// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Jeremy Stephens
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0LIGHTWEIGHT

Jeremy
Stephens

NICKNAME"Lil' Heathen"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
29-23-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Alliance MMA - Chula Vista
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Jeremy Stephens
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
5'11"
AGE
39
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
53 BOUTS
WIN
29
LOSS
23
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
56%
29/53 bouts
FINISH RATE
72%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 1-4
LWLLL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 66% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.15
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
41%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.14
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
59%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.11
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
38%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
62%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.37
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 110 other rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#94
of 111 on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1493
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
69th
percentile · average opponent rated 1569 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
7th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.33 per fight)

43 rated fights · opponents rated in 83% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 9, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (29)
n = 29
KO/TKO · 19
SUB · 2
DEC · 8
19
KO/TKO
66%
2
SUB
7%
8
DEC
28%
// LOSSES (23)
n = 23
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 6
DEC · 15
3
KO/TKO
13%
6
SUB
26%
15
DEC
65%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
72% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 19 fights
66%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
7%
DECFULL FIGHT · 8 fights
28%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
54 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER94TD DEFENSE49GRAPPLING40CHIN81STRIKING37CARDIO69AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE64RECOVERY43
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power94
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=29 wins
TD Defense49
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (62%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin81
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=52 bouts
Striking37
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio69
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.37 per 15 min)

Str Defense64
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (59%)

Recovery43
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=24 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power94 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins29 wins
TD Defense49 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (62%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin81 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record52 bouts
Striking37 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio69 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.37 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense64 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (59%)Not recorded
Recovery43 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.24 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JAN 2005WJAN 2005WJAN 2005WFEB 2005LMAR 2005WMAR 2005WAUG 2005WFEB 2006WJUL 2006WAUG 2006WSEP 2006WNOV 2006WFEB 2007WMAR 2007LMAY 2007WJUL 2007WSEP 2007WJAN 2008LJUN 2008WNOV 2008LFEB 2009LAPR 2009WSEP 2009WMAY 2010LSEP 2010WJAN 2011WJUN 2011LOCT 2011LMAY 2012LDEC 2012WMAY 2013WNOV 2013WJAN 2014LJUN 2014LDEC 2014WJUL 2015LDEC 2015WMAY 2016LNOV 2016LAPR 2017LAPR 2017WSEP 2017WJAN 2018WFEB 2018LJUL 2018LMAR 2019SEP 2019LOCT 2019LMAY 2020LJUL 2021LAPR 2022WJUN 2022LNOV 2022LMAY 2025LMAY 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, JAN 2005, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JAN 2005, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, JAN 2005, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, FEB 2005, momentum score 77, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, MAR 2005, momentum score 70, SUB R2.
  6. Start, MAR 2005, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, AUG 2005, momentum score 91, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  10. Start, AUG 2006, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R4.
  13. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, MAR 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  16. Start, JUL 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  18. Start, JAN 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  19. Start, JUN 2008, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  20. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  21. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  22. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  23. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  25. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  26. Start, JAN 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  27. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  28. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  29. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  30. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R1.
  31. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  32. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 94, KO/TKO R1.
  33. Start, JAN 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  34. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  35. Start, DEC 2014, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  36. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R3.
  37. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  38. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 95, DEC R3.
  39. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  40. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 81, DEC R3.
  41. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 74, DEC R3.
  42. Start, SEP 2017, momentum score 81, DEC R3.
  43. Start, JAN 2018, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R2.
  44. Start, FEB 2018, momentum score 99, KO/TKO R2.
  45. Start, JUL 2018, momentum score 89, KO/TKO R1.
  46. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 82, DEC R3.
  47. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 82.
  48. Start, OCT 2019, momentum score 75, DEC R3.
  49. Start, MAY 2020, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R2.
  50. Start, JUL 2021, momentum score 61, SUB R1.
  51. Start, APR 2022, momentum score 54, DEC R3.
  52. Start, JUN 2022, momentum score 61, DEC R3.
  53. Start, NOV 2022, momentum score 54, SUB R2.
  54. Start, MAY 2025, momentum score 47, DEC R3.
  55. Start, MAY 2026, momentum score 40, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Johnson), bottomed at 40 (L vs Green). Current reading: 40.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
53/54 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
13
25%
5
9%
3
6%
1
2%
-
22
total
SUB
4
8%
4
8%
-
-
-
8
total
DEC
-
-
22
42%
-
1
2%
23
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 18 of 53 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
43%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Alliance MMA - Chula Vista
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
BALANCED

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
54 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS King GreenMay 9, 2026
SubmissionR1 · 4:20
UFC 328 - Chimaev vs. Strickland
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Mason JonesMay 3, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 67 - Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Natan SchulteNov 25, 2022
SubmissionR2 · 1:32
Professional Fighters League - 2022 Season PFL Championships
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Myles PriceJun 17, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Professional Fighters League - PFL 4: 2022 Regular Season
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Clay CollardApr 20, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Professional Fighters League - PFL 1: 2022 Regular Season
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Mateusz GamrotJul 17, 2021
SubmissionR1 · 1:05
UFC on ESPN 26 - Makhachev vs. Moises
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
L
VS Calvin KattarMay 9, 2020
KO/TKOR2 · 2:42
UFC 249 - Ferguson vs. Gaethje
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Elbows)
L
VS Yair RodriguezOct 18, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 6 - Reyes vs. Weidman
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
D
VS Yair RodriguezSep 21, 2019
No ContestR1 · 0:15
UFC Fight Night 159 - Rodriguez vs. Stephens
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest (Accidental Eye Poke)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 235 - Jones vs. Smith
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Jose AldoJul 28, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 4:19
UFC on Fox 30 - Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Josh EmmettFeb 24, 2018
KO/TKOR2 · 1:35
UFC on Fox 28 - Emmett vs. Stephens
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Elbows)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 29-23 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28