// Roster Index›Bantamweight›Dossier · Bryan Caraway
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNBANTAMWEIGHT

Bryan
Caraway

NICKNAME"Kid Lightning"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
22-9-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Bryan Caraway
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'8"
REACH
5'8"
AGE
42
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Bantamweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
31 BOUTS
WIN
22
LOSS
9
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
71%
22/31 bouts
FINISH RATE
82%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 3-2
WWLLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 73% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.53
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
34%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.61
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.57
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
25%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
80%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.80
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 103 rated fighters on the UFC bantamweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#67
against the 103 rated on the UFC bantamweight roster · Elo 1528
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
82nd
percentile · average opponent rated 1591 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
35th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.05 per fight)

18 rated fights · opponents rated in 60% of recorded fights · last rated fight NOV 30, 2018

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (22)
n = 22
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 16
DEC · 4
2
KO/TKO
9%
16
SUB
73%
4
DEC
18%
// LOSSES (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 2
DEC · 5
2
KO/TKO
22%
2
SUB
22%
5
DEC
56%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
82% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
9%
SUBANY ROUND · 16 fights
73%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
18%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
31 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE89GRAPPLING60CHIN80STRIKING23CARDIO74AGGRESSION27SUB THREAT40STR DEFENSE53RECOVERY78
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=22 wins
TD Defense89
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (80%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin80
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=31 bouts
Striking23
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio74
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression27
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat40
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.8 per 15 min)

Str Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (54%)

Recovery78
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=9 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins22 wins
TD Defense89 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (80%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record31 bouts
Striking23 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio74 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression27 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat40 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.8 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Recovery78 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.9 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2005LSEP 2005WMAR 2006WMAR 2006WMAY 2006WJUN 2006LSEP 2006WJAN 2007WFEB 2007WMAY 2007WJUN 2007WDEC 2007WAPR 2008WJUN 2008LJUL 2008WNOV 2008WJUN 2009WOCT 2009LJAN 2010LAUG 2010WFEB 2011WDEC 2011WJUL 2012LMAR 2013WAPR 2013WJUN 2014LOCT 2014WJUL 2015WMAY 2016LMAR 2018LNOV 2018WJUL 2019// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2005, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2005, momentum score 38, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 58, SUB R1.
  5. Start, MAY 2006, momentum score 68, SUB R2.
  6. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 78, SUB R1.
  7. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 71, SUB R2.
  8. Start, JAN 2007, momentum score 81, SUB R2.
  9. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 90, SUB R2.
  10. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  13. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  14. Start, JUN 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  15. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  16. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  18. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, JAN 2010, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  20. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  21. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 96, SUB R1.
  22. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  23. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  24. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  25. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  26. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  27. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  28. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  29. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  30. Start, MAR 2018, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  31. Start, NOV 2018, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  32. Start, JUL 2019, momentum score 90, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Mitchell), bottomed at 38 (L vs Loveland). Current reading: 90.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
31/31 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
10%
1
3%
-
-
-
4
total
SUB
8
26%
8
26%
2
6%
-
-
18
total
DEC
-
-
9
29%
-
-
9
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 4 of 31 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
29%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
31 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Raja ShippenJul 27, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Battlefield FC 2 - Battlefield Fighting Championship 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Pedro MunhozNov 30, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 2:39
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 28 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Body Kick and Punches)
L
VS Cody StamannMar 3, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 222 - Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Aljamain SterlingMay 29, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 88 - Almeida vs. Garbrandt
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Eddie WinelandJul 25, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on Fox 16 - Dillashaw vs. Barao 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Raphael AssuncaoOct 4, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 54 - MacDonald vs. Saffiedine
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Erik PerezJun 7, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 1:52
UFC Fight Night 42 - Henderson vs. Khabilov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Johnny BedfordApr 27, 2013
SubmissionR3 · 4:44
UFC 159 - Jones vs. Sonnen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Takeya MizugakiMar 3, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on Fuel TV 8 - Silva vs. Stann
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Mitch GagnonJul 21, 2012
SubmissionR3 · 1:39
UFC 149 - Faber vs. Barao
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Dustin NeaceDec 3, 2011
SubmissionR2 · 3:38
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 14 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Marlin WeikelFeb 19, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 3:17
CS - CageSport 13
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Bantamweight. Professional record 22-9. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28