// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Ariel Sepulveda
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNMIDDLEWEIGHT

Ariel
Sepulveda

NICKNAME"The Smash"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
6-7-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Ariel Sepulveda
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'1"
AGE
43
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
13 BOUTS
WIN
6
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
46%
6/13 bouts
FINISH RATE
67%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
WLWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.80
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.77
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
52%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
60%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 90 rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#84
against the 90 rated on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1480
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
6th
percentile · average opponent rated 1496 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
42nd
percentile · matched what opponents' ratings predicted (0.00 per fight)

10 rated fights · opponents rated in 77% of recorded fights · last rated fight JAN 24, 2014

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (6)
n = 6
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 3
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
17%
3
SUB
50%
2
DEC
33%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
DEC · 4
1
KO/TKO
14%
2
SUB
29%
4
DEC
57%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
67% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
17%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
50%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
33%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
13 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUN 30, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER24TD DEFENSE44GRAPPLING60CHIN79STRIKING46CARDIO68AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE49RECOVERY67
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power24
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=6 wins
TD Defense44
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (60%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin79
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=13 bouts
Striking46
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio68
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense49
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (52%)

Recovery67
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power24 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins6 wins
TD Defense44 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin79 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record13 bouts
Striking46 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense49 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (52%)Not recorded
Recovery67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100NOV 2009LNOV 2009LJAN 2010WAPR 2010LJUN 2010LJUN 2010WFEB 2011LAPR 2011WJUN 2011WDEC 2011LOCT 2012WJAN 2013WAPR 2013LJAN 2014// SCORE

  1. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 38, DEC R3.
  3. Start, JAN 2010, momentum score 31, SUB R1.
  4. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 42, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 35, DEC R3.
  6. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 25, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 35, SUB R1.
  8. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 28, DEC R3.
  9. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 35, DEC R3.
  10. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 44, SUB R1.
  11. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 37, DEC R3.
  12. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 44, DEC R3.
  13. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 54, SUB R3.
  14. Start, JAN 2014, momentum score 47, SUB R1.

Peaked at 54 (W vs Massenzio), bottomed at 25 (L vs Vizcaya). Current reading: 47.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
13/13 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
15%
-
-
-
-
2
total
SUB
4
31%
-
1
8%
-
-
5
total
DEC
-
-
6
46%
-
-
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 13 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
46%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
13 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Keith BerishJan 24, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 4:30
ROC 47 - Ring of Combat 47
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Mike MassenzioApr 5, 2013
SubmissionR3 · 1:14
ROC 44 - Ring of Combat 44
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Ryan ContaldiJan 24, 2013
DecisionR3 · 4:00
ROC 43 - Ring of Combat 43
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Duane BastressOct 19, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 77
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Rex HarrisDec 10, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 3:15
CFFC 12 - Pollard vs. Soto
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
W
VS Shedrick GoodridgeJun 10, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CFFC 9 - Beach Brawl
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Kyle CerminaraApr 16, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CFFC 7 - No Mercy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Steve DurigFeb 4, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 2:24
ROC 34 - Ring of Combat 34
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
L
VS Daniel VizcayaJun 26, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 4:40
M-1 Selection 2010 - The Americas Round 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
L
VS Carlos BrooksJun 11, 2010
DecisionR3 · 4:00
ROC 30 - Ring of Combat 30
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Majority)
W
VS Charlie JosephApr 16, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 1:27
ROC 29 - Ring of Combat 29
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knee Injury)
L
VS Tim WilliamsJan 23, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 4:59
LITC 2 - Locked in the Cage 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 6-7. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28