// Roster Index›Light Heavyweight›Dossier · Jason Butcher
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT

Jason
Butcher

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-6-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Jason Butcher
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'3"
AGE
42
WEIGHT
Light Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
21 BOUTS
WIN
15
LOSS
6
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
71%
15/21 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
WLWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 53% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.82
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 49%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.73
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
25%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
13.64
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 56 rated fighters on the UFC light heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#26
against the 56 rated on the UFC light heavyweight roster · Elo 1549
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
21st
percentile · average opponent rated 1507 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
18th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.16 per fight)

15 rated fights · opponents rated in 83% of recorded fights · last rated fight APR 2, 2022

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 7
SUB · 8
7
KO/TKO
47%
8
SUB
53%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (6)
n = 6
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 1
DEC · 2
3
KO/TKO
50%
1
SUB
17%
2
DEC
33%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 7 fights
47%
SUBANY ROUND · 8 fights
53%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
21 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 8, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER67TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN71STRIKING26CARDIO47AGGRESSION73SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE20RECOVERY80
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Str Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power67
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=15 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin71
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=21 bouts
Striking26
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio47
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression73
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (25%)

Recovery80
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins15 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record21 bouts
Striking26 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio47 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression73 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (25%)Not recorded
Recovery80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100FEB 2011WFEB 2011WMAY 2011WJAN 2012WJUN 2012WOCT 2012WMAR 2013WSEP 2013LOCT 2013WOCT 2014LFEB 2015WSEP 2016WMAR 2017WOCT 2017LJUN 2018LAUG 2018WMAY 2021WDEC 2021LAPR 2022WNOV 2022WMAY 2023LJUL 2024// SCORE

  1. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, MAY 2011, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, JAN 2012, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  5. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 85, SUB R1.
  6. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 95, SUB R1.
  7. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  8. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  9. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  10. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  11. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  12. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, OCT 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, AUG 2018, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, MAY 2021, momentum score 90, SUB R1.
  18. Start, DEC 2021, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, APR 2022, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  20. Start, NOV 2022, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  21. Start, MAY 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, JUL 2024, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Hermansson), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 90.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
21/21 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
8
38%
2
10%
-
-
-
10
total
SUB
9
43%
-
-
-
-
9
total
DEC
-
-
1
5%
-
1
5%
2
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 10 of 21 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
10%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
21 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Kevem FelipeJul 20, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 3:53
Urijah Faber's A1 Combat 22 - Felipe vs. Butcher
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Douglas UsherMay 27, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 0:21
B2 Fighting Series 183 - Columbus, GA
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO
W
VS Chris WarfNov 19, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 0:56
Nightmare Promotions - ECC Cage Wars 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
L
VS Dequan TownsendApr 2, 2022
DecisionR5 · 5:00
B2 Fighting Series 154 - Michigan
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Karl WilliamsDec 4, 2021
SubmissionR1 · 1:38
B2 Fighting Series 142 - Kentucky
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
W
VS Gabriel MotaMay 8, 2021
SubmissionR1 · 2:38
HRMMA - Hardrock MMA 121
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
L
VS Emiliano SordiAug 30, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 0:16
Professional Fighters League - PFL 7: 2018 Regular Season
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Maxim GrishinJun 21, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 1:41
Professional Fighters League - PFL 2: 2018 Regular Season
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Leg Injury)
W
VS Jesse MurrayOct 28, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 2:42
KOTC - Locked In
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS William HillMar 3, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 2:07
KOTC - Violent Confrontation
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO
W
VS Robert MorrowSep 17, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 1:01
KOTC - Harm's Way
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
L
VS Tamdan McCroryFeb 27, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 1:06
Bellator 134 - British Invasion
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Light Heavyweight. Professional record 15-6. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Jason Butcher

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Jason ButcherUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28