// Roster Index›Featherweight›Dossier · Casey Johnson
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0FEATHERWEIGHT

Casey
Johnson

NICKNAME"Full Speed"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
1-2-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PHOTO NOT AVAILABLE
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LOW SAMPLE
HEIGHT
6'2"
REACH
6'6"
AGE
42
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Featherweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
3 BOUTS
WIN
1
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
33%
1/3 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 1-4
LWLLL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LOW SAMPLE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 200% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.25
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
47%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 48%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
1.83
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
60%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.43
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
57%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
77%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 115 rated fighters on the UFC featherweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#113
against the 115 rated on the UFC featherweight roster · Elo 1465
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1433 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
34th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.07 per fight)

8 rated fights · opponents rated in 100% of recorded fights · last rated fight FEB 6, 2018

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (1)
n = 1
SUB · 2
0
KO/TKO
0%
2
SUB
200%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 2
DEC · 2
2
KO/TKO
100%
2
SUB
100%
2
DEC
100%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
200%
Top win condition: sub · any round.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
8 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 1, 2026
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE82GRAPPLING52CHIN20STRIKING47CARDIO54AGGRESSION37SUB THREAT30STR DEFENSE67RECOVERY40
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Chin.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=1 wins
TD Defense82
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (77%)

Grappling52
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin20
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=3 bouts
Striking47
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio54
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=8 bouts
Aggression37
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat30
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense67
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (60%)

Recovery40
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins1 wins
TD Defense82 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (77%)Not recorded
Grappling52 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record3 bouts
Striking47 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio54 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share8 bouts
Aggression37 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat30 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense67 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Recovery40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAY 2007LMAY 2007WAPR 2008LMAY 2009LJUN 2011WNOV 2011LAPR 2012LSEP 2012LFEB 2018// SCORE

  1. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 35, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 45, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 38, KO/TKO R3.
  5. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 31, SUB R1.
  6. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 41, SUB R1.
  7. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 34, DEC R3.
  8. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 27, SUB R1.
  9. Start, FEB 2018, momentum score 20, DEC R3.

Peaked at 45 (Debut), bottomed at 20 (L vs Obregon). Current reading: 20.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
8/8 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
13%
-
1
13%
-
-
2
total
SUB
4
50%
-
-
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
2
25%
-
-
2
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 1 of 8 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
25%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
8 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Javier ObregonFeb 6, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
FSF - Front Street Fights 16
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Will MartinezSep 28, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 2:27
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 74
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Sidemar HonorioApr 21, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Xtreme Caged Combat - Relentless
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Terrell HobbsNov 11, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 2:51
PA Caged Combat - Valley Fight Series 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
L
VS Scott HeckmanJun 24, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 0:37
PACF - PA Cage Fight 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (North-South Choke)
L
VS Patrick HarmanMay 9, 2009
KO/TKOR3 · 1:12
MFL - Michiana Fight League
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Submission to Punches)
W
VS Jack BeemanApr 26, 2008
SubmissionR1 · 1:37
XXX - Extreme Fighting
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS David HeffingtonMay 19, 2007
KO/TKOR1 · 0:47
XXX - Extreme Fighting
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Submission to Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Featherweight. Professional record 1-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Casey Johnson

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Casey JohnsonUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28