// Roster Index›Flyweight›Dossier · Casey Noland
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNFLYWEIGHT

Casey
Noland

NICKNAME"KO"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
4-6-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Casey Noland
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'5"
AGE
48
WEIGHT
Flyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
10 BOUTS
WIN
4
LOSS
6
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
40%
4/10 bouts
FINISH RATE
50%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 2-3
WLWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.70
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
49%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.80
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
52%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
59%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 60 rated fighters on the UFC flyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#48
against the 60 rated on the UFC flyweight roster · Elo 1500
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
50th
percentile · average opponent rated 1530 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
32nd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.08 per fight)

4 rated fights · opponents rated in 40% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 26, 2012 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 1
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
25%
1
SUB
25%
2
DEC
50%
// LOSSES (6)
n = 6
KO/TKO · 3
DEC · 3
3
KO/TKO
50%
0
SUB
0%
3
DEC
50%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
50% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
25%
SUBANY ROUND · 1 fights
25%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
50%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
10 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 1, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER36TD DEFENSE42GRAPPLING40CHIN52STRIKING44CARDIO85AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE49RECOVERY40
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power36
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=4 wins
TD Defense42
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (59%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin52
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=10 bouts
Striking44
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio85
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense49
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (52%)

Recovery40
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins4 wins
TD Defense42 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (59%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin52 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record10 bouts
Striking44 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio85 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense49 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (52%)Not recorded
Recovery40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 1999LSEP 1999LJUN 2000LNOV 2001WAUG 2010WSEP 2010WNOV 2010LAPR 2011WJUL 2011LSEP 2011LOCT 2012// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 1999, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 1999, momentum score 38, DEC R1.
  3. Start, JUN 2000, momentum score 28, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, NOV 2001, momentum score 18, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 25, DEC R3.
  6. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 32, DEC R3.
  7. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 43, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 36, KO/TKO R2.
  9. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 46, SUB R1.
  10. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 39, DEC R3.
  11. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 32, DEC R3.

Peaked at 46 (W vs Nunes), bottomed at 18 (L vs Neff). Current reading: 32.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
10/10 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
30%
1
10%
-
-
-
4
total
SUB
1
10%
-
-
-
-
1
total
DEC
1
10%
-
4
40%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 4 of 10 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
50%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
10 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Zoila FraustoOct 26, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 78
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Jessica EyeSep 24, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 51
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Nina NunesJul 30, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 1:18
The Cage Inc. - Battle at the Border 10
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Michelle BlalockApr 16, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 3:11
ROF 40 - Backlash
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches and Elbows)
W
VS Amy RiehleNov 13, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 2:34
KOTC - Infusion
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Colleen SchneiderSep 24, 2010
DecisionR3 · 3:00
UWC - Ultimate Women Challenge
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jenny TrujilloAug 14, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
FFW - Fight for Wrestling 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Judy NeffNov 9, 2001
KO/TKOR1 · 2:16
IFC WC 16 - Warriors Challenge 16
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
L
VS Lisa BjornstadJun 14, 2000
KO/TKOR1 · 2:01
IFC WC 8 - Warriors Challenge 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Lisa BjornstadSep 18, 1999
Decision— · N/A
IFC WC 5 - Warriors Challenge 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
N/A
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Flyweight. Professional record 4-6. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Casey Noland

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28