// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Alex Oliveira
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0WELTERWEIGHT

Alex
Oliveira

NICKNAME"Cowboy"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
26-19-1
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Alex Oliveira
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'4"
AGE
38
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
48 BOUTS
WIN
26
LOSS
19
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
57%
26/48 bouts
FINISH RATE
81%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 1-4
LWLLL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 58% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.99
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
51%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.55
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
46%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.35
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
38%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
63%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#96
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1477
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
40th
percentile · average opponent rated 1548 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
2nd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.31 per fight)

31 rated fights · opponents rated in 67% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 13, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (26)
n = 26
KO/TKO · 15
SUB · 6
DEC · 5
15
KO/TKO
58%
6
SUB
23%
5
DEC
19%
// LOSSES (19)
n = 19
KO/TKO · 6
SUB · 9
DEC · 4
6
KO/TKO
32%
9
SUB
47%
4
DEC
21%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
81% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 15 fights
58%
SUBANY ROUND · 6 fights
23%
DECFULL FIGHT · 5 fights
19%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
48 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER82TD DEFENSE51GRAPPLING60CHIN72STRIKING50CARDIO58AGGRESSION32SUB THREAT30STR DEFENSE36RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power82
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=26 wins
TD Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (63%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin72
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=46 bouts
Striking50
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio58
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression32
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat30
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense36
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (46%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=19 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power82 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins26 wins
TD Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (63%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record46 bouts
Striking50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio58 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression32 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat30 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense36 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (46%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.19 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100DEC 2011WDEC 2011LMAY 2012WJUN 2012WAUG 2012WOCT 2012LAPR 2013WMAY 2013JUN 2013WAUG 2013WDEC 2013WFEB 2014MAY 2014WJUL 2014WOCT 2014WFEB 2015LMAR 2015WMAY 2015WJUN 2015WNOV 2015LFEB 2016WJUL 2016WOCT 2016DEC 2016WMAR 2017WJUL 2017LDEC 2017WAPR 2018WSEP 2018LDEC 2018LAPR 2019LSEP 2019WMAR 2020WJUL 2020LOCT 2020LAPR 2021LOCT 2021LMAR 2022LJUN 2022WAUG 2022WDEC 2022LAPR 2023WJUN 2023LJUL 2023LMAY 2024WSEP 2025LDEC 2025LMAR 2026LJUN 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 49, SUB R1.
  4. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 59, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 70, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 73, DEC R3.
  8. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 82, KO/TKO R2.
  9. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 82.
  10. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, DEC 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  12. Start, FEB 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 100.
  14. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  15. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  17. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  18. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  20. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  21. Start, FEB 2016, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  22. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  23. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  24. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 100.
  25. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  26. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  27. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R3.
  28. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  29. Start, SEP 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  30. Start, DEC 2018, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  31. Start, APR 2019, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  32. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  33. Start, MAR 2020, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  34. Start, JUL 2020, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  35. Start, OCT 2020, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  36. Start, APR 2021, momentum score 79, SUB R1.
  37. Start, OCT 2021, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  38. Start, MAR 2022, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R2.
  39. Start, JUN 2022, momentum score 58, SUB R2.
  40. Start, AUG 2022, momentum score 69, KO/TKO R1.
  41. Start, DEC 2022, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R1.
  42. Start, APR 2023, momentum score 69, KO/TKO R1.
  43. Start, JUN 2023, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.
  44. Start, JUL 2023, momentum score 73, SUB R1.
  45. Start, MAY 2024, momentum score 63, KO/TKO R1.
  46. Start, SEP 2025, momentum score 73, SUB R1.
  47. Start, DEC 2025, momentum score 63, KO/TKO R1.
  48. Start, MAR 2026, momentum score 56, SUB R1.
  49. Start, JUN 2026, momentum score 46, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Doidao), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 46.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
45/48 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
15
33%
3
7%
3
7%
-
-
21
total
SUB
9
20%
4
9%
2
4%
-
-
15
total
DEC
-
-
9
20%
-
-
9
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 18 of 45 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
19%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
48 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Omar TugarevJun 13, 2026
KO/TKOR1 · 2:35
Beazt Fight Night - Beazt Fight Night 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Davit LortkipanidzeMar 14, 2026
SubmissionR1 · 0:41
Rkena FC 2 - Rkena Fighting Championship
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Anaconda Choke)
L
VS Milos JanicicDec 20, 2025
KO/TKOR1 · 1:50
FNC 26 - Janicic vs. Oliveira
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Mauricio Ariel PareSep 6, 2025
SubmissionR1 · 2:10
Futhar MMA - FMMA 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Alexander GrozinMay 25, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 0:59
Nashe Delo - Oliveira vs. Grozin
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Spinning Back Kick to the Body)
L
VS Alexander ShlemenkoJul 21, 2023
SubmissionR1 · 1:59
SFC 8 - Shlemenko Fighting Championship 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Stefan SekulicJun 2, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 3:51
Titan FC 82 - SBC 47: Revenge
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Slam)
L
VS Kiefer CrosbieApr 1, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 4:14
Rise Fighting Championship - Cowboy vs. Kiefer
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
W
VS Aslambek ArsamikovDec 28, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 4:35
SBC 45 - Serbian Battle Championship 45: Revenge
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Helisom Cruz da SilvaAug 13, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 0:36
SFFN 9 - Sul Fluminense Fight Night
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
L
VS Michel SilvaJun 10, 2022
SubmissionR2 · 1:51
Mr. Cage Championship - Mr. Cage Fight Music Show
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke)
L
VS Kevin HollandMar 5, 2022
KO/TKOR2 · 0:38
UFC 272 - Covington vs. Masvidal
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 26-19-1 (2 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27