// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Doug Evans
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Doug
Evans

NICKNAME"N/A"
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
3-11-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Doug Evans
FIGHTER -
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'9"
AGE
46
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
15 BOUTS
WIN
3
LOSS
11
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
21%
3/15 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 0-4
LLL-L
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
SUBMISSION HUNTER

Submission hunter fighter with no dominant single weapon — 67% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.79
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
35%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.55
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
55%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
3.19
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
83%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
69%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#112
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1374
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1469 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
3rd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.42 per fight)

9 rated fights · opponents rated in 64% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 3, 2006

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
1
KO/TKO
33%
2
SUB
67%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 10
1
KO/TKO
9%
10
SUB
91%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
33%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
67%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
15 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER48TD DEFENSE64GRAPPLING65CHIN79STRIKING20CARDIO70AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT30STR DEFENSE56RECOVERY10
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Recovery.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power48
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=3 wins
TD Defense64
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (69%)

Grappling65
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin79
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=14 bouts
Striking20
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio70
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat30
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense56
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (55%)

Recovery10
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=11 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins3 wins
TD Defense64 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (69%)Not recorded
Grappling65 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin79 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record14 bouts
Striking20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat30 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense56 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (55%)Not recorded
Recovery10 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.11 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100AUG 1998WAUG 1998LAUG 1998LJAN 1999LFEB 1999WFEB 1999WFEB 1999LFEB 1999LMAR 1999LAPR 1999LJAN 2001LMAY 2002LJUN 2002LMAR 2003SEP 2003LJUN 2006// SCORE

  1. Start, AUG 1998, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, AUG 1998, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, AUG 1998, momentum score 48, SUB R1.
  4. Start, JAN 1999, momentum score 41, SUB R1.
  5. Start, FEB 1999, momentum score 34, SUB R1.
  6. Start, FEB 1999, momentum score 44, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, FEB 1999, momentum score 54, SUB R1.
  8. Start, FEB 1999, momentum score 47, SUB R1.
  9. Start, MAR 1999, momentum score 40, SUB R1.
  10. Start, APR 1999, momentum score 30, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, JAN 2001, momentum score 23, SUB R1.
  12. Start, MAY 2002, momentum score 16, SUB R1.
  13. Start, JUN 2002, momentum score 9, SUB R1.
  14. Start, MAR 2003, momentum score 2, SUB R1.
  15. Start, SEP 2003, momentum score 2.
  16. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 0, SUB R1.

Peaked at 55 (W vs Akamine), bottomed at 0 (L vs Schulte). Current reading: 0.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
14/15 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
14%
-
-
-
-
2
total
SUB
12
86%
-
-
-
-
12
total
DEC
-
-
-
-
-
0
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 14 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
0%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
15 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
SubmissionR1 · 1:31
Extreme Wars 3 - Bay Area Brawl
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
D
VS Brad GummSep 6, 2003
No ContestR1 · 0:00
IFC - Global Domination
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest
L
VS Ed WeddingMar 27, 2003
SubmissionR1 · 4:37
WEC 6 - Return of a Legend
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
VS David GardnerJun 11, 2002
SubmissionR1 · 3:19
XCF - California Pancration Championships
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Keylock)
L
VS Josh ThomsonMay 4, 2002
SubmissionR1 · 1:29
NSFC - NW Submission Fighting 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
L
VS Scott BillsJan 13, 2001
SubmissionR1 · 2:16
IFC WC 11 - Warriors Challenge 11
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
KO/TKOR1 · 1:59
IVC 11 - The Tournament is Back
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Corner Stoppage)
L
VS Phillip PerezMar 31, 1999
SubmissionR1 · 2:57
NG 11 - Neutral Grounds 11
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
L
VS Tiki GhosnFeb 28, 1999
SubmissionR1 · 1:02
WCNHBC - West Coast NHB Championships 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS John OlsonFeb 6, 1999
SubmissionR1 · 2:33
BRI 1 - Bas Rutten Invitational 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Forearm Choke)
W
VS Chris WellsFeb 6, 1999
KO/TKOR1 · 0:56
BRI 1 - Bas Rutten Invitational 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Submission to Punches)
L
VS David HarrisFeb 6, 1999
SubmissionR1 · 5:38
BRI 1 - Bas Rutten Invitational 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 3-11 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-29