// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Colton Smith
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Colton
Smith

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
7-5-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Colton Smith
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'0"
REACH
5'11"
AGE
39
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
12 BOUTS
WIN
7
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
58%
7/12 bouts
FINISH RATE
43%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 4-1
WWWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
GRAPPLER

Grappler fighter with grappling at the core — 57% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.64
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
41%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.30
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
51%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
4.09
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
36%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
25%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#97
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1470
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
24th
percentile · average opponent rated 1524 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
24th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.10 per fight)

9 rated fights · opponents rated in 69% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 17, 2018

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 1
DEC · 4
2
KO/TKO
29%
1
SUB
14%
4
DEC
57%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 2
DEC · 2
2
KO/TKO
40%
2
SUB
40%
2
DEC
40%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
43% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
29%
SUBANY ROUND · 1 fights
14%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
57%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
13 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER41TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING85CHIN68STRIKING28CARDIO68AGGRESSION28SUB THREAT70STR DEFENSE47RECOVERY60
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Grappling. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power41
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=7 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (25%)

Grappling85
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin68
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=12 bouts
Striking28
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio68
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression28
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat70
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (51%)

Recovery60
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power41 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins7 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (25%)Not recorded
Grappling85 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record12 bouts
Striking28 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression28 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat70 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (51%)Not recorded
Recovery60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100NOV 2008LNOV 2008WMAR 2011WOCT 2011LFEB 2012WDEC 2012LMAY 2013LNOV 2013LJUN 2014WFEB 2015WMAY 2015WOCT 2015WAPR 2016LMAR 2018// SCORE

  1. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 38, DEC R3.
  3. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 48, SUB R1.
  4. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 51, KO/TKO R2.
  6. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 58, DEC R3.
  7. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 51, KO/TKO R3.
  8. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 44, SUB R2.
  9. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 37, SUB R1.
  10. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 44, DEC R3.
  11. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 55, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 62, DEC R3.
  13. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 69, DEC R3.
  14. Start, MAR 2018, momentum score 62, DEC R3.

Peaked at 69 (W vs Valadez), bottomed at 37 (L vs Ferreira). Current reading: 62.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
13/13 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
15%
1
8%
1
8%
-
-
4
total
SUB
2
15%
1
8%
-
-
-
3
total
DEC
-
-
6
46%
-
-
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 13 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
46%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
13 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Sean BradyMar 17, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Shogun Fights - Fort Lauderdale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Joe ValadezApr 30, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
OCFN - Honoring America's Warriors 2016
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Washington Nunes da SilvaOct 17, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
WSOF 24 - Fitch vs. Okami
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Marcus AndrusiaMay 16, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 2:35
RXMMA - Rocks Xtreme MMA 14
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Evan CuttsFeb 28, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
RXMMA - Rocks Xtreme MMA 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Diego FerreiraJun 28, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 0:38
UFC Fight Night 44 - Swanson vs. Stephens
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
SubmissionR2 · 1:41
UFC Fight Night 31 - Fight for the Troops 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
KO/TKOR3 · 0:41
UFC 160 - Velasquez vs. Bigfoot 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Mike RicciDec 15, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 16 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
KO/TKOR2 · 0:08
CFA 5 - Chavez vs. Parsons
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Walter ColesOct 29, 2011
KO/TKOR1 · 1:52
DC - Demolition Combat
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Submission to Punches)
W
VS Brian NielsonMar 25, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 4:19
M-1 Challenge 24 - Damkovsky vs. Figueroa
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 7-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28