
Headline Track Record currently reports 66.4% accuracy across 107 settled predictions with a Brier score of 0.2376 and 46.7% method accuracy. Current headline proof set (UFC only).
Scope: Headline Track Record. Current headline proof set (UFC only).
Machine-readable companion: /track-record/oracle-prediction-track-record/summary.json
Track Record Snapshot
Overall Accuracy
The Oracle AI has made 258 verified predictions with an overall accuracy of 63.9%.
The public headline audit currently covers UFC only.
Brier Score: 0.2428 — Grade: D
Confidence Tier Performance
- Lock (85%+): 0/0 (0% win rate)
- High (70-84%): 3/5 (60% win rate)
- Medium (60-69%): 20/30 (66.7% win rate)
- Low (50-59%): 47/72 (65.3% win rate)
Methodology
All predictions are recorded before fights occur and verified against official results. Draws and No Contests are excluded from accuracy calculations.
Generated automatically by The Oracle, Blueprint MMA's automated UFC prediction engine.
Methodology and Attribution
Author: Blueprint MMA
Creator: The Oracle software
How this was produced
The Oracle generates each prediction automatically from the locked source packet. Automated identity, evidence, probability, and publication checks run before release; no individual human reviews each prediction before publication.