// Roster Index›Featherweight›Dossier · Aaron Roberson
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNFEATHERWEIGHT

Aaron
Roberson

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
12-12-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Aaron Roberson
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'1"
REACH
6'2"
AGE
36
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Featherweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
24 BOUTS
WIN
12
LOSS
12
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
50%
12/24 bouts
FINISH RATE
83%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 2-3
WWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 67% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.57
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
51%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 48%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.42
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
57%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.72
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 115 rated fighters on the UFC featherweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#115
against the 115 rated on the UFC featherweight roster · Elo 1431
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
15th
percentile · average opponent rated 1512 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
6th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.27 per fight)

13 rated fights · opponents rated in 59% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 22, 2022

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (12)
n = 12
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 8
DEC · 2
2
KO/TKO
17%
8
SUB
67%
2
DEC
17%
// LOSSES (12)
n = 12
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 7
DEC · 3
2
KO/TKO
17%
7
SUB
58%
3
DEC
25%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
83% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
17%
SUBANY ROUND · 8 fights
67%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
17%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
24 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 12, 2026
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER24TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN78STRIKING46CARDIO61AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE60RECOVERY55
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power24
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=12 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (40%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin78
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=24 bouts
Striking46
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio61
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=24 bouts
Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense60
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (57%)

Recovery55
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=12 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power24 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins12 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (40%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin78 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record24 bouts
Striking46 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share24 bouts
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense60 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (57%)Not recorded
Recovery55 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.12 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2014LJUL 2014WSEP 2014WJAN 2015LMAR 2015LJUN 2015WJUL 2015WJUL 2015WDEC 2015LMAR 2016WJUN 2016WAUG 2016LDEC 2016LMAR 2017WAPR 2017WJUL 2017LAPR 2018LJUN 2018WSEP 2018LMAY 2019WJUL 2019WJUL 2021LOCT 2022LAUG 2024LSEP 2025// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 38, DEC R3.
  3. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 58, SUB R2.
  5. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 51, SUB R2.
  6. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 44, SUB R1.
  7. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 54, SUB R1.
  8. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 64, SUB R1.
  9. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 74, SUB R2.
  10. Start, MAR 2016, momentum score 67, SUB R2.
  11. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 76, SUB R3.
  12. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  13. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  14. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 72, SUB R1.
  15. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 82, SUB R1.
  16. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 89, DEC R3.
  17. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 82, SUB R1.
  18. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R1.
  19. Start, SEP 2018, momentum score 81, KO/TKO R2.
  20. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 74, SUB R4.
  21. Start, JUL 2019, momentum score 84, SUB R1.
  22. Start, JUL 2021, momentum score 91, DEC R5.
  23. Start, OCT 2022, momentum score 84, SUB R1.
  24. Start, AUG 2024, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R1.
  25. Start, SEP 2025, momentum score 67, DEC R3.

Peaked at 91 (W vs Veloquio), bottomed at 38 (L vs Clark). Current reading: 67.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
24/24 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
13%
1
4%
-
-
-
4
total
SUB
9
38%
4
17%
1
4%
1
4%
-
15
total
DEC
-
-
4
17%
-
1
4%
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 4 of 24 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
21%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
24 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS John BeckettSep 20, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Synergy FC 22 - Beckett vs. Roberson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Shea ConleyAug 16, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 2:54
XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 395
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Steven GrahamOct 22, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 2:44
Synergy FC 2 - Graham vs. Roberson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Arnulfo VeloquioJul 17, 2021
DecisionR5 · 5:00
XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 372
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Arnulfo VeloquioJul 26, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 2:20
XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 360
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
L
VS Alex McGowanMay 18, 2019
SubmissionR4 · 2:30
XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 358
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
W
VS Adrian HudsonSep 22, 2018
KO/TKOR2 · 1:30
XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 351
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Kyle DriscollJun 8, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 3:49
HD MMA 12 - Rampage at Remington
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Steven NguyenApr 7, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 4:05
EFC 8 - Evolution Fighting Championship: Battle For Blood 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Edwin WilliamsJul 8, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Jingle Bells Promotions - Gladiator Cage Fighting 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Chris MullinsApr 15, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 4:12
HD Boxing - Rampage at Remington
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS J.R. CoughranMar 11, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 3:23
KOP 53 - Bricktown Rumble
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Featherweight. Professional record 12-12. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28