// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Hayato Sakurai
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0WELTERWEIGHT

Hayato
Sakurai

NICKNAME"Mach"·JAPAN
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
38-13-2
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Hayato Sakurai
FIGHTER -
JAP🇯🇵
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'7"
AGE
51
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
53 BOUTS
WIN
38
LOSS
13
DRAW
2
WIN RATE
72%
38/53 bouts
FINISH RATE
58%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 3-2
LWWLW
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 42% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.45
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
49%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
1.94
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
59%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.87
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
69%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
56%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.30
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#47
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1568
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
21st
percentile · average opponent rated 1521 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
17th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.15 per fight)

35 rated fights · opponents rated in 67% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 29, 2013

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (38)
n = 38
KO/TKO · 12
SUB · 10
DEC · 16
12
KO/TKO
32%
10
SUB
26%
16
DEC
42%
// LOSSES (13)
n = 13
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 4
DEC · 4
5
KO/TKO
38%
4
SUB
31%
4
DEC
31%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
58% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 12 fights
32%
SUBANY ROUND · 10 fights
26%
DECFULL FIGHT · 16 fights
42%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
53 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER45TD DEFENSE36GRAPPLING60CHIN77STRIKING42CARDIO86AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE64RECOVERY69
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power45
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=38 wins
TD Defense36
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (56%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin77
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=53 bouts
Striking42
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio86
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)

Str Defense64
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (59%)

Recovery69
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=13 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins38 wins
TD Defense36 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (56%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin77 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record53 bouts
Striking42 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio86 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense64 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (59%)Not recorded
Recovery69 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.13 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 1996WOCT 1996JAN 1997WJUN 1997WAUG 1997WOCT 1997NOV 1997WMAY 1998WJUL 1998WOCT 1998WJAN 1999WMAR 1999WMAR 1999WMAR 1999WMAY 1999WJUL 1999WDEC 1999WMAR 2000WAUG 2000WDEC 2000WMAR 2001LAUG 2001WDEC 2001LMAR 2002LDEC 2002WMAR 2003WJUN 2003LSEP 2003WDEC 2003LFEB 2004WJUL 2004LOCT 2004WMAY 2005WAUG 2005WSEP 2005WSEP 2005LDEC 2005WJUN 2006WAUG 2006WFEB 2007WDEC 2007WMAR 2008LMAY 2008WSEP 2008WDEC 2008WAPR 2009LJUL 2009LDEC 2009LMAY 2010LDEC 2010WDEC 2011WDEC 2012LSEP 2013WDEC 2016// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 1996, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 1996, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, JAN 1997, momentum score 55.
  4. Start, JUN 1997, momentum score 62, DEC R2.
  5. Start, AUG 1997, momentum score 72, SUB R1.
  6. Start, OCT 1997, momentum score 81, SUB R1.
  7. Start, NOV 1997, momentum score 81.
  8. Start, MAY 1998, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  9. Start, JUL 1998, momentum score 98, SUB R1.
  10. Start, OCT 1998, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, JAN 1999, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, MAR 1999, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  13. Start, MAR 1999, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, MAR 1999, momentum score 100, DEC R1.
  15. Start, MAY 1999, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  16. Start, JUL 1999, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, DEC 1999, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  18. Start, MAR 2000, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  19. Start, AUG 2000, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  20. Start, DEC 2000, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  21. Start, MAR 2001, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  22. Start, AUG 2001, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  23. Start, DEC 2001, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  24. Start, MAR 2002, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R4.
  25. Start, DEC 2002, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  26. Start, MAR 2003, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  27. Start, JUN 2003, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  28. Start, SEP 2003, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R3.
  29. Start, DEC 2003, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  30. Start, FEB 2004, momentum score 93, DEC R2.
  31. Start, JUL 2004, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  32. Start, OCT 2004, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  33. Start, MAY 2005, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  34. Start, AUG 2005, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  35. Start, SEP 2005, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  36. Start, SEP 2005, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  37. Start, DEC 2005, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  38. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  39. Start, AUG 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  40. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  41. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  42. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  43. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  44. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  45. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  46. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  47. Start, JUL 2009, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  48. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 83, SUB R2.
  49. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 76, SUB R1.
  50. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 69, DEC R3.
  51. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 76, DEC R3.
  52. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  53. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 73, KO/TKO R1.
  54. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Bytchkov), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 83.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
51/53 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
10
20%
4
8%
2
4%
1
2%
-
17
total
SUB
12
24%
2
4%
-
-
-
14
total
DEC
1
2%
7
14%
12
24%
-
-
20
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 14 of 51 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
38%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
53 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Wataru SakataDec 31, 2016
KO/TKOR2 · 2:37
Rizin 4 - Rizin Fighting World Grand Prix 2016: Final Round
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Jae Suk LimSep 29, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 5:21
Mach Dojo / Gladiator - Mach Matsuri
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Phil BaroniDec 31, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Dream 18 - Special NYE 2012
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ryo ChonanDec 31, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Dream - Fight for Japan: Genki Desu Ka! New Year! 2011
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Jason HighDec 31, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
K-1 - Dynamite!! Power of Courage 2010
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Nick DiazMay 29, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 3:54
Dream - Dream 14
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
VS Akihiro GonoDec 31, 2009
SubmissionR2 · 3:56
K-1 - Dynamite!! Power of Courage 2009
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
VS Marius ZaromskisJul 20, 2009
KO/TKOR1 · 4:03
Dream 10 - Welterweight Grand Prix 2009 Final
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
W
VS Shinya AokiApr 5, 2009
KO/TKOR1 · 0:27
Dream 8 - Welterweight Grand Prix 2009 Opening Round
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knees and Punches)
W
VS Katsuyori ShibataDec 31, 2008
KO/TKOR1 · 7:01
K-1 - Dynamite!! Power of Courage 2008
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Kuniyoshi HironakaSep 23, 2008
DecisionR2 · 5:00
Dream 6 - Middleweight Grand Prix 2008 Final
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS David BaronMay 3, 2008
SubmissionR1 · 4:50
Shooto - Shooto Tradition 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 38-13-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Hayato Sakurai

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28