// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Abubakar Vagaev
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNMIDDLEWEIGHT

Abubakar
Vagaev

NICKNAME"N/A"·RUSSIA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
25-4-0
CURRENT FORM
5W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Fight Club Akhmat
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Abubakar Vagaev
FIGHTER -
RUS🇷🇺
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
33
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
29 BOUTS
WIN
25
LOSS
4
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
86%
25/29 bouts
FINISH RATE
19%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS5W STREAK · 5-0
WWWWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 84% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.27
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
46%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.63
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
51%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
5.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
45%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
81%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 89 other rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#9
of 90 on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1641
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
74th
percentile · average opponent rated 1570 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
94th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.45 per fight)

10 rated fights · opponents rated in 33% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 24, 2026 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (25)
n = 25
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 1
DEC · 21
4
KO/TKO
16%
1
SUB
4%
21
DEC
84%
// LOSSES (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 3
DEC · 1
3
KO/TKO
75%
0
SUB
0%
1
DEC
25%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
19% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 4 fights
16%
SUBANY ROUND · 1 fights
4%
DECFULL FIGHT · 21 fights
84%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
30 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 27, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER23TD DEFENSE91GRAPPLING49CHIN76STRIKING46CARDIO89AGGRESSION65SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE47RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power23
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=25 wins
TD Defense91
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (81%)

Grappling49
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin76
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=29 bouts
Striking46
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio89
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=29 bouts
Aggression65
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (51%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=4 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power23 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins25 wins
TD Defense91 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (81%)Not recorded
Grappling49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin76 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record29 bouts
Striking46 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio89 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share29 bouts
Aggression65 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (51%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.4 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2012WJUN 2012WJUN 2013WJUN 2014WOCT 2014WNOV 2014WMAR 2015LJUN 2015WAUG 2015WOCT 2015WDEC 2015WAPR 2016WJUN 2016LNOV 2016WFEB 2017WAPR 2017WMAY 2017WOCT 2017WFEB 2018LOCT 2018WOCT 2019WJUL 2020WOCT 2020WFEB 2021WMAR 2022LDEC 2022WSEP 2023WMAR 2024WFEB 2025WJUL 2026WOCT 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 52, DEC R2.
  3. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 59, DEC R2.
  4. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 69, SUB R1.
  5. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 76, DEC R2.
  6. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 85, KO/TKO R2.
  7. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 92, DEC R3.
  8. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 85, DEC R3.
  9. Start, AUG 2015, momentum score 92, DEC R3.
  10. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  12. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R4.
  15. Start, FEB 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  17. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, OCT 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  19. Start, FEB 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  20. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  21. Start, OCT 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  22. Start, JUL 2020, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  23. Start, OCT 2020, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  24. Start, FEB 2021, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  25. Start, MAR 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  26. Start, DEC 2022, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  27. Start, SEP 2023, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  28. Start, MAR 2024, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  29. Start, FEB 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  30. Start, JUL 2026, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  31. Start, OCT 2026, momentum score 100, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Castillo), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
30/30 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
10%
3
10%
-
1
3%
-
7
total
SUB
1
3%
-
-
-
-
1
total
DEC
-
3
10%
13
43%
-
6
20%
22
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 30 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
73%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Fight Club Akhmat
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
WRESTLING-HEAVYCAGE DEFENSE

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
30 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Jacob MalkounOct 24, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Unanimous
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 282 - Ankalaev vs. Guskov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
DecisionR5 · 5:00
ACA 183 - Tumenov vs. Vagaev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Edil EsengulovMar 9, 2024
DecisionR5 · 5:00
ACA 172 - Esengulov vs. Vagaev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
DecisionR5 · 5:00
ACA 162 - Tumenov vs. Palmer
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Vitaliy SlipenkoDec 16, 2022
KO/TKOR2 · 0:20
ACA 149 - Vagaev vs. Slipenko
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Elbow)
W
VS Ustarmagomed GadzhidaudovMar 26, 2022
DecisionR5 · 5:00
ACA 138 - Vagaev vs. Gadzhidaudov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Murad AbdulaevFeb 26, 2021
DecisionR5 · 5:00
ACA 118 - Abdulaev vs. Vagaev 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Yasubey EnomotoOct 4, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
ACA 112 - Jubileu vs. Dudaev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Gadzhimurad KhiramagomedovJul 24, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
ACA 107 - Grandpower
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
ACA 100 - Grozny
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Murad AbdulaevOct 4, 2018
KO/TKOR2 · 1:25
WFCA 53 - Abdurahmanov vs. Abdulaev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 25-4. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28