// Roster Index›Featherweight›Dossier · Francis Marshall
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNFEATHERWEIGHT

Francis
Marshall

NICKNAME"Fire"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
10-3-0
CURRENT FORM
2W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
American Top Team
NEXT FIGHT
VSDakota Hope
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan
OCTOBER 31, 2026
Francis Marshall
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! STALE
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
6'0"
AGE
27
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Featherweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
13 BOUTS
WIN
10
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
77%
10/13 bouts
FINISH RATE
60%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2W STREAK · 3-2
LWLWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: STALE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 50% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.19
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
34%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 48%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.45
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
55%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.71
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
47%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
88%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 114 other rated fighters on the UFC featherweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#58
of 115 on the UFC featherweight roster · Elo 1543
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
26th
percentile · average opponent rated 1521 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
70th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.20 per fight)

9 rated fights · opponents rated in 69% of recorded fights · last rated fight APR 25, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 5
DEC · 4
1
KO/TKO
10%
5
SUB
50%
4
DEC
40%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 1
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
33%
0
SUB
0%
2
DEC
67%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
60% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
10%
SUBANY ROUND · 5 fights
50%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
40%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
13 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 27, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLING60CHIN79STRIKING30CARDIO75AGGRESSION39SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE56RECOVERY67
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=10 wins
TD Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (88%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin79
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=13 bouts
Striking30
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio75
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression39
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense56
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (55%)

Recovery67
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins10 wins
TD Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (88%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin79 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record13 bouts
Striking30 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio75 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression39 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense56 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (55%)Not recorded
Recovery67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100NOV 2019WNOV 2019WMAR 2021WMAY 2021WAUG 2021WFEB 2022WAUG 2022WDEC 2022LAPR 2023LAUG 2023WAUG 2024LMAR 2025WFEB 2026WAPR 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, NOV 2019, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, NOV 2019, momentum score 55, SUB R3.
  3. Start, MAR 2021, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2021, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  5. Start, AUG 2021, momentum score 81, DEC R3.
  6. Start, FEB 2022, momentum score 91, SUB R3.
  7. Start, AUG 2022, momentum score 98, DEC R3.
  8. Start, DEC 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  9. Start, APR 2023, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  10. Start, AUG 2023, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, AUG 2024, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  12. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  13. Start, FEB 2026, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  14. Start, APR 2026, momentum score 100, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Rojo), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
13/13 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
8%
1
8%
-
-
-
2
total
SUB
3
23%
-
2
15%
-
-
5
total
DEC
-
-
6
46%
-
-
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 13 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
46%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
American Top Team
VIEW FIGHTER DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
WRESTLING-HEAVYCAGE DEFENSE

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
13 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Lucas BrennanApr 25, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 274 - Sterling vs. Zalal
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Erik SilvaFeb 28, 2026
SubmissionR1 · 2:29
UFC Fight Night 268 - Moreno vs. Kavanagh
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Mairon SantosMar 8, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 313 - Pereira vs. Ankalaev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Dennis BuzukjaAug 24, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 62 - Cannonier vs. Borralho
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Isaac DulgarianAug 12, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 4:48
UFC on ESPN 51 - Luque vs. dos Anjos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches and Elbows)
L
VS William GomisApr 22, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 222 - Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Marcelo RojoDec 3, 2022
KO/TKOR2 · 1:14
UFC on ESPN 42 - Thompson vs. Holland
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Connor MatthewsAug 2, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2022: Week 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Mike LawrenceFeb 18, 2022
SubmissionR3 · 3:26
ROC 75 - Ring of Combat 75
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Rey TrujilloAug 14, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
GCMMA - Gulf Coast MMA 11
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Mike TaylorMay 15, 2021
SubmissionR1 · 3:10
GCMMA - Gulf Coast MMA 10
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Jude McNicolMar 20, 2021
SubmissionR1 · 3:38
GCMMA - Gulf Coast MMA 9
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Featherweight. Professional record 10-3. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Francis Marshall

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Francis MarshallUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27