// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Chris Heatherly
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Chris
Heatherly

NICKNAME"Stump"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
9-4-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Chris Heatherly
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'9"
AGE
38
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
14 BOUTS
WIN
9
LOSS
4
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
69%
9/14 bouts
FINISH RATE
56%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 2-3
WLLWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 44% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.08
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
45%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.67
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
52%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
3.39
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
100%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.70
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#91
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1488
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
21st
percentile · average opponent rated 1522 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
23rd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.12 per fight)

7 rated fights · opponents rated in 54% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 24, 2016

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 4
DEC · 4
1
KO/TKO
11%
4
SUB
44%
4
DEC
44%
// LOSSES (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 2
DEC · 1
2
KO/TKO
50%
2
SUB
50%
1
DEC
25%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
56% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
11%
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
44%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
44%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
14 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLING63CHIN70STRIKING34CARDIO52AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT35STR DEFENSE49RECOVERY67
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=9 wins
TD Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (100%)

Grappling63
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin70
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=13 bouts
Striking34
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio52
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat35
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.7 per 15 min)

Str Defense49
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (52%)

Recovery67
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=4 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins9 wins
TD Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (100%)Not recorded
Grappling63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record13 bouts
Striking34 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio52 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat35 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.7 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense49 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (52%)Not recorded
Recovery67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.4 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAY 2012WMAY 2012WJUN 2012WAUG 2012WNOV 2012WAPR 2013LAUG 2013WSEP 2013WOCT 2013MAR 2014WJUL 2014LAUG 2014LNOV 2014WJUN 2015LJUN 2016// SCORE

  1. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  5. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 82, SUB R1.
  6. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 89, DEC R3.
  7. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 82, SUB R1.
  8. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 89, DEC R3.
  9. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 99, SUB R1.
  10. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 99, DEC R1.
  11. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  12. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  13. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  15. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Cavan), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 83.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
14/14 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
14%
1
7%
-
-
-
3
total
SUB
5
36%
1
7%
-
-
-
6
total
DEC
1
7%
-
4
29%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 14 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
36%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
14 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Joaquin BuckleyJun 24, 2016
KO/TKOR2 · 4:14
Bellator 157 - Dynamite 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knee)
W
VS Garrett GrossJun 19, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 138 - Unfinished Business
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Augusto MontanoNov 15, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 4:50
UFC 180 - Werdum vs. Hunt
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knees)
L
VS Ben SaundersAug 23, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 2:18
UFC Fight Night 49 - Henderson vs. dos Anjos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Omoplata)
W
VS Josh CavanJul 25, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 3:20
RFA 16 - Copeland vs. Jorgensen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
D
VS Chidi NjokuaniMar 7, 2014
DecisionR1 · 3:31
RFA 13 - Cochrane vs. Escudero
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
NC (Elbow to Spine)
W
VS Dakota CochraneOct 26, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 4:13
WFH - Warriors for Heroes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Josh TulleySep 14, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CTP - Cage Time Production
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Alex GarciaAug 17, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 1:42
Challenge MMA 2 - Think Big
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Gert KocaniApr 5, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CFE - Cage Fighting Events
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Salvador WoodsNov 3, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 0:49
CC 40 - Cage Championships 40
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Shoulder Choke)
W
VS Sean HuffmanAug 18, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CC 39 - Cage Championships 39
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 9-4 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Chris Heatherly

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28