// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Bruno Carvalho
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Bruno
Carvalho

NICKNAME"N/A"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-11-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Bruno Carvalho
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'8"
AGE
44
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
26 BOUTS
WIN
15
LOSS
11
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
58%
15/26 bouts
FINISH RATE
79%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 2-3
WLWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 47% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.60
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
45%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
0.93
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
66%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
4.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#112
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1408
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1488 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
15th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.23 per fight)

18 rated fights · opponents rated in 55% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUL 9, 2022

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 7
SUB · 6
DEC · 3
7
KO/TKO
47%
6
SUB
40%
3
DEC
20%
// LOSSES (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 6
SUB · 2
DEC · 8
6
KO/TKO
55%
2
SUB
18%
8
DEC
73%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
79% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 7 fights
47%
SUBANY ROUND · 6 fights
40%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
20%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
33 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUN 30, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER57TD DEFENSE58GRAPPLING60CHIN60STRIKING34CARDIO60AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT100STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY53
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Sub Threat. Lowest scored axis: Aggression.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power57
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=15 wins
TD Defense58
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (66%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin60
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=26 bouts
Striking34
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio60
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (4 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery53
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=16 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins15 wins
TD Defense58 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (66%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record26 bouts
Striking34 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery53 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.16 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2003WSEP 2003LMAY 2005WNOV 2005WFEB 2008LMAR 2008LJUL 2008WAUG 2008LNOV 2008WAPR 2009WMAY 2009WSEP 2009WOCT 2009WDEC 2009WMAR 2010LJUN 2010WNOV 2010WDEC 2010WAPR 2011LJUL 2011LNOV 2011WMAR 2012LOCT 2012WMAR 2013LMAR 2013LOCT 2013LMAR 2014LJUN 2014LMAY 2015WOCT 2015LOCT 2016WMAR 2021LMAY 2021LJUL 2022// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2003, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2003, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, MAY 2005, momentum score 46, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, NOV 2005, momentum score 56, SUB R2.
  5. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 63.
  6. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 53, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 46, DEC R3.
  8. Start, AUG 2008, momentum score 53, DEC R2.
  9. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 46, DEC R3.
  10. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 53, DEC R3.
  11. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 63, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 84, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 94, SUB R3.
  15. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  17. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  18. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  19. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  20. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R2.
  21. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  23. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  24. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 92, KO/TKO R2.
  25. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 85, SUB R1.
  26. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R1.
  27. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 69, DEC R3.
  28. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 62, DEC R3.
  29. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 52, KO/TKO R1.
  30. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 62, SUB R2.
  31. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 52, KO/TKO R1.
  32. Start, MAR 2021, momentum score 61, KO/TKO R2.
  33. Start, MAY 2021, momentum score 54, DEC R3.
  34. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 47, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Nobrega), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 47.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
32/33 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
11
34%
2
6%
-
-
-
13
total
SUB
3
9%
3
9%
2
6%
-
-
8
total
DEC
-
2
6%
9
28%
-
-
11
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 13 of 32 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
33%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
33 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Tato PrimeraJul 9, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
SCC 11 - Strikers Cage Championship 11
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Mate KerteszMay 1, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Oktagon MMA - Oktagon 23: Knize vs. Fusi
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Souhil TairiMar 20, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 1:23
UAE Warriors - UAE Warriors 18
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Papy AbediOct 8, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 4:01
Superior Challenge 14 - Stockholm
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Eun Soo KimOct 24, 2015
SubmissionR2 · 3:09
Top FC 9 - Battle of Incheon
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Mohammed AbdallahMay 16, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 2:14
Superior Challenge 12 - Malmo 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
L
VS Jack MasonJun 7, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CWFC 69 - Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 69: Super Saturday
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Mohsen BahariMar 22, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CWFC 66 - Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 66
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Gael GrimaudOct 25, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 0:45
CWFC - Fight Night 9
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Edson BertoMar 28, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 1:27
Bellator MMA - Bellator 94
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Heel Hook)
W
VS Steven DinsdaleMar 9, 2013
KO/TKOR2 · 1:48
CWFC 52 - Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 52
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Cathal PendredOct 27, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CWFC 49 - Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 49
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 15-11. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28