// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · David Shepherd
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

David
Shepherd

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
5-4-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
David Shepherd
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'0"
AGE
46
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
9 BOUTS
WIN
5
LOSS
4
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
56%
5/9 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 2-3
WLWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 100% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.75
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
51%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.72
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#101
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1485
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
8th
percentile · average opponent rated 1507 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
8th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.30 per fight)

3 rated fights · opponents rated in 38% of recorded fights · last rated fight JAN 31, 2013 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (5)
n = 5
SUB · 5
0
KO/TKO
0%
5
SUB
100%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 1
DEC · 1
2
KO/TKO
50%
1
SUB
25%
1
DEC
25%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
SUBANY ROUND · 5 fights
100%
Top win condition: sub · any round.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
9 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE47GRAPPLING60CHIN61STRIKING47CARDIO57AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY67
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=5 wins
TD Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (61%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin61
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=9 bouts
Striking47
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio57
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery67
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=4 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins5 wins
TD Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record9 bouts
Striking47 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.4 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2008WJUL 2008LNOV 2008WAUG 2009WDEC 2009WMAR 2010LAPR 2010WDEC 2012LJAN 2013LAUG 2013// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 55, SUB R2.
  3. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 48, KO/TKO R2.
  4. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 58, SUB R2.
  5. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 67, SUB R1.
  6. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 77, SUB R1.
  7. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 70, SUB R2.
  8. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 80, SUB R1.
  9. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 73, DEC R3.
  10. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R3.

Peaked at 80 (W vs Brenton), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 66.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
9/9 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
-
1
11%
1
11%
-
-
2
total
SUB
3
33%
3
33%
-
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
-
1
11%
-
-
1
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 1 of 9 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
11%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
9 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Harrison BevensAug 24, 2013
KO/TKOR3 · 0:16
CS - CageSport 26
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS J.P. ReeseJan 31, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 87
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jason BrentonDec 1, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 3:44
Big John's MMA - Rumble on the Border 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Dom O'GradyApr 16, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 4:18
KOTC - Bad Boys 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS George HalderMar 13, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 4:03
KOTC - Uppercut
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Tony HerveyDec 12, 2009
SubmissionR1 · 4:19
KOTC - Title Defense
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Bobby GorhamAug 22, 2009
SubmissionR2 · 2:29
CB - Cage Brawl
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Jonathan MurphyNov 7, 2008
KO/TKOR2 · 0:51
EC 110 - Extreme Challenge 110
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Ben GerdesJul 11, 2008
SubmissionR2 · 2:19
EC 101 - Extreme Challenge 101
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 5-4. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28