// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Alvaro Herrera
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Alvaro
Herrera

NICKNAME"Chango"·MEXICO
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
9-7-0
CURRENT FORM
4L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Alvaro Herrera
FIGHTER -
MEX🇲🇽
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
AGE
62
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
16 BOUTS
WIN
9
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
56%
9/16 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS4L STREAK · 1-4
WLLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 56% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.00
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
0.00
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#106
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1474
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
5th
percentile · average opponent rated 1502 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
91st
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.36 per fight)

6 rated fights · opponents rated in 38% of recorded fights · last rated fight FEB 13, 2026 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 3
5
KO/TKO
56%
3
SUB
33%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 3
4
KO/TKO
57%
3
SUB
43%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
56%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
33%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
2 OBSERVED5 DERIVED3 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
16 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUN 29, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint7 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER79TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN58STRIKINGN/ACARDIO46AGGRESSIONN/ASUB THREAT20STR DEFENSEN/ARECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
7 SCORED · 3 OPEN
KO Power79
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=9 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin58
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=16 bouts
StrikingN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking volume and accuracy

Cardio46
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

AggressionN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str DefenseN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking defense or absorption rate

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power79 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins9 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin58 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record16 bouts
StrikingUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio46 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
AggressionUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str DefenseUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking defense or absorption rateNot recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100NOV 2008WNOV 2008LFEB 2009WMAR 2009WMAR 2010WJUN 2010LSEP 2010WSEP 2010WJUN 2011WSEP 2011LOCT 2011WAUG 2012WNOV 2015LJUL 2016LAUG 2017LJUL 2018LMAR 2019// SCORE

  1. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 47, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 78, SUB R2.
  7. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 75.
  9. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 84, KO/TKO R2.
  10. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 94, SUB R2.
  11. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 87, KO/TKO R2.
  12. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 97, SUB R1.
  13. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  15. Start, AUG 2017, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  16. Start, JUL 2018, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Ramos), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 66.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
15/16 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
6
40%
3
20%
-
-
-
9
total
SUB
3
20%
3
20%
-
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
-
-
-
-
0
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 9 of 15 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
0%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
16 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Ignacio CapellaMar 8, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 2:59
Combate Americas: Mexico vs. Spain - Capella vs. Herrera
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Devin PowellJul 28, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 1:52
UFC on Fox 30 - Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Body Kick)
L
VS Jordan RinaldiAug 5, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 2:01
UFC Fight Night 114 - Pettis vs. Moreno
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Shoulder Choke)
L
VS Vicente LuqueJul 7, 2016
SubmissionR2 · 3:52
UFC Fight Night 90 - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Brabo Choke)
W
VS Vernon RamosNov 21, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 0:30
UFC Fight Night 78 - Magny vs. Gastelum
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Jorge Campos NegreteAug 30, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 3:15
Black FC 6 - Black Fighting Championships 6
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Gabriel ToussaintOct 15, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 5:00
MXF - Mazatlan Extreme Fighting
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
W
VS Gabriel AlamillaSep 3, 2011
SubmissionR2 · 3:20
BJF - Black Jaguar Fights
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Jorge Campos NegreteJun 15, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 2:54
GEX Old Jack's Fight Night - Payback
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Elias DiazSep 29, 2010
DQ— · 0:00
GEX - Old Jack's Fight Night VIP 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
DQ
L
VS Jimmer HernandezSep 3, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 0:04
SKC 3 - Supreme Kombat Challenge 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS David GonzalezJun 3, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 1:58
GEX - Cage Tournament 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Armbar)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 9-7. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28