// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Andy Manzolo
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNMIDDLEWEIGHT

Andy
Manzolo

NICKNAME"Predator"·ESTONIA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
28-10-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Andy Manzolo
FIGHTER -
EST
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! STALE
HEIGHT
5'11"
AGE
42
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
38 BOUTS
WIN
28
LOSS
10
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
74%
28/38 bouts
FINISH RATE
89%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 4-1
WWWLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: STALE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 64% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.85
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
52%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.64
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
62%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 90 rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#86
against the 90 rated on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1468
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
9th
percentile · average opponent rated 1507 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
23rd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.14 per fight)

14 rated fights · opponents rated in 38% of recorded fights · last rated fight FEB 25, 2023 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (28)
n = 28
KO/TKO · 7
SUB · 18
DEC · 3
7
KO/TKO
25%
18
SUB
64%
3
DEC
11%
// LOSSES (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 3
DEC · 2
5
KO/TKO
50%
3
SUB
30%
2
DEC
20%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
89% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 7 fights
25%
SUBANY ROUND · 18 fights
64%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
11%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
38 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUN 29, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER36TD DEFENSE49GRAPPLING60CHIN72STRIKING60CARDIO52AGGRESSION37SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE53RECOVERY90
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power36
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=28 wins
TD Defense49
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (62%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin72
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=38 bouts
Striking60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio52
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression37
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (54%)

Recovery90
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=10 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins28 wins
TD Defense49 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (62%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record38 bouts
Striking60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio52 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression37 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Recovery90 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.10 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100DEC 2009LDEC 2009WDEC 2009WMAR 2012LOCT 2012WFEB 2013WFEB 2014WAPR 2014WMAY 2014WAUG 2014WNOV 2014LMAR 2015WNOV 2015WMAR 2016WAUG 2016LSEP 2016WSEP 2016WOCT 2016WNOV 2016LDEC 2016WMAR 2017LJUN 2017WJUL 2017WNOV 2017WMAR 2018WSEP 2018WOCT 2018WOCT 2018WAPR 2019LNOV 2019LFEB 2020WFEB 2020LOCT 2020WAPR 2021WNOV 2021WFEB 2022WMAY 2022LFEB 2023WAPR 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 35, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 45, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  5. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 42, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 49, DEC R3.
  7. Start, FEB 2014, momentum score 59, SUB R1.
  8. Start, APR 2014, momentum score 70, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 79, SUB R1.
  10. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  11. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R3.
  12. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 95, SUB R1.
  14. Start, MAR 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  16. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  17. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  18. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  21. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  22. Start, JUN 2017, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  23. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  24. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  25. Start, MAR 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  26. Start, SEP 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  27. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  28. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  29. Start, APR 2019, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  30. Start, NOV 2019, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  31. Start, FEB 2020, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  32. Start, FEB 2020, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  33. Start, OCT 2020, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  34. Start, APR 2021, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  35. Start, NOV 2021, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  36. Start, FEB 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  37. Start, MAY 2022, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  38. Start, FEB 2023, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  39. Start, APR 2026, momentum score 100, SUB R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Stevens), bottomed at 35 (L vs Pocevicius). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
38/38 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
11
29%
-
1
3%
-
-
12
total
SUB
15
39%
6
16%
-
-
-
21
total
DEC
-
-
5
13%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 11 of 38 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
13%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
38 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Shaun LomasApr 26, 2026
SubmissionR2 · 2:59
Forza Fighting Championship - Forza FC 14: The Prize Fighter Showdowns
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
VS Norbert Novenyi Jr.Feb 25, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 3:12
Bellator 291 - Amosov vs. Storley 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punch)
W
VS Robbie KennedyMay 21, 2022
SubmissionR2 · 3:20
Supreme Cage FC 17 - Supreme Cage Fighting Championships 17
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Ben SchneiderFeb 14, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 1:27
Supreme Cage FC 16 - Supreme Cage Fighting Championships 16
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO
W
VS Warren KeeNov 6, 2021
KO/TKOR1 · 4:31
Supreme Cage FC 15 - Supreme Cage Fighting Championships 15
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO
W
VS Jacob ZilbermanApr 17, 2021
KO/TKOR1 · 0:00
UFL 5 - Ultimate Fight League 5: Next Gen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Charlie WardOct 3, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator Milan - Gallagher vs. Ellenor
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS David RoundFeb 29, 2020
SubmissionR1 · 3:05
Supreme Cage FC 14 - Supreme Cage Fighting Championships 14
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
L
VS Dmitri IvanovFeb 22, 2020
KO/TKOR1 · 0:34
The League 2 - The League
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Kent KauppinenNov 23, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 3:53
Bellator London - MVP vs. Melillo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Forearm Choke)
W
VS Maksym SorokaApr 13, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 0:28
DFS 3 - Duel Fight Series 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Justin MooreOct 27, 2018
SubmissionR2 · 2:24
FFC 28 - Fusion Fighting Championship 28
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 28-10. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Andy Manzolo

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Andy ManzoloUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28