// Roster Index›Featherweight›Dossier · Jay Bogan
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNFEATHERWEIGHT

Jay
Bogan

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
6-6-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Jay Bogan
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'8"
AGE
43
WEIGHT
Featherweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
12 BOUTS
WIN
6
LOSS
6
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
50%
6/12 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 3-2
WWWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 83% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.00
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 48%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
0.00
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 115 rated fighters on the UFC featherweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#89
against the 115 rated on the UFC featherweight roster · Elo 1503
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
43rd
percentile · average opponent rated 1532 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
41st
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.02 per fight)

6 rated fights · opponents rated in 50% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 22, 2016

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (6)
n = 6
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 5
1
KO/TKO
17%
5
SUB
83%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (6)
n = 6
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 1
DEC · 1
4
KO/TKO
67%
1
SUB
17%
1
DEC
17%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
17%
SUBANY ROUND · 5 fights
83%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
2 OBSERVED5 DERIVED3 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
12 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 8, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint7 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER24TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN48STRIKINGN/ACARDIO50AGGRESSIONN/ASUB THREAT20STR DEFENSEN/ARECOVERY20
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Grappling. Lowest scored axis: Recovery.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
7 SCORED · 3 OPEN
KO Power24
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=6 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin48
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=12 bouts
StrikingN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking volume and accuracy

Cardio50
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

AggressionN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str DefenseN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking defense or absorption rate

Recovery20
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power24 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins6 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record12 bouts
StrikingUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
AggressionUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str DefenseUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking defense or absorption rateNot recorded
Recovery20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAR 2011WMAR 2011WMAY 2011LAUG 2011LMAR 2012LOCT 2012LMAY 2013WAPR 2014WAUG 2014WFEB 2015WMAR 2015LAPR 2015LOCT 2016// SCORE

  1. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, MAY 2011, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, AUG 2011, momentum score 58, DEC R3.
  5. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 51, KO/TKO R2.
  6. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 44, KO/TKO R3.
  7. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 34, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, APR 2014, momentum score 44, SUB R1.
  9. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 53, SUB R1.
  10. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 64, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  12. Start, APR 2015, momentum score 67, SUB R2.
  13. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 57, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 74 (W vs Culley), bottomed at 34 (L vs Gutierrez). Current reading: 57.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
12/12 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
25%
1
8%
1
8%
-
-
5
total
SUB
5
42%
1
8%
-
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
-
1
8%
-
-
1
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 4 of 12 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
8%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
12 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Juan ArchuletaOct 22, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 5:00
CFL - California Fight League 9
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Retirement)
L
VS Justin GovernaleApr 10, 2015
SubmissionR2 · 2:09
Bellator 136 - Brooks vs. Jansen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Chris CulleyMar 15, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 1:35
KOTC - Coming Home
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Jared CarlstenFeb 20, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 2:47
Lights Out / Bash Entertainment - Fight Night at Sportsmen's Lodge
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Marcos BonillaAug 10, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 1:37
LOP - Chaos at the Casino 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Twister)
W
VS Melsik BaghdasaryanApr 12, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 1:26
LOP - Chaos at the Casino 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
VS Dominic GutierrezMay 4, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 3:00
RITC - Respect in the Cage
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Reece BrownOct 27, 2012
KO/TKOR3 · 1:35
Red Canvas - Art of Submission 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS R.J. CliffordMar 30, 2012
KO/TKOR2 · 5:00
EFWC - The Untamed 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Corner Stoppage)
L
VS Anthony McDavittAug 27, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
No Limits - Fight Night at the Playboy Mansion
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jerry BrownMay 21, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 0:35
Gladiator Challenge - Warpath
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Rocky Del MonteMar 19, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 0:21
Gladiator Challenge - High Octane
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Featherweight. Professional record 6-6. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Jay Bogan

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Jay BoganUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28