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AJ McKee Jr. vs Ádám Borics, PFL Madrid: Van Steenis vs. Edwards 2 prediction and deep analysis

FIGHT COMPLETEThis fight has concluded.Engine pick: Adam BoricsUpcoming predictions →
FEATHERWEIGHT · 3RMAIN CARD
Published 120d ago

// Target · PFL Madrid: Van Steenis vs. Edwards 2 · Mar 20, 2026

AJ McKee Jr. vs Ádám Borics: Statistical Breakdown.

Data-driven breakdown for AJ McKee Jr. vs Ádám Borics. Statistical analysis, method probabilities, and AI prediction.

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Sections (1)
  1. AJ McKee Jr. vs Ádám Borics — By The Numbers

AJ McKee Jr. vs Ádám Borics — By The Numbers

Model Pick: Adam Borics (55% confidence via Decision)

Method Probabilities

  • KO/TKO: 42%
  • Submission: 22%
  • Decision: 36%

Statistical Edge

Both fighters bring contrasting skill sets into this matchup. Our 57-module AI engine has analyzed hundreds of data points to produce this breakdown.

The Verdict

Based on comprehensive statistical modeling, Adam Borics holds the edge in this matchup.

Adam Borics leads the deterministic stack at 78.4% win probability (AJ McKee 21.6% vs Adam Borics 78.4%). Primary drivers: ML Classifier 99% (62% weight); Ensemble Core 45% (38% weight). Stack weights: ML Classifier 62%, Ensemble Core 38%. Learned model coverage: ML Classifier (recovered via Ensemble Core) active in the winner stack. 1/2 component models align with Adam Borics, while 1 lean the other side.

Analysis powered by The Blueprint MMA War Room Committee Engine

07 / 07

War Room Committee_

War Room Committee Verdict [LOCKED]

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Track Record
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  • Overall accuracy67%· 70 fights
  • Calibration gradeC· brier 0.235

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who wins AJ McKee Jr. vs Ádám Borics?

Blueprint MMA's War Room Committee picks Adam Borics with a 55% win probability.

How does Blueprint MMA make this prediction?

Blueprint MMA validates the fight data, builds a freshness-gated evidence pack, and runs it through a Kimi K2/LangGraph War Room Committee, one specialist agent per high-signal factor, 18 in all across 8 weighted categories, with the noise given zero weight. The weighted reads are reconciled, calibrated against settled outcomes, held to a sane 5-95% range, and logged before release. Published winner probabilities are AI-only. Market prices may be shown for benchmarking, CLV, and workflow context, but they do not select, rank, or alter the published forecast. If the committee cannot return a valid read, the forecast is held. Methodology is documented at https://blueprintmma.com/manifesto and accuracy is tracked publicly at https://blueprintmma.com/track-record.

Methodology and Attribution

Author: War Room Committee Desk

Reviewer: Blueprint MMA Research Desk

Published: Mar 16, 2026Updated: Mar 16, 2026
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