// Roster Index›Light Heavyweight›Dossier · Carlos Ulberg
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNCHAMPIONLIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT

Carlos
Ulberg

NICKNAME"Black Jag"·NEW ZEALAND
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
14-1-0
CURRENT FORM
5W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
City Kickboxing
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Carlos Ulberg
FIGHTER 000
NEW🇳🇿
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! STALE
HEIGHT
6'4"
REACH
6'5"
AGE
35
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Light Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
15 BOUTS
WIN
14
LOSS
1
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
93%
14/15 bouts
FINISH RATE
71%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS5W STREAK · 5-0
WWWWW
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: STALE
FIGHTING STYLE
POWER PUNCHER

Power puncher fighter with elite knockout power — 64% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
6.57
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
55%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 49%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.03
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
51%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.53
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
60%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
85%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.20
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 55 other rated fighters on the UFC light heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#2
of 56 on the UFC light heavyweight roster · Elo 1675
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
80th
percentile · average opponent rated 1595 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
96th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.47 per fight)

13 rated fights · opponents rated in 87% of recorded fights · last rated fight APR 11, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (14)
n = 14
KO/TKO · 9
SUB · 1
DEC · 4
9
KO/TKO
64%
1
SUB
7%
4
DEC
29%
// LOSSES (1)
n = 1
KO/TKO · 1
1
KO/TKO
100%
0
SUB
0%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
71% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 9 fights
64%
SUBANY ROUND · 1 fights
7%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
29%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
15 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 27, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER92TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLING45CHIN80STRIKING91CARDIO62AGGRESSION72SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE47RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power92
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=14 wins
TD Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (85%)

Grappling45
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin80
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=15 bouts
Striking91
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio62
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression72
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.2 per 15 min)

Str Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (51%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=1 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power92 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins14 wins
TD Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (85%)Not recorded
Grappling45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record15 bouts
Striking91 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio62 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.2 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (51%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.1 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100AUG 2011WAUG 2011WAUG 2016WDEC 2018WNOV 2020LMAR 2021WFEB 2022WJUN 2022WNOV 2022WMAY 2023WSEP 2023WMAY 2024WNOV 2024WMAR 2025WSEP 2025WAPR 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, AUG 2011, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, AUG 2011, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, DEC 2018, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  5. Start, NOV 2020, momentum score 82, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, MAR 2021, momentum score 75, KO/TKO R2.
  7. Start, FEB 2022, momentum score 82, DEC R3.
  8. Start, JUN 2022, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, NOV 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, MAY 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, SEP 2023, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  12. Start, MAY 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, NOV 2024, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, SEP 2025, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, APR 2026, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Negumereanu), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
15/15 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
8
53%
2
13%
-
-
-
10
total
SUB
-
-
1
7%
-
-
1
total
DEC
-
-
4
27%
-
-
4
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 10 of 15 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
27%, fights rarely go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
City Kickboxing
VIEW FIGHTER DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
STRIKING-FIRSTCAGE DEFENSE

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
15 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Jiri ProchazkaApr 11, 2026
KO/TKOR1 · 3:45
UFC 327 - Prochazka vs. Ulberg
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Dominick ReyesSep 27, 2025
KO/TKOR1 · 4:27
UFC Fight Night 260 - Ulberg vs. Reyes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Jan BlachowiczMar 22, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 255 - Edwards vs. Brady
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Volkan OezdemirNov 23, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 248 - Yan vs. Figueiredo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Alonzo MenifieldMay 11, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 0:12
UFC on ESPN 56 - Lewis vs. Nascimento
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Da Woon JungSep 9, 2023
SubmissionR3 · 4:49
UFC 293 - Adesanya vs. Strickland
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Ihor PotieriaMay 13, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 2:09
UFC on ABC 4 - Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Nicolae NegumereanuNov 12, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 3:44
UFC 281 - Adesanya vs. Pereira
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Tafon NchukwiJun 25, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 1:15
UFC on ESPN 38 - Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Fabio CherantFeb 12, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 271 - Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Kennedy NzechukwuMar 6, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 3:19
UFC 259 - Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Bruno OliveiraNov 4, 2020
KO/TKOR1 · 2:02
Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2020: Week 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Light Heavyweight. Professional record 14-1. Reigning Light Heavyweight champion.

Research Carlos Ulberg

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27