// Roster Index›Light Heavyweight›Dossier · Alex O'Toole
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT

Alex
O'Toole

NICKNAME"The Chi Master"·ENGLAND
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
4-4-1
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Alex O'Toole
FIGHTER -
ENG🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'2"
WEIGHT
Light Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
10 BOUTS
WIN
4
LOSS
4
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
44%
4/10 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 2-3
LLWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 75% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.70
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 49%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.75
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
60%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 56 rated fighters on the UFC light heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#41
against the 56 rated on the UFC light heavyweight roster · Elo 1501
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
30th
percentile · average opponent rated 1515 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
1st
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.40 per fight)

3 rated fights · opponents rated in 33% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 26, 2020 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 3
1
KO/TKO
25%
3
SUB
75%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 1
3
KO/TKO
75%
1
SUB
25%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
25%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
75%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
10 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUN 28, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER36TD DEFENSE44GRAPPLING60CHIN48STRIKING45CARDIO60AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY67
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power36
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=4 wins
TD Defense44
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (60%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin48
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=9 bouts
Striking45
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio60
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery67
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=4 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins4 wins
TD Defense44 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record9 bouts
Striking45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.4 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100DEC 2011WDEC 2011MAR 2012SEP 2012LAUG 2013WOCT 2013LFEB 2014LJUL 2015WMAR 2016WJUL 2017LSEP 2020// SCORE

  1. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 55.
  4. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 55.
  5. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 48, SUB R1.
  6. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, FEB 2014, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 39, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, MAR 2016, momentum score 49, SUB R1.
  10. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 58, SUB R1.
  11. Start, SEP 2020, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 58 (W vs Meistavicius), bottomed at 39 (L vs Rozanski). Current reading: 49.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
8/10 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
50%
-
-
-
-
4
total
SUB
4
50%
-
-
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
-
-
-
0
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 4 of 8 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
0%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
10 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Luke TrainerSep 26, 2020
KO/TKOR1 · 1:22
Bellator Milan - Edwards vs. van Steenis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Mitchell HeadJul 22, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 0:32
UWC 31 - Redemption
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
W
VS Liam CrawleyMar 19, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 1:32
AMMA - Awol MMA 7
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
L
VS Maciej RozanskiJul 31, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 1:43
FEN 8 - Summer Edition
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Submission to Punches)
L
VS Chris ThirkellFeb 22, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 2:11
M4tC 13 - Nemesis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Linas MeistaviciusOct 6, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 1:10
AMMA - Awol MMA 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Slam)
L
VS Josh CollinsAug 24, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 4:10
M4tC 11 - Destruction
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
D
VS Charlie LearySep 1, 2012
DrawR3 · 5:00
UWC 20 - Fight Nation
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw (Split)
D
VS Massimiliano MartiniMar 3, 2012
No ContestR1 · 0:00
UWC - Zinc Fight Night
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest
W
VS Adam HardyDec 10, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 2:55
UWC 18 - Ultimate Warrior Challenge
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Light Heavyweight. Professional record 4-4-1 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-29