// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Dan Keenan
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Dan
Keenan

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
4-1-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PHOTO NOT AVAILABLE
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
AGE
41
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
5 BOUTS
WIN
4
LOSS
1
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
80%
4/5 bouts
FINISH RATE
75%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 4-1
WWWLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.00
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
0.00
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#93
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1484
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
6th
percentile · average opponent rated 1500 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
1st
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.50 per fight)

1 rated fight · opponents rated in 25% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 29, 2009 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
DEC · 1
1
KO/TKO
25%
2
SUB
50%
1
DEC
25%
// LOSSES (1)
n = 1
KO/TKO · 1
1
KO/TKO
100%
0
SUB
0%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
75% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
25%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
50%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
25%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
2 OBSERVED5 DERIVED3 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
5 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint7 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER36TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING40CHIN64STRIKINGN/ACARDIO48AGGRESSIONN/ASUB THREAT20STR DEFENSEN/ARECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
7 SCORED · 3 OPEN
KO Power36
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=4 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin64
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=5 bouts
StrikingN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking volume and accuracy

Cardio48
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

AggressionN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str DefenseN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking defense or absorption rate

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=1 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins4 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin64 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record5 bouts
StrikingUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
AggressionUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str DefenseUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking defense or absorption rateNot recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.1 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100NOV 2008WNOV 2008WMAR 2009WMAY 2009LMAY 2009WOCT 2009// SCORE

  1. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 61, KO/TKO R2.
  4. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 71, SUB R1.
  5. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 61, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 71, SUB R1.

Peaked at 71 (W vs Lerrette), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 71.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
5/5 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
20%
1
20%
-
-
-
2
total
SUB
2
40%
-
-
-
-
2
total
DEC
-
-
1
20%
-
-
1
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 5 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
20%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
5 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Brandon StrongOct 10, 2009
SubmissionR1 · 1:00
TFC 17 - Total Fight Challenge 17
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Chad LeonhardtMay 29, 2009
KO/TKOR1 · 3:03
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 9
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knee)
W
VS Adam LerretteMay 20, 2009
SubmissionR1 · 1:46
BSB - Bourbon Street Brawl 13
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Todd JavorskiMar 11, 2009
KO/TKOR2 · 1:28
BABS - Brawl at Bourbon Street 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Kevin LayheighNov 12, 2008
DecisionR3 · 3:00
BABS - Brawl at Bourbon Street 10
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 4-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Dan Keenan

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Dan KeenanUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28