// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Dave Jansen
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0LIGHTWEIGHT

Dave
Jansen

NICKNAME"The Fugitive"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
20-4-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Dave Jansen
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
47
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
24 BOUTS
WIN
20
LOSS
4
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
83%
20/24 bouts
FINISH RATE
55%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 3-2
WWWLL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.94
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
33%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.67
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
58%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.79
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
28%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
38%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.90
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#23
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1605
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
80th
percentile · average opponent rated 1586 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
41st
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.01 per fight)

16 rated fights · opponents rated in 67% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 20, 2016

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (20)
n = 20
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 10
DEC · 9
1
KO/TKO
5%
10
SUB
50%
9
DEC
45%
// LOSSES (4)
n = 4
DEC · 4
0
KO/TKO
0%
0
SUB
0%
4
DEC
100%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
55% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
5%
SUBANY ROUND · 10 fights
50%
DECFULL FIGHT · 9 fights
45%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
24 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING27CARDIO72AGGRESSION36SUB THREAT45STR DEFENSE62RECOVERY33
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=20 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (38%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=24 bouts
Striking27
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio72
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression36
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat45
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.9 per 15 min)

Str Defense62
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (58%)

Recovery33
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=4 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins20 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (38%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record24 bouts
Striking27 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat45 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.9 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense62 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (58%)Not recorded
Recovery33 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.4 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2007WSEP 2007WOCT 2007WDEC 2007WAPR 2008WJUN 2008WAUG 2008WSEP 2008WDEC 2008WFEB 2009WFEB 2009WAPR 2009WJUL 2009WOCT 2009LJAN 2010LAUG 2010WAPR 2011WNOV 2011WMAR 2012WOCT 2012WNOV 2012WMAR 2013WOCT 2014LAPR 2015LMAY 2016// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 74, SUB R2.
  5. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 85, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2008, momentum score 92, DEC R3.
  7. Start, AUG 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  8. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  9. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  10. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  12. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  13. Start, JUL 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, JAN 2010, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  16. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  17. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 96, SUB R1.
  18. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  19. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  20. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  21. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  22. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  23. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  24. Start, APR 2015, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  25. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 86, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Corpuz), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 86.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
24/24 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
4%
-
-
-
-
1
total
SUB
6
25%
3
13%
1
4%
-
-
10
total
DEC
-
2
8%
10
42%
-
1
4%
13
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 1 of 24 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
54%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
24 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Marcin HeldMay 20, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 155 - Carvalho vs. Manhoef
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Will BrooksApr 10, 2015
DecisionR5 · 5:00
Bellator 136 - Brooks vs. Jansen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Rick HawnOct 24, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 130
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Marcin HeldMar 21, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 93
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ricardo TirloniNov 16, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 81
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Magomed SaadulaevOct 19, 2012
SubmissionR3 · 0:41
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 77
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Jacob KirwanMar 23, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 62
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ashkan MorvariNov 12, 2011
SubmissionR2 · 2:47
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 57
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Scott McAfeeApr 2, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 4:58
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 39
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Brabo Choke)
L
VS Ricardo LamasAug 18, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
WEC 50 - Cruz vs. Benavidez 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Kamal ShalorusJan 10, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
WEC 46 - Varner vs. Henderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Rich CrunkiltonOct 10, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
WEC 43 - Cerrone vs. Henderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 20-4. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Dave Jansen

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Dave JansenUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28