// Roster Index›Featherweight›Dossier · Hatsu Hioki
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0FEATHERWEIGHT

Hatsu
Hioki

NICKNAME"N/A"·JAPAN
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
30-12-2
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Hatsu Hioki
FIGHTER -
JAP🇯🇵
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
43
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Featherweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
44 BOUTS
WIN
30
LOSS
12
DRAW
2
WIN RATE
68%
30/44 bouts
FINISH RATE
57%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 2-3
WLLLW
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 43% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.42
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
42%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 48%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.12
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
65%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.55
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
56%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
54%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 115 rated fighters on the UFC featherweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#89
against the 115 rated on the UFC featherweight roster · Elo 1502
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
29th
percentile · average opponent rated 1523 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
3rd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.42 per fight)

29 rated fights · opponents rated in 67% of recorded fights · last rated fight AUG 12, 2018

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (30)
n = 30
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 12
DEC · 13
5
KO/TKO
17%
12
SUB
40%
13
DEC
43%
// LOSSES (12)
n = 12
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 1
DEC · 7
4
KO/TKO
33%
1
SUB
8%
7
DEC
58%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
57% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
17%
SUBANY ROUND · 12 fights
40%
DECFULL FIGHT · 13 fights
43%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
44 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER24TD DEFENSE31GRAPPLING60CHIN77STRIKING32CARDIO82AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT30STR DEFENSE78RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power24
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=30 wins
TD Defense31
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (54%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin77
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=44 bouts
Striking32
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio82
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat30
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense78
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (65%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=12 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power24 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins30 wins
TD Defense31 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin77 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record44 bouts
Striking32 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio82 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat30 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense78 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (65%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.12 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2002WOCT 2002WNOV 2002WMAR 2003LJUL 2003WMAR 2004WSEP 2004WMAR 2005WJUL 2005WNOV 2005FEB 2006WMAY 2006WAUG 2006WNOV 2006WFEB 2007LMAY 2007LOCT 2007WNOV 2007WJAN 2008WMAR 2008AUG 2008WOCT 2008WNOV 2008WMAR 2009WMAY 2009WAUG 2009LNOV 2009WMAY 2010WAUG 2010WDEC 2010WAPR 2011WOCT 2011WFEB 2012LJUN 2012LJAN 2013LAUG 2013WMAR 2014LJUN 2014LMAY 2015WJAN 2016WJUN 2016LMAY 2017LOCT 2017LAUG 2018WAPR 2025// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2002, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2002, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, NOV 2002, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, MAR 2003, momentum score 75, SUB R2.
  5. Start, JUL 2003, momentum score 68, DEC R2.
  6. Start, MAR 2004, momentum score 75, DEC R2.
  7. Start, SEP 2004, momentum score 82, DEC R2.
  8. Start, MAR 2005, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  10. Start, NOV 2005, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 100.
  12. Start, MAY 2006, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  13. Start, AUG 2006, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  14. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  16. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  17. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  18. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  19. Start, JAN 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  20. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, AUG 2008, momentum score 100.
  22. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  23. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  25. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  26. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  27. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  28. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  29. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  30. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  31. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  32. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  33. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  34. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  35. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  36. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  37. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  38. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 79, SUB R2.
  39. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R2.
  40. Start, JAN 2016, momentum score 82, SUB R1.
  41. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 89, DEC R3.
  42. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R1.
  43. Start, OCT 2017, momentum score 69, KO/TKO R1.
  44. Start, AUG 2018, momentum score 59, KO/TKO R1.
  45. Start, APR 2025, momentum score 66, DEC R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Kadowaki), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 66.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
42/44 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
8
19%
1
2%
-
-
-
9
total
SUB
7
17%
6
14%
-
-
-
13
total
DEC
1
2%
4
10%
13
31%
-
2
5%
20
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 9 of 42 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
45%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
44 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Alexandre Franca NogueiraApr 27, 2025
DecisionR1 · 15:00
ROMAN - Roots of Martial Arts Network 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Mikuru AsakuraAug 12, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 3:45
Rizin FF - Rizin 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
L
VS Hiroyuki TakayaOct 8, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 1:12
Pancrase - 290
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
L
VS Hiroshige TanakaMay 28, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 0:14
Pancrase - 287
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Yojiro UchimuraJun 12, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Pancrase - 278
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Kyosuke YokoyamaJan 31, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 1:35
Pancrase - 275
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Dan HookerMay 10, 2015
KO/TKOR2 · 4:13
UFC Fight Night 65 - Miocic vs. Hunt
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Head Kick and Punches)
L
VS Charles OliveiraJun 28, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 4:32
UFC Fight Night 43 - Te Huna vs. Marquardt
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Anaconda Choke)
W
VS Ivan MenjivarMar 1, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter China Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Darren ElkinsAug 28, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 27 - Condit vs. Kampmann 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Clay GuidaJan 26, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on Fox 6 - Johnson vs. Dodson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Ricardo LamasJun 22, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on FX 4 - Maynard vs. Guida
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Featherweight. Professional record 30-12-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28