// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Alvin Robinson
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Alvin
Robinson

NICKNAME"Kid"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-9-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Alvin Robinson
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
5'8"
AGE
44
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
24 BOUTS
WIN
15
LOSS
9
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
63%
15/24 bouts
FINISH RATE
93%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 3-2
WLWLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 93% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.57
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
1.29
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
51%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.24
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
25%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.20
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#108
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1469
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
43rd
percentile · average opponent rated 1540 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
7th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.34 per fight)

14 rated fights · opponents rated in 61% of recorded fights · last rated fight JAN 9, 2015

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
SUB · 14
DEC · 1
0
KO/TKO
0%
14
SUB
93%
1
DEC
7%
// LOSSES (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 4
5
KO/TKO
56%
4
SUB
44%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
93% FINISH
SUBANY ROUND · 14 fights
93%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
7%
Top win condition: sub · any round.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
24 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN63STRIKING40CARDIO63AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT60STR DEFENSE47RECOVERY78
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=15 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (25%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin63
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=24 bouts
Striking40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio63
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat60
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.2 per 15 min)

Str Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (51%)

Recovery78
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=9 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins15 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (25%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record24 bouts
Striking40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat60 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.2 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (51%)Not recorded
Recovery78 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.9 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100FEB 2005WFEB 2005WJUN 2005WSEP 2005WDEC 2005WAPR 2006LMAY 2006WJUL 2006WDEC 2006WFEB 2007LJUL 2007WOCT 2007LJAN 2008LNOV 2008LDEC 2009WMAY 2010WJUL 2010LFEB 2011WSEP 2011LOCT 2012WSEP 2013LMAY 2014WNOV 2014LJAN 2015WNOV 2015// SCORE

  1. Start, FEB 2005, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, FEB 2005, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, JUN 2005, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, SEP 2005, momentum score 74, SUB R2.
  5. Start, DEC 2005, momentum score 84, SUB R1.
  6. Start, APR 2006, momentum score 94, SUB R1.
  7. Start, MAY 2006, momentum score 87, KO/TKO R2.
  8. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 97, SUB R1.
  9. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  10. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, JUL 2007, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  13. Start, JAN 2008, momentum score 90, SUB R1.
  14. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 83, SUB R3.
  15. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 73, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 83, SUB R2.
  17. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  18. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  19. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 96, SUB R1.
  20. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 89, SUB R2.
  21. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 99, SUB R1.
  22. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 92, KO/TKO R2.
  23. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  24. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  25. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Johnson), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
24/24 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
13%
2
8%
-
-
-
5
total
SUB
14
58%
3
13%
1
4%
-
-
18
total
DEC
-
-
1
4%
-
-
1
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 24 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
4%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
24 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Josh HuberNov 6, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 3:15
FTW - Prize Fighting Championship 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
L
VS Ricky MusgraveJan 9, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 3:55
RFA 22 - Smith vs. Njokuani
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Fabio SerraoNov 7, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 3:14
RFA 20 - Sanders vs. Mercado
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Gleristone SantosMay 16, 2014
KO/TKOR2 · 4:51
Titan FC 28 - Titan Fighting Championship 28
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Joey MunozSep 14, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 0:42
Kick Down MMA 110 - Enforcers
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
L
VS Daniel StrausOct 26, 2012
SubmissionR2 · 4:51
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 78
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Adam LorenzSep 16, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 0:54
AMMA 8 - Unfinished Business
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Cameron DollarFeb 25, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 4:59
FTW - Mortal Combat
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Jesse HenleyJul 24, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 1:38
FTW / KOC - Worlds Collide
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Brandon GirtzMay 15, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 1:37
CFX - Cage Fighting Xtreme
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Anthony MorrisonDec 4, 2009
KO/TKOR1 · 1:09
ROF 36 - Demolition
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Submission to Punches)
L
VS Mark BocekNov 15, 2008
SubmissionR3 · 3:16
UFC 91 - Couture vs. Lesnar
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 15-9. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28