// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Alexander Sarnavskiy
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Alexander
Sarnavskiy

NICKNAME"Tiger"·RUSSIA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
44-9-0
CURRENT FORM
3W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Alexander Sarnavskiy
FIGHTER -
RUS🇷🇺
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! STALE
HEIGHT
5'11"
AGE
37
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
53 BOUTS
WIN
44
LOSS
9
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
83%
44/53 bouts
FINISH RATE
80%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3W STREAK · 4-1
WLWWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: STALE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 52% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.43
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
66%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.06
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
42%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
75%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#12
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1634
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
45th
percentile · average opponent rated 1541 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
59th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.11 per fight)

25 rated fights · opponents rated in 48% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 14, 2025 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (44)
n = 44
KO/TKO · 12
SUB · 23
DEC · 9
12
KO/TKO
27%
23
SUB
52%
9
DEC
20%
// LOSSES (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
DEC · 6
1
KO/TKO
11%
2
SUB
22%
6
DEC
67%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
80% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 12 fights
27%
SUBANY ROUND · 23 fights
52%
DECFULL FIGHT · 9 fights
20%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
53 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
SEP 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER39TD DEFENSE78GRAPPLING60CHIN86STRIKING52CARDIO62AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE27RECOVERY89
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power39
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=44 wins
TD Defense78
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (75%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin86
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=53 bouts
Striking52
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio62
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense27
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (42%)

Recovery89
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=9 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power39 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins44 wins
TD Defense78 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (75%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin86 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record53 bouts
Striking52 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio62 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense27 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (42%)Not recorded
Recovery89 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.9 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100DEC 2008WDEC 2008WAPR 2009WJUL 2009WJUL 2009WOCT 2009WDEC 2009WFEB 2010WFEB 2010WFEB 2010WMAY 2010WOCT 2010WOCT 2010WDEC 2010WMAR 2011WMAY 2011WAUG 2011WNOV 2011WDEC 2011WFEB 2012WMAY 2012LOCT 2012WNOV 2012WJAN 2013WMAY 2013WSEP 2013WOCT 2013LNOV 2013WDEC 2013WMAY 2014WAUG 2014WOCT 2014WNOV 2014LAPR 2015WOCT 2015WNOV 2015LFEB 2016WAPR 2016WMAY 2016LSEP 2016WDEC 2016LAPR 2017LFEB 2018WNOV 2018WDEC 2019LSEP 2020WFEB 2021WSEP 2021WMAY 2022WFEB 2024LOCT 2024WFEB 2025WSEP 2025WDEC 2025// SCORE

  1. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, JUL 2009, momentum score 75, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, JUL 2009, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 96, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  8. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  9. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  12. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  13. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  15. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  16. Start, MAY 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, AUG 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  18. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  19. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  21. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  23. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  24. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  25. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  26. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  27. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  28. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  29. Start, DEC 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  30. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  31. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  32. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  33. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  34. Start, APR 2015, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  35. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  36. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  37. Start, FEB 2016, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  38. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  39. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  40. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  41. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  42. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  43. Start, FEB 2018, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  44. Start, NOV 2018, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  45. Start, DEC 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  46. Start, SEP 2020, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  47. Start, FEB 2021, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  48. Start, SEP 2021, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  49. Start, MAY 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  50. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  51. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  52. Start, FEB 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  53. Start, SEP 2025, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  54. Start, DEC 2025, momentum score 100, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Kalabekov), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
53/53 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
10
19%
1
2%
2
4%
-
-
13
total
SUB
16
30%
6
11%
3
6%
-
-
25
total
DEC
-
1
2%
11
21%
-
3
6%
15
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 11 of 53 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
28%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
53 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Dmitry BikrevDec 20, 2025
SubmissionR1 · 4:34
Fight Nights 132 - Bikrev vs. Sarnavskiy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Akhmed AlievSep 14, 2025
SubmissionR1 · 2:32
Fight Nights 128 - Aliev vs. Sarnavsky 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Adriano MartinsFeb 21, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
AMC Fight Nights 126 - Dazaev vs. Bikrev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Akhmed AlievOct 18, 2024
DecisionR5 · 5:00
AMC Fight Nights 125 - Sarnavskiy vs. Aliev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Magomed SulumovFeb 23, 2024
SubmissionR3 · 4:32
AMC Fight Nights 123 - Sulumov vs. Sarnavskiy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Herdeson BatistaMay 21, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 0:42
ACA 139 - Vartanyan vs. Ilunga
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
DecisionR5 · 5:00
ACA 129 - Magomedov vs. Sarnavskiy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Artem DamkovskyFeb 26, 2021
SubmissionR1 · 4:55
ACA 118 - Abdulaev vs. Vagaev 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovSep 19, 2020
DecisionR5 · 5:00
ACA 111 - Balaev vs. Khasbulaev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Aurel PirteaDec 14, 2019
KO/TKOR3 · 0:39
ACA 103 - Butorin vs. Yagshimuradov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Herdeson BatistaNov 10, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 2:11
ACB 90 - Moscow
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knee)
L
VS Shamil NikaevFeb 16, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
ACB 80 - Krasnodar
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 44-9. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28