// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Jacob Rosales
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Jacob
Rosales

NICKNAME"Lil' Badger"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
16-10-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Jacob Rosales
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'2"
AGE
31
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
26 BOUTS
WIN
16
LOSS
10
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
62%
16/26 bouts
FINISH RATE
63%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
WWLWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
BRAWLER

Brawler fighter with no dominant single weapon — 44% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
7.19
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
46%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
10.66
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
44%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.12
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
18%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#100
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1486
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
6th
percentile · average opponent rated 1503 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
17th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.20 per fight)

21 rated fights · opponents rated in 81% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUL 26, 2025

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (16)
n = 16
KO/TKO · 7
SUB · 3
DEC · 6
7
KO/TKO
44%
3
SUB
19%
6
DEC
38%
// LOSSES (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 1
DEC · 7
2
KO/TKO
20%
1
SUB
10%
7
DEC
70%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
63% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 7 fights
44%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
19%
DECFULL FIGHT · 6 fights
38%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
26 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 12, 2026
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER63TD DEFENSE22GRAPPLING60CHIN79STRIKING83CARDIO73AGGRESSION89SUB THREAT30STR DEFENSE31RECOVERY78
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Aggression. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power63
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=16 wins
TD Defense22
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (50%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin79
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=26 bouts
Striking83
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio73
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=26 bouts
Aggression89
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat30
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense31
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (44%)

Recovery78
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=10 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins16 wins
TD Defense22 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (50%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin79 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record26 bouts
Striking83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio73 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share26 bouts
Aggression89 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat30 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense31 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (44%)Not recorded
Recovery78 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.10 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100AUG 2015WAUG 2015LOCT 2015LDEC 2015WMAY 2016WJUN 2016WAUG 2016WJAN 2017LAPR 2017WJUL 2017WSEP 2017LDEC 2017WJUN 2018WAUG 2018WNOV 2018WAPR 2019LJUL 2019WJAN 2020LJUL 2020WJAN 2021LSEP 2021LJUL 2022WSEP 2023WDEC 2023LFEB 2024WMAY 2025LJUL 2025// SCORE

  1. Start, AUG 2015, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, AUG 2015, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 49, DEC R3.
  4. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 42, DEC R3.
  5. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 49, DEC R3.
  6. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R3.
  7. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 65, DEC R3.
  8. Start, JAN 2017, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R2.
  9. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 67, SUB R2.
  10. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 77, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, SEP 2017, momentum score 84, DEC R3.
  12. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 77, DEC R3.
  13. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 84, DEC R3.
  14. Start, AUG 2018, momentum score 94, SUB R1.
  15. Start, NOV 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, APR 2019, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  17. Start, JUL 2019, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R3.
  18. Start, JAN 2020, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  19. Start, JUL 2020, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  20. Start, JAN 2021, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, SEP 2021, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  22. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R2.
  23. Start, SEP 2023, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, DEC 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  25. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  26. Start, MAY 2025, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  27. Start, JUL 2025, momentum score 93, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Seixas), bottomed at 42 (L vs Aaron). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
26/26 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
5
19%
2
8%
2
8%
-
-
9
total
SUB
2
8%
1
4%
1
4%
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
12
46%
-
1
4%
13
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 7 of 26 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
50%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
26 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LFA 213 - Gonzalez vs. Rosales
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Georgii EivasMay 9, 2025
SubmissionR1 · 2:13
LFA 208 - Mecate vs. Reyes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Neck Crank)
L
VS Erick SanchezFeb 23, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Urijah Faber A1 Combat 18 - Mauldin vs. Machado
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Kevin BoehmDec 23, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 2:22
Urijah Faber A1 Combat 16 - Sanchez vs. Figueroa
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Kai LuSep 2, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 3:49
Urijah Faber's A1 Combat 14 - Sanchez vs. Hoch
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
KO/TKOR2 · 3:56
LFA 137 - Gibson vs. Amil
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Victor MartinezSep 21, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2021: Week 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jose MartinezJan 15, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LFA 97 - Browne vs. Estrazulas
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Bryce LoganJul 31, 2020
DecisionR5 · 5:00
LFA 87 - Logan vs. Rosales
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Salaiman AhmadyarJan 31, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LFA 81 - Emmers vs. Barbosa
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
KO/TKOR3 · 1:50
Dana White's Contender Series - Season 3, Episode 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punch)
W
SubmissionR3 · 0:05
FCOC 57 - Fight Club OC 57
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 16-10. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28