// Roster Index›Women's Strawweight›Dossier · Ariane Carnelossi
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWOMEN'S STRAWWEIGHT

Ariane
Carnelossi

NICKNAME"Sorriso"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-5-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Ariane Carnelossi
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'2"
REACH
5'1"
AGE
33
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Women's Strawweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
20 BOUTS
WIN
15
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
75%
15/20 bouts
FINISH RATE
79%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 1-4
LLWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 60% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.63
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 3.67
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
39%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 44%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.61
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 4.18
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
44%
Striking Defense
Reference value 54%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.08
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.00
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 36%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
23%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 62%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.22
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.30
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 58 other rated fighters on the UFC women's strawweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#33
of 59 on the UFC women's strawweight roster · Elo 1531
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
40th
percentile · average opponent rated 1523 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
10th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.20 per fight)

13 rated fights · opponents rated in 65% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 6, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 9
SUB · 2
DEC · 3
9
KO/TKO
60%
2
SUB
13%
3
DEC
20%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 2
DEC · 2
2
KO/TKO
40%
2
SUB
40%
2
DEC
40%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
79% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 9 fights
60%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
13%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
20%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
21 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER86TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING45CHIN76STRIKING29CARDIO66AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE31RECOVERY60
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power86
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=15 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (23%)

Grappling45
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin76
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=20 bouts
Striking29
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio66
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.22 per 15 min)

Str Defense31
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (44%)

Recovery60
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power86 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins15 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (23%)Not recorded
Grappling45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin76 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record20 bouts
Striking29 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio66 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.22 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense31 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (44%)Not recorded
Recovery60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2014LSEP 2014WNOV 2014WMAY 2015WSEP 2015WMAY 2016WDEC 2016WMAR 2017WAUG 2017WAUG 2017WJAN 2018WNOV 2018WNOV 2018WMAY 2019LSEP 2019WAPR 2021WOCT 2021LMAY 2022LMAY 2022WMAY 2024LNOV 2025LJUN 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 38, SUB R1.
  3. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, SEP 2015, momentum score 67, KO/TKO R2.
  6. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 77, SUB R1.
  7. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 87, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 96, KO/TKO R2.
  9. Start, AUG 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  10. Start, AUG 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  11. Start, JAN 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  12. Start, NOV 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, NOV 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  15. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R3.
  16. Start, APR 2021, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  17. Start, OCT 2021, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  18. Start, MAY 2022, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  19. Start, MAY 2022, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  20. Start, MAY 2024, momentum score 93.
  21. Start, NOV 2025, momentum score 86, SUB R3.
  22. Start, JUN 2026, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Paula), bottomed at 38 (L vs Ribas). Current reading: 76.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
20/21 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
20%
5
25%
2
10%
-
-
11
total
SUB
2
10%
-
2
10%
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
5
25%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 9 of 20 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
24%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
21 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Ketlen SouzaJun 6, 2026
KO/TKOR1 · 1:34
UFC Fight Night 278 - Muhammad vs. Bonfim
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches and Head Kick)
L
SubmissionR3 · 4:36
UFC Fight Night 263 - Garcia vs. Onama
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Piera RodriguezMay 18, 2024
DQR2 · 3:16
UFC Fight Night 241 - Barboza vs. Murphy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Disqualification (Headbutts)
L
VS Lupita GodinezMay 7, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 274 - Oliveira vs. Gaethje
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Loopy GodinezMay 7, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 274 - Oliveira vs. Gaethje
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Istela NunesOct 16, 2021
SubmissionR3 · 2:57
UFC Fight Night 195 - Ladd vs. Dumont
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Na LiangApr 24, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 1:28
UFC 261 - Usman vs. Masvidal 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Angela HillSep 21, 2019
KO/TKOR3 · 1:56
UFC Fight Night 159 - Rodriguez vs. Stephens
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
W
VS Ketlen SouzaMay 24, 2019
KO/TKOR3 · 3:53
Future FC 5 - Alves vs. Ramos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Body Kick)
W
VS Aline PiresNov 3, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 1:05
Thunder Fight 17 - Rise of Immortals
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Joice Mara da SilvaNov 3, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Thunder Fight 17 - Rise of Immortals
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Bianca SattelmayerJan 24, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Batalha MMA 11 - Mano vs. Buzika
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Women's Strawweight. Professional record 15-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27