// Roster Index›Bantamweight›Dossier · Blair Tugman
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNBANTAMWEIGHT

Blair
Tugman

NICKNAME"The Bull Shark"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
11-7-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Blair Tugman
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'0"
WEIGHT
Bantamweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
18 BOUTS
WIN
11
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
61%
11/18 bouts
FINISH RATE
36%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 4-1
WWWLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
BRAWLER

Brawler fighter with no dominant single weapon — 64% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.25
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
53%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
0.93
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
7.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
60%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 103 rated fighters on the UFC bantamweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#88
against the 103 rated on the UFC bantamweight roster · Elo 1491
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
30th
percentile · average opponent rated 1530 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
50th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.10 per fight)

14 rated fights · opponents rated in 78% of recorded fights · last rated fight AUG 3, 2018

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (11)
n = 11
SUB · 4
DEC · 7
0
KO/TKO
0%
4
SUB
36%
7
DEC
64%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
SUB · 2
DEC · 5
0
KO/TKO
0%
2
SUB
29%
5
DEC
71%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
36% FINISH
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
36%
DECFULL FIGHT · 7 fights
64%
Top win condition: sub · any round.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
18 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUN 30, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING45CARDIO78AGGRESSION75SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE44RECOVERY71
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=11 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=18 bouts
Striking45
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio78
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression75
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense44
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (50%)

Recovery71
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins11 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record18 bouts
Striking45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio78 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression75 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense44 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (50%)Not recorded
Recovery71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2007WJUN 2007WJUL 2007LSEP 2007WOCT 2007WFEB 2008LAPR 2008LMAR 2009WOCT 2010LAPR 2011LJUN 2013WSEP 2014WFEB 2015LJUL 2015WAPR 2016WNOV 2016WAPR 2017LAUG 2017WAUG 2018// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, JUL 2007, momentum score 59, DEC R3.
  4. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 52, DEC R1.
  5. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 62, SUB R1.
  6. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 72, SUB R1.
  7. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 65, SUB R2.
  8. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 58, DEC R3.
  9. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 67, SUB R1.
  10. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 60, DEC R3.
  11. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 53, DEC R3.
  12. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 60, DEC R3.
  13. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 67, DEC R3.
  14. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 60, SUB R3.
  15. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 67, DEC R3.
  16. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 74, DEC R3.
  17. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 84, SUB R3.
  18. Start, AUG 2017, momentum score 77, DEC R3.
  19. Start, AUG 2018, momentum score 84, DEC R3.

Peaked at 84 (W vs English), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 84.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
18/18 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
-
-
-
-
-
0
total
SUB
3
17%
1
6%
2
11%
-
-
6
total
DEC
1
6%
-
11
61%
-
-
12
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
No early-round finish pattern
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
67%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
18 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Shane ManleyAug 3, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CES MMA 51 - Andrews vs. Owens
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS A.J. McKeeAug 25, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 182 - Koreshkov vs. Njokuani
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Tom EnglishApr 21, 2017
SubmissionR3 · 4:54
Bellator 178 - Straus vs. Pitbull 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 163 - McGeary vs. Davis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jay PerrinApr 22, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 153 - Koreshkov vs. Henderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Kin MoyJul 17, 2015
SubmissionR3 · 3:01
Bellator 140 - Lima vs. Koreshkov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 134 - British Invasion
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 123
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CES MMA 17 - New Blood
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 39
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Todd SweeneyOct 22, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 0:46
CES MMA 2 - Cage of Horrors
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
RIE 1 - Battle at the Burg
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Bantamweight. Professional record 11-7. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28