// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Christian Leroy Duncan
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNRANKED #12STOCK +2MIDDLEWEIGHT

Christian Leroy
Duncan

NICKNAME"CLD"·UNITED KINGDOM
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-2-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Range Martial Arts Academy
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Christian Leroy Duncan
FIGHTER 012
UNI🇬🇧
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
6'2"
REACH
6'7"
AGE
31
STANCE
SWITCH
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
17 BOUTS
WIN
15
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
88%
15/17 bouts
FINISH RATE
73%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 4-1
WWWWL
Form trend +2 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
POWER PUNCHER

Power puncher fighter with elite knockout power — 67% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.49
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
57%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.34
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.35
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
20%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
59%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 89 other rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#12
of 90 on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1627
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
79th
percentile · average opponent rated 1577 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
69th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.21 per fight)

15 rated fights · opponents rated in 83% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 10, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 10
SUB · 1
DEC · 4
10
KO/TKO
67%
1
SUB
7%
4
DEC
27%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
SUB · 1
DEC · 2
0
KO/TKO
0%
1
SUB
50%
2
DEC
100%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
73% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 10 fights
67%
SUBANY ROUND · 1 fights
7%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
27%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
18 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 27, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER95TD DEFENSE42GRAPPLING40CHIN88STRIKING73CARDIO68AGGRESSION36SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power95
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=15 wins
TD Defense42
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (59%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=17 bouts
Striking73
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio68
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression36
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power95 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins15 wins
TD Defense42 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (59%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record17 bouts
Striking73 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2020WSEP 2020WDEC 2020WMAR 2021WJUN 2021WDEC 2021WAPR 2022WNOV 2022WMAR 2023LJUN 2023WNOV 2023WMAR 2024LJUL 2024WMAR 2025WAUG 2025WNOV 2025WMAR 2026WJUL 2026LOCT 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2020, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2020, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, DEC 2020, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, MAR 2021, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, JUN 2021, momentum score 81, DEC R3.
  6. Start, DEC 2021, momentum score 90, SUB R1.
  7. Start, APR 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  8. Start, NOV 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, MAR 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, JUN 2023, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  11. Start, NOV 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  12. Start, MAR 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  13. Start, JUL 2024, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  14. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, AUG 2025, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, NOV 2025, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  17. Start, MAR 2026, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  18. Start, JUL 2026, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  19. Start, OCT 2026, momentum score 93, SUB R5.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Melan), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
18/18 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
22%
5
28%
1
6%
-
-
10
total
SUB
1
6%
-
-
-
1
6%
2
total
DEC
-
-
6
33%
-
-
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 9 of 18 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
R5 finishes on record
// DECISION RATE
33%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Range Martial Arts Academy
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
BALANCED

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
18 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Brendan AllenOct 10, 2026
SubmissionR5 · 2:46
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
mission
W
VS Jared CannonierJul 18, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 281 - Du Plessis vs. Usman
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Roman DolidzeMar 21, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 270 - Evloev vs. Murphy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Marco TulioNov 8, 2025
KO/TKOR2 · 3:20
UFC Fight Night 264 - Bonfim vs. Brown
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Spinning Backfist and Punches)
W
VS Eryk AndersAug 9, 2025
KO/TKOR1 · 3:53
UFC on ESPN 72 - Dolidze vs. Hernandez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Spinning Back Elbow and Punches)
W
VS Andrey PulyaevMar 22, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 255 - Edwards vs. Brady
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 304 - Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
KO/TKOR2 · 1:57
UFC Fight Night 238 - Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
W
VS Denis TiuliulinNov 18, 2023
KO/TKOR2 · 4:24
UFC Fight Night 232 - Allen vs. Craig
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
L
VS Armen PetrosyanJun 17, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 47 - Vettori vs. Cannonier
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Dusko TodorovicMar 18, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 1:52
UFC 286 - Edwards vs. Usman 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knee Injury)
W
VS Marian DimitrovNov 12, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 4:56
CW 146 - Cage Warriors 146
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Spinning Back Elbow and Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 15-2. Ranked #12 by the UFC.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28