// Roster Index›Bantamweight›Dossier · Dustin Pague
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNBANTAMWEIGHT

Dustin
Pague

NICKNAME"The Disciple"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
12-11-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Dustin Pague
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
6'2"
AGE
39
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Bantamweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
23 BOUTS
WIN
12
LOSS
11
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
52%
12/23 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 1-4
LLLWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 67% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.65
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
53%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.96
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
41%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.03
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
44%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
55%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
2.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 103 rated fighters on the UFC bantamweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#104
against the 103 rated on the UFC bantamweight roster · Elo 1452
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
10th
percentile · average opponent rated 1502 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
30th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.06 per fight)

12 rated fights · opponents rated in 55% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 20, 2015

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (12)
n = 12
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 8
4
KO/TKO
33%
8
SUB
67%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 3
DEC · 4
4
KO/TKO
36%
3
SUB
27%
4
DEC
36%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 4 fights
33%
SUBANY ROUND · 8 fights
67%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
23 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER48TD DEFENSE33GRAPPLING60CHIN67STRIKING45CARDIO64AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT100STR DEFENSE24RECOVERY40
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Sub Threat. Lowest scored axis: Str Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power48
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=12 wins
TD Defense33
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (55%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin67
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=23 bouts
Striking45
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio64
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (2.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense24
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (41%)

Recovery40
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=11 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins12 wins
TD Defense33 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (55%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record23 bouts
Striking45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio64 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (2.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense24 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (41%)Not recorded
Recovery40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.11 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2008LOCT 2008WDEC 2008WMAR 2009WAPR 2009WMAY 2009WJUL 2009LAUG 2009LNOV 2009LJAN 2010WMAY 2010WJUL 2010WSEP 2010WNOV 2010WFEB 2011LDEC 2011WJUN 2012LJUN 2012LAUG 2012LJUN 2013LOCT 2013LJUL 2014WMAR 2015LSEP 2015// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 35, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 45, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  5. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 65, SUB R3.
  6. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  7. Start, JUL 2009, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R3.
  8. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 76, DEC R3.
  9. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 69, SUB R2.
  10. Start, JAN 2010, momentum score 62, KO/TKO R2.
  11. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 72, SUB R1.
  12. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 82, SUB R3.
  13. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  16. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  18. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  19. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  20. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  21. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R2.
  22. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 65, SUB R3.
  23. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  24. Start, SEP 2015, momentum score 68, SUB R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Thomas), bottomed at 35 (L vs Owens). Current reading: 68.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
23/23 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
17%
3
13%
1
4%
-
-
8
total
SUB
6
26%
2
9%
3
13%
-
-
11
total
DEC
-
-
4
17%
-
-
4
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 7 of 23 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
17%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
23 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Anthony MorganSep 4, 2015
SubmissionR2 · 2:41
WCC 14 - World Cagefighting Championships 14
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Charlie GathersMar 20, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 1:52
WCC 13 - World Cagefighting Championships 13
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS D'Juan OwensJul 12, 2014
SubmissionR3 · 2:52
The Victorium - Episode 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Kyoji HoriguchiOct 19, 2013
KO/TKOR2 · 3:51
UFC 166 - Velasquez vs. Dos Santos 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Yves JabouinJun 15, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 161 - Evans vs. Henderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Chico CamusAug 11, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 150 - Henderson vs. Edgar 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Ken StoneJun 22, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on FX 4 - Maynard vs. Guida
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Jared PapazianJun 8, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 3:21
UFC on FX 3 - Johnson vs. McCall
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS John AlbertDec 3, 2011
KO/TKOR1 · 1:09
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 14 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Steve DeangelisFeb 4, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 0:25
ROC 34 - Ring of Combat 34
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Bret ThomasNov 13, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 2:52
SF - Shogun Fights 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Submission to Punches)
W
VS Dustin CaplingerSep 10, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 2:19
FNITC - Fight Night in the Cage 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Bantamweight. Professional record 12-11. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Dustin Pague

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Dustin PagueUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28