// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Andrew Kapel
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNMIDDLEWEIGHT

Andrew
Kapel

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
16-7-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Andrew Kapel
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'1"
AGE
41
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
23 BOUTS
WIN
16
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
70%
16/23 bouts
FINISH RATE
94%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 4-1
WWWLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 63% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.30
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
52%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.65
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
62%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 90 rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#57
against the 90 rated on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1526
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
61st
percentile · average opponent rated 1558 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
74th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.25 per fight)

7 rated fights · opponents rated in 30% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 15, 2020 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (16)
n = 16
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 10
DEC · 1
5
KO/TKO
31%
10
SUB
63%
1
DEC
6%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
SUB · 6
DEC · 1
0
KO/TKO
0%
6
SUB
86%
1
DEC
14%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
94% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
31%
SUBANY ROUND · 10 fights
63%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
6%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
23 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUN 29, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER45TD DEFENSE49GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING54CARDIO51AGGRESSION28SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power45
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=16 wins
TD Defense49
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (62%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=23 bouts
Striking54
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio51
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression28
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins16 wins
TD Defense49 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (62%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record23 bouts
Striking54 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio51 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression28 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2008LSEP 2008WOCT 2008LJAN 2009WFEB 2009LMAR 2009WMAY 2009WOCT 2012WDEC 2012WSEP 2013WJAN 2014LJUN 2014WOCT 2014LNOV 2014WNOV 2015WAPR 2016LSEP 2016WJUL 2017WDEC 2017WAPR 2018WFEB 2019WNOV 2019LAUG 2020WOCT 2020// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 38, SUB R1.
  3. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 48, SUB R1.
  4. Start, JAN 2009, momentum score 41, DEC R3.
  5. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 51, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 44, SUB R1.
  7. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 54, SUB R1.
  8. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  10. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 84, SUB R1.
  11. Start, JAN 2014, momentum score 94, SUB R1.
  12. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 87, SUB R3.
  13. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 97, SUB R2.
  14. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 90, SUB R1.
  15. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  18. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, FEB 2019, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  22. Start, NOV 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  23. Start, AUG 2020, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  24. Start, OCT 2020, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Hunt), bottomed at 38 (L vs Lynch). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
23/23 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
17%
1
4%
-
-
-
5
total
SUB
12
52%
2
9%
2
9%
-
-
16
total
DEC
-
-
2
9%
-
-
2
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 23 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
9%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
23 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Joseph CreerOct 15, 2020
KO/TKOR2 · 5:00
Bellator 249 - Cyborg vs. Blencowe
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
L
VS John SalterAug 21, 2020
SubmissionR3 · 3:11
Bellator 244 - Bader vs. Nemkov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Muhammed LawalNov 8, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 1:22
Bellator 233 - Salter vs. van Steenis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Tyler HufnagleFeb 2, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 2:48
HFC 38 - Kapel vs. Hufnagle
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Kevin NowaczykApr 14, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
VFC 60 - Victory Fighting Championship 60
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Maurice JacksonDec 1, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 0:48
Fresquez Productions - Jackson-Wink Fight Night 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Adam StroupJul 8, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 2:19
SCL 60 - Duality
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Taras PihynukSep 9, 2016
SubmissionR2 · 3:15
Fight Night at the Island - Saunders vs. Volkmann
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kneebar)
W
VS Nick KrausApr 30, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 2:25
HFC 28 - Hoosier Fight Club 28
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
W
VS Brandon HuntNov 21, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 3:55
KOTC - Bear Brawl
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Anthony SmithNov 29, 2014
SubmissionR1 · N/A
EB - Beatdown at 4 Bears 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Bill SmallwoodOct 25, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 0:52
Dakota FC 19 - Fall Brawl 2014
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 16-7. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28