Published pick
Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira
- Winner
- Tatsuro Taira
- Win probability
- 60%
- Strength
- Clearer lean
How this pick was published
Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.
- Source cutoff
- Publication lock
Win probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Hit rate is not profitability. Correction policy
How does Tatsuro Taira win?
The winner and win probability are free. The full breakdown answers the rest:
How it ends
The likely method and round if Tatsuro Taira wins, and the chance it goes the distance.
Both cases
Joshua Van's case and Tatsuro Taira's case, each with the evidence behind it.
Where it breaks
What each case needs, where it fails, and what would change the pick.
Free · Tale of the tape
Tale of the tape
Evidence checked through May 9, on or after weigh-in day.
Result: Joshua Van beat Tatsuro Taira. The pre-fight pick, Tatsuro Taira, missed. This is the original pre-fight pick retained after the event. Its settled result appears in the public Track Record.
Publication context
How to read this forecast
This immutable automated forecast covers Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland on May 9, 2026 in the flyweight division. Its public winner, probability, source cutoff, and publication lock remain attached to the matchup for later grading.
A probability is an estimate, not a promise. The 60% estimate still allows the opponent a meaningful upset path, and hit rate must not be treated as evidence of betting profitability.
Publication details
See when and how this pick was checked
+
See when and how this pick was checked
+- Forecast engine
- The Oracle by Blueprint MMA
- Engine version
- Recorded on the original pick
- Information checked through
- May 9, 2026, 3:56 AM UTC
- Published
- May 9, 2026, 3:56 AM UTC
- Page data generated
- Oct 23, 2026, 9:45 PM UTC
- Data revision
- bcfd5de2c613ae49d32e3fa86a114330506861adbc8c3f998d48720774d87324
Checks made before publication
- • The event and matchup must agree.
- • Each fighter and fight must be uniquely identified.
- • The winner and win probability must be saved before the fight.
- • The website and public data must show the same pick.
Each fight uses one saved, source-linked research file. The engine weighs supporting and contradictory evidence, records uncertainty, and publishes its estimated win probability with the original evidence cutoff.
Authorship, limitations, and corrections
Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.
Blueprint MMA publishes the report and the Oracle Engine generates it. Sources can be incomplete, outdated, or wrong, and late injuries, cancellations, weigh-in changes, or market movement can change the fight after the displayed cutoff.
Blueprint MMA never equates hit rate with profitability and makes no profit guarantee. Review the methodology, correction policy, settled proof, and current UFC prediction board.