// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Jake Matthews
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Jake
Matthews

NICKNAME"The Celtic Kid"·AUSTRALIA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
23-8-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
XLR8 Traning Centre, Epping, Victoria, Australia
NEXT FIGHT
VSTahir Abdullayev
UFC Fight Night: Procházka vs. Stirling
NOVEMBER 21, 2026
Jake Matthews
FIGHTER -
AUS🇦🇺
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
31
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
31 BOUTS
WIN
23
LOSS
8
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
74%
23/31 bouts
FINISH RATE
61%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 4-1
WWWLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 39% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.36
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
44%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.58
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
60%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.36
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
41%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
66%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.70
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 98 other rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#17
of 99 on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1641
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
55th
percentile · average opponent rated 1565 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
66th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.17 per fight)

27 rated fights · opponents rated in 87% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 30, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (23)
n = 23
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 9
DEC · 9
5
KO/TKO
22%
9
SUB
39%
9
DEC
39%
// LOSSES (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 4
DEC · 3
1
KO/TKO
13%
4
SUB
50%
3
DEC
38%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
61% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
22%
SUBANY ROUND · 9 fights
39%
DECFULL FIGHT · 9 fights
39%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
31 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER31TD DEFENSE58GRAPPLING60CHIN84STRIKING43CARDIO72AGGRESSION28SUB THREAT35STR DEFENSE67RECOVERY88
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Aggression.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power31
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=23 wins
TD Defense58
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (66%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin84
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=31 bouts
Striking43
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio72
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression28
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat35
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.7 per 15 min)

Str Defense67
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (60%)

Recovery88
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=8 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power31 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins23 wins
TD Defense58 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (66%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin84 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record31 bouts
Striking43 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression28 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat35 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.7 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense67 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Recovery88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.8 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2012WSEP 2012WDEC 2012WMAR 2013WMAY 2013WJUN 2013WAUG 2013WAPR 2014WJUN 2014WNOV 2014LMAY 2015WNOV 2015WMAR 2016LJUL 2016LNOV 2016WNOV 2017WFEB 2018WJUN 2018LDEC 2018WOCT 2019WFEB 2020WSEP 2020LMAR 2021WJUN 2022LDEC 2022WJUL 2023LNOV 2023WJUN 2024WFEB 2025WJUL 2025LSEP 2025WMAY 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  5. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 84, SUB R2.
  6. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  8. Start, APR 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  9. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  10. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  11. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  12. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  13. Start, MAR 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  14. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  16. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  17. Start, FEB 2018, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  18. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, DEC 2018, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  20. Start, OCT 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, FEB 2020, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  22. Start, SEP 2020, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  23. Start, MAR 2021, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  24. Start, JUN 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  25. Start, DEC 2022, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  26. Start, JUL 2023, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  27. Start, NOV 2023, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  28. Start, JUN 2024, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  29. Start, FEB 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  30. Start, JUL 2025, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  31. Start, SEP 2025, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  32. Start, MAY 2026, momentum score 100, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Purdon), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
31/31 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
10%
3
10%
-
-
-
6
total
SUB
4
13%
4
13%
5
16%
-
-
13
total
DEC
-
-
12
39%
-
-
12
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 31 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
39%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
XLR8 Traning Centre, Epping, Victoria, Australia
VIEW FIGHTER DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
BALANCED

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
31 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Carlston HarrisMay 30, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 277 - Song vs. Figueiredo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Neil MagnySep 27, 2025
SubmissionR3 · 3:08
UFC Fight Night 260 - Ulberg vs. Reyes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Brabo Choke)
W
VS Chidi NjokuaniJul 12, 2025
SubmissionR1 · 1:09
UFC on ESPN 70 - Lewis vs. Teixeira
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Francisco PradoFeb 8, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 312 - Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Philip RoweJun 1, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 302 - Makhachev vs. Poirier
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Michael MoralesNov 18, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 232 - Allen vs. Craig
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Darrius FlowersJul 29, 2023
SubmissionR2 · 2:37
UFC 291 - Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Matthew SemelsbergerDec 17, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 216 - Cannonier vs. Strickland
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Andre FialhoJun 12, 2022
KO/TKOR2 · 2:24
UFC 275 - Teixeira vs. Prochazka
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
L
VS Sean BradyMar 6, 2021
SubmissionR3 · 3:28
UFC 259 - Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Diego SanchezSep 26, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 253 - Adesanya vs. Costa
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Emil MeekFeb 23, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 168 - Felder vs. Hooker
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 23-8. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Jake Matthews

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28