// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Alan Belcher
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0MIDDLEWEIGHT

Alan
Belcher

NICKNAME"The Talent"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
19-9-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Alan Belcher
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'2"
REACH
6'3"
AGE
42
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
28 BOUTS
WIN
19
LOSS
9
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
68%
19/28 bouts
FINISH RATE
84%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 2-3
WLLWL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 58% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.70
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
41%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.10
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
59%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.44
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
26%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
55%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.90
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 90 rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#35
against the 90 rated on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1572
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
72nd
percentile · average opponent rated 1567 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
37th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.04 per fight)

22 rated fights · opponents rated in 79% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 2, 2024

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (19)
n = 19
KO/TKO · 11
SUB · 5
DEC · 3
11
KO/TKO
58%
5
SUB
26%
3
DEC
16%
// LOSSES (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 1
DEC · 5
3
KO/TKO
33%
1
SUB
11%
5
DEC
56%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
84% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 11 fights
58%
SUBANY ROUND · 5 fights
26%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
16%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
28 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER83TD DEFENSE33GRAPPLING60CHIN75STRIKING32CARDIO65AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT45STR DEFENSE64RECOVERY88
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Aggression.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power83
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=19 wins
TD Defense33
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (55%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin75
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=28 bouts
Striking32
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio65
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat45
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.9 per 15 min)

Str Defense64
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (59%)

Recovery88
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=9 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins19 wins
TD Defense33 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (55%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin75 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record28 bouts
Striking32 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio65 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat45 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.9 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense64 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (59%)Not recorded
Recovery88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.9 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2004WJUL 2004LJUL 2005WJUL 2005LSEP 2005WFEB 2006WFEB 2006WFEB 2006WMAR 2006WAPR 2006WAPR 2006WJUN 2006LAUG 2006WDEC 2006LAPR 2007WMAY 2007WOCT 2007LAPR 2008WSEP 2008WJAN 2009LJUL 2009WDEC 2009WMAY 2010WSEP 2011WMAY 2012LDEC 2012LAPR 2013WNOV 2023LMAR 2024// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2004, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2004, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 46, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 56, SUB R1.
  5. Start, SEP 2005, momentum score 49, DEC R5.
  6. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 59, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R2.
  8. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 89, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, APR 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, APR 2006, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  12. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  13. Start, AUG 2006, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  14. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  15. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  16. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  18. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  19. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  20. Start, JAN 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  21. Start, JUL 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  22. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  23. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  24. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  25. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  26. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  27. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  28. Start, NOV 2023, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  29. Start, MAR 2024, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Sursa), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 86.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
28/28 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
10
36%
3
11%
1
4%
-
-
14
total
SUB
3
11%
3
11%
-
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
-
7
25%
-
1
4%
8
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 13 of 28 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
29%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
28 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
KO/TKOR2 · 4:39
GFC 7 - Gamebred BareKnuckle MMA 7
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Roy NelsonNov 10, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
GFC 6 - Gamebred BareKnuckle MMA 6
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Michael BispingApr 27, 2013
DecisionR3 · 4:31
UFC 159 - Jones vs. Sonnen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Yushin OkamiDec 29, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 155 - Dos Santos vs. Velasquez 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
KO/TKOR1 · 4:18
UFC on Fox 3 - Diaz vs. Miller
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches and Elbows)
W
VS Jason MacDonaldSep 17, 2011
KO/TKOR1 · 3:48
UFC Fight Night 25 - Shields vs. Ellenberger
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Submission to Punches)
W
VS Patrick CoteMay 8, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 3:25
UFC 113 - Machida vs. Shogun 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Wilson GouveiaDec 12, 2009
KO/TKOR1 · 3:03
UFC 107 - Penn vs. Sanchez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 100 - Lesnar vs. Mir 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Denis KangJan 17, 2009
SubmissionR2 · 4:36
UFC 93 - Franklin vs. Henderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Ed HermanSep 17, 2008
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 15 - Diaz vs. Neer
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Jason DayApr 19, 2008
KO/TKOR1 · 3:58
UFC 83 - Serra vs. St. Pierre 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 19-9. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28