// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Danny Roberts
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Danny
Roberts

NICKNAME"Hot Chocolate"·ENGLAND
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
18-9-0
CURRENT FORM
4L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Danny Roberts
FIGHTER -
ENG🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'1"
REACH
6'2"
AGE
39
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
27 BOUTS
WIN
18
LOSS
9
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
67%
18/27 bouts
FINISH RATE
72%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS4L STREAK · 1-4
WLLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 44% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.18
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
39%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.73
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.24
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
9%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
57%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.20
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#74
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1523
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
39th
percentile · average opponent rated 1548 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
2nd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.32 per fight)

19 rated fights · opponents rated in 70% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUL 5, 2025

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (18)
n = 18
KO/TKO · 8
SUB · 5
DEC · 5
8
KO/TKO
44%
5
SUB
28%
5
DEC
28%
// LOSSES (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 6
SUB · 2
DEC · 1
6
KO/TKO
67%
2
SUB
22%
1
DEC
11%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
72% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 8 fights
44%
SUBANY ROUND · 5 fights
28%
DECFULL FIGHT · 5 fights
28%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
27 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER63TD DEFENSE38GRAPPLING60CHIN61STRIKING34CARDIO64AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE44RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power63
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=18 wins
TD Defense38
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (57%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin61
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=27 bouts
Striking34
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio64
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.2 per 15 min)

Str Defense44
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (50%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=9 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins18 wins
TD Defense38 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (57%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record27 bouts
Striking34 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio64 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.2 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense44 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (50%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.9 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100DEC 2010WDEC 2010WMAR 2011WJUL 2011WSEP 2011WOCT 2011LDEC 2011WDEC 2011WJUL 2012WMAY 2013WJUL 2013WFEB 2014WMAY 2014WDEC 2015WAPR 2016LOCT 2016WJUL 2017LDEC 2017WMAR 2018WJUL 2018LMAR 2019LMAY 2019WNOV 2019WOCT 2021LMAY 2022LNOV 2022LJUL 2023LJUL 2025// SCORE

  1. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R2.
  4. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 83, SUB R2.
  6. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  7. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  8. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R2.
  9. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  10. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  11. Start, JUL 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  12. Start, FEB 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  15. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  16. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R3.
  17. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  18. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  19. Start, MAR 2018, momentum score 99, KO/TKO R2.
  20. Start, JUL 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  22. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  23. Start, NOV 2019, momentum score 92, KO/TKO R2.
  24. Start, OCT 2021, momentum score 99, DEC R3.
  25. Start, MAY 2022, momentum score 92, DEC R3.
  26. Start, NOV 2022, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  27. Start, JUL 2023, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R2.
  28. Start, JUL 2025, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Mason), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 66.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
27/27 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
6
22%
7
26%
1
4%
-
-
14
total
SUB
3
11%
2
7%
2
7%
-
-
7
total
DEC
-
1
4%
5
19%
-
-
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 13 of 27 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
22%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
27 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Patrick HabiroraJul 5, 2025
KO/TKOR1 · 4:32
Professional Fighters League - PFL Europe 2: 2025 First Round
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Head Kick)
L
VS Jonny ParsonsJul 22, 2023
KO/TKOR2 · 4:57
UFC Fight Night 224 - Aspinall vs. Tybura
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
KO/TKOR1 · 3:24
UFC Fight Night 215 - Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 274 - Oliveira vs. Gaethje
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ramazan EmeevOct 16, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 195 - Ladd vs. Dumont
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Zelim ImadaevNov 9, 2019
KO/TKOR2 · 4:54
UFC Fight Night 163 - Magomedsharipov vs. Kattar
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Michel PereiraMay 18, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 1:47
UFC Fight Night 152 - Dos Anjos vs. Lee
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Flying Knee and Punch)
L
VS Claudio SilvaMar 16, 2019
SubmissionR3 · 2:37
UFC Fight Night 147 - Till vs. Masvidal
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS David ZawadaJul 22, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 134 - Shogun vs. Smith
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Oliver EnkampMar 17, 2018
KO/TKOR2 · 2:12
UFC Fight Night 127 - Werdum vs. Volkov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Nordine TalebDec 16, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 0:59
UFC on Fox 26 - Lawler vs. dos Anjos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Head Kick and Punch)
W
VS Bobby NashJul 16, 2017
KO/TKOR2 · 3:59
UFC Fight Night 113 - Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 18-9. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28